EastCoast NPZ Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 11 hours ago, Jrlg1181 said: Yes it is , somehow someway got almost nothing yesterday, today heavy rain to my SW, moving NE which normally is much better than coming from the W or NW... moving towards my area only to suddenly start falling apart... Since May 18th 6 weeks with just about 1.25 I'm right at 1.25" since right before Memorial Day. At this point I don't know what can produce meaningful precipitation in the Valley anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said: I'm right at 1.25" since right before Memorial Day. At this point I don't know what can produce meaningful precipitation in the Valley anymore. Even worse shape at 0.64” here since memorial day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 6 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Even worse shape at 0.64” here since memorial day I don't see locations on mobile, where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 2 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: I'm right at 1.25" since right before Memorial Day. At this point I don't know what can produce meaningful precipitation in the Valley anymore. Primary would be a robust tropical system doing the job, tracking Wilmington/Crozet/Front Royal. Mobile/Roanoke/Staunton would also work. Beryl possibility Galveston/ Dallas/Nashville/Beckley would bring numerous showers but likely not as much qp as the other two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 22 hours ago, Terpeast said: If this drought doesn’t abate soon, we should start getting concerned about wild fires especially in down-sloping conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said: I don't see locations on mobile, where are you? I’m in Ashburn, a bit closer to Leesburg than IAD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Friday’s rain event may fail, but mid-late next week is starting to look really nice! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 DC and Arlington already had a city/county-wide boil water advisory last week because of an algae bloom in the Potomac (from hot/dry conditions). Definitely concerned about the general water supply at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 I live about 200 yards from the South River in northern Waynesboro, one of the main headwaters of the Shenandoah.. It's certainly way way lower than it normally is ( 1.25 precip last 7 weeks in my yard ) but surprisingly it dosent look as bad as the Rivanna River just over the mts in Albemarle, Charlottesville if you are using any floatation devices you probably are just going in circles... The James River in Eastern Virginia is okay but in Scottsville/ Howardsville in southern Albemarle coming up from Lynchburg - it looks awful, could clearly walk across/through it with no issues, which makes sense I guess since it's headwaters is in the central Valley... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harv_poor Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 5 hours ago, Jrlg1181 said: I live about 200 yards from the South River in northern Waynesboro, one of the main headwaters of the Shenandoah.. It's certainly way way lower than it normally is ( 1.25 precip last 7 weeks in my yard ) but surprisingly it dosent look as bad as the Rivanna River just over the mts in Albemarle, Charlottesville if you are using any floatation devices you probably are just going in circles... The James River in Eastern Virginia is okay but in Scottsville/ Howardsville in southern Albemarle coming up from Lynchburg - it looks awful, could clearly walk across/through it with no issues, which makes sense I guess since it's headwaters is in the central Valley... Currently at Wintergreen to golf a few days. The mountain course is in as bad a shape as I have ever seen it ( been coming here every few years for 30+ years). Fairways and greens have numerous brown spots. Tees were destroyed by something over the winter. As you said, they had no rain for a month and then a few sprinkles last week. And now the mountain is fogged in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EstorilM Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 I'm surprised no one posted last weeks drought monitor update - 90% of VA is now in moderate-to-severe drought. That was last week's update, I believe the latest update should have already been posted, but hopefully it'll go up this afternoon. I'd expect the band running along 81 through Loudoun County that was "severe" last update, to become "extreme" - though one farm I have a PWS at received 1.2" in 30 minutes!!! (I believe 4th of July evening?) I live 5 miles away and got nothing more than a sprinkle, didn't even show up on my PWS there. EDIT: WOW, I just checked Goose Creek's flow rate, and it's 0.00 as of 5:30AM this morning! Median is 35 CFS, the entire 1-week scale for the chart only goes up to 2.5 CFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 2 hours ago, EstorilM said: I'm surprised no one posted last weeks drought monitor update - 90% of VA is now in moderate-to-severe drought. That was last week's update, I believe the latest update should have already been posted, but hopefully it'll go up this afternoon. I'd expect the band running along 81 through Loudoun County that was "severe" last update, to become "extreme" - though one farm I have a PWS at received 1.2" in 30 minutes!!! (I believe 4th of July evening?) I live 5 miles away and got nothing more than a sprinkle, didn't even show up on my PWS there. EDIT: WOW, I just checked Goose Creek's flow rate, and it's 0.00 as of 5:30AM this morning! Median is 35 CFS, the entire 1-week scale for the chart only goes up to 2.5 CFS. Was actually just talking to my buddy in Leesburg and were discussing the low water levels across much of northern VA. Dark red dots indicate <10% percentile of river/stream/creek gauge levels. Bright red indicate record lows for this date 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 2 minutes ago, Newman said: Was actually just talking to my buddy in Leesburg and were discussing the low water levels across much of northern VA. Dark red dots indicate <10% percentile of river/stream/creek gauge levels. Bright red indicate record lows for this date I live in Loudoun and i'm surprised to see people still watering their lawn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted July 12 Share Posted July 12 Definitely accurate map. I have had 5.8" since April 4th, and excluding last night 5.44" near the bay bridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 The updated Drought Monitor places the 81 corridor from Staunton to Winchester in Extreme Drought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 6 minutes ago, stormy said: The updated Drought Monitor places the 81 corridor from Staunton to Winchester in Extreme Drought 2nd consecutive year we have gone through this, but this year it has been more intense it feels like... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 2 hours ago, stormy said: The updated Drought Monitor places the 81 corridor from Staunton to Winchester in Extreme Drought This place is a fucking desert. I hate this gd place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted July 19 Share Posted July 19 8 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: This place is a fucking desert. I hate this gd place. I wonder if I-81 will enter exceptional drought for the first time in 20+ years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 19 Share Posted July 19 53 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: I wonder if I-81 will enter exceptional drought for the first time in 20+ years. Probably not if guidance for next week is reasonably correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 19 Share Posted July 19 45 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Probably not if guidance for next week is reasonably correct It's not. It never is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 19 Share Posted July 19 1 hour ago, JenkinsJinkies said: I wonder if I-81 will enter exceptional drought for the first time in 20+ years. When was the last time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted July 19 Share Posted July 19 53 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: When was the last time? 2002 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted July 19 Share Posted July 19 20 hours ago, Jrlg1181 said: 2nd consecutive year we have gone through this, but this year it has been more intense it feels like... Last year April /May and August thru October were very dry. June and July were wet at my place. This year I have received .43" the first 18 days of July. Last year I received 4.64" the first 18 days of July! During the past week, southern portions of Augusta have received 1.00 - 2.00" of rain. I have received .09". Currently, we are suffering an extreme agricultural drought. Hydrologically, we were worse last fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WolfStock1 Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 I was getting a bit worried about my well - wasn't sure how deep it is (it's not in county records), and also not sure how far down the water table is at my place. Found this good site which shows a method for measuring: https://sunshineworks.com/pages/measuring-your-static-water-level - both the water level and the depth of the well. Tried it and it worked great. Was quite relieved to find that the water level was at 68 feet, but the bottom of the well is at last 160 feet (ended up running out of fishing line before reaching the bottom). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 Bit early in the year to be loosing leaves... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 19 minutes ago, Jrlg1181 said: Bit early in the year to be loosing leaves... Several trees have yellowed and dropped around here, I'm guessing from heat stress and dry conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 1 hour ago, Jrlg1181 said: Bit early in the year to be loosing leaves... It looked liked November here by mid-August last year. Will be even sooner this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 Current status of the Moormans River - as it emerges out of the Shenandoah Nat Park in western Albemarle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted July 22 Share Posted July 22 18 hours ago, wxdude64 said: Several trees have yellowed and dropped around here, I'm guessing from heat stress and dry conditions. Seeing this a WHOLE lot around these parts. On a somewhat related note...I remember when it got this dry several summers ago, and our neighbor's highly annoying maple tree (which deposits 95% of its spinners in my backyard) got stressed out and did NOT produce ANY spinners the following spring. Will be watching to see if that happens again... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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