North Balti Zen Posted February 1, 2018 Author Share Posted February 1, 2018 Feels like Stormy gets an early victory lap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Oh noes! Severe drought! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 1 hour ago, mattie g said: Oh noes! Severe drought! 107° or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 19 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: Bump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 23 hours ago, Cobalt said: Only time we're ever in the bullseye Losetoa6 - this shows it pretty clearly (see below)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 23 hours ago, KingJWx said: Severe drought for DC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 14 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Thanks for sharing ....Looks localized severe only in the narrow B/W corridor. I'm on the yellow edge of just dry... General statement, but I agree that it's localized. I think it's also better that it's urban based since most of us in the 95 corridor use municipal water rather than rural areas where more folks rely on wells. Most people understand that for urban water supplies, our reservoirs are fed from afar, so a narrow strip of "severe drought" where the reservoirs are located has less impact here than in other areas of the region. I'm not dismissing how dry it has been, but if we are going to have a drought, two things stand out to me that make this situation bearable. The first, obviously, is that for now the severe concern is within an area where impacts are minimal, and secondly, if it is going to be dry, winter is a good time for it since water demand is lower. I'm pretty sure that if this was a June, July, and August drought, the beachin that would be going on in here would make wintertime Ji would sound optimistic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 6 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: General statement, but I agree that it's localized. I think it's also better that it's urban based since most of us in the 95 corridor use municipal water rather than rural areas where more folks rely on wells. Most people understand that for urban water supplies, our reservoirs are fed from afar, so a narrow strip of "severe drought" where the reservoirs are located has less impact here than in other areas of the region. I'm not dismissing how dry it has been, but if we are going to have a drought, two things stand out to me that make this situation bearable. The first, obviously, is that for now the severe concern is within an area where impacts are minimal, and secondly, if it is going to be dry, winter is a good time for it since water demand is lower. I'm pretty sure that if this was a June, July, and August drought, the beachin that would be going on in here would make wintertime Ji would sound optimistic. Yeah the biggest issue with winter drought for most in this forum is it = little snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 1:32 PM, North Balti Zen said: Feels like Stormy gets an early victory lap. The good news is that I predict that February will be the first month since August that my area receives normal to above normal precipitation. We will hopefully begin a recovery process from the hydrological drought that will take months of above normal precipitation to completely alleviate. The closest USGS test well to me is about 18 ft. below normal and continuing a steady decline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 It's really hard to get a drought here because we average like 4" per month. You would need something like 10/40 potentials to hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 I wonder if they'll downgrade our drought status next thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCT_ATC Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 Had 1.6 on Sunday and .6 yesterday out in Warrenton and it looks like we could easily get another inch or so this weekend. Im not sure how accurate this precipiatiion estimator is but it appears to be fairly close to what my rain gauge shows. http://www.iweathernet.com/total-rainfall-map-24-hours-to-72-hours Just zoom in and click your location to get your estimate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 How much rain do u need to close the drought thread? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 I am sick and tired of rain already. I would never have ever thought, in all my born days, that I would ever croak out, that am sick of rain, but there it is. I am sick and tired of rain! I wish I lived in the Sahel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 We need rain. But not on completely frozen ground. Gonna be messy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, Jandurin said: We need rain. But not on completely frozen ground. Gonna be messy. You dont have frost? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Just a little. We had a lot more frost yesterday or the day before. A noteworthy amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 1:32 PM, North Balti Zen said: Feels like Stormy gets an early victory lap. Stormy should run that lap backwards now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2018 Author Share Posted February 9, 2018 12 minutes ago, mattie g said: Stormy should run that lap backwards now. Eh, it was dry enough that the corridor made the severe drought status. He wasn't wrong about how dry it had been. Now forecasting continued dry based on that - he may have been off there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 ^ as psuhoffman said persistence forecasting is often right... until it's wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 On 1/27/2018 at 3:21 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Fwiw, 2014 ended its drought big time the first week of February. bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Nailed it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 There's something about February ending winter nina droughts and other variables I haven't looked into yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 2 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: That record precip value in 1983 was not rain either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Just now, MillvilleWx said: That record precip value in 1983 was not rain either True dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: That record precip value in 1983 was not rain either Less than 10:1 ratio in a HECS. Was it a paste bomb? Sounds awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: That record precip value in 1983 was not rain either Strong nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 I got a whopping .50" over the weekend. Drought remains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Just now, Cobalt said: Less than 10:1 ratio in a HECS. Was it a paste bomb? Sounds awesome! '83 was a very dynamic storm. Very heavy snow over MD, DC and NoVa during the height with thundersnow across the area. It was a moisture bomb, so the snow consistency was a bit on the wet side, but it was a higher ratio at its height when best lift was centered over the area. My Father told me he ended up with 23" at the end of the storm with over a foot in a 4 hour span. Thundersnow woke him up and visibility was below 100 yards at one point. Great storm. You should go read up on it. One of the best the area has had in last 50 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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