Eskimo Joe Posted November 9, 2023 Share Posted November 9, 2023 All of the reservoirs in Baltimore County are running 12 to 18 feet below normal. If we don't get a significant amount of snow to melt into the aquifers this winter, we're going to really be hurting and at risk for wildfires next spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 Finally a extreme drought designation for most of the Shenandoah Valley , centered over (surprise surprise)Augusta County & the central Blue Ridge... Was wondering when they were going to upgrade the drought status here... Just over 23.30 inches here in 10.3 months is wild or absurd for basically any locale in the eastern US... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 Here's the map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 Driest years on record (since 1926) at Martinsburg, WV 21.41" - 1930 22.13" - 2023 (through yesterday) 26.32" - 1991 27.75" - 1969 28.43" - 1947 28.57" - 1957 29.55" - 2001 29.96" - 1964 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 5 hours ago, WVclimo said: Driest years on record (since 1926) at Martinsburg, WV 21.41" - 1930 22.13" - 2023 (through yesterday) 26.32" - 1991 27.75" - 1969 28.43" - 1947 28.57" - 1957 29.55" - 2001 29.96" - 1964 Yikes, don't think I have logged in since last spring. Just saw some weather headlines about fire danger back east. Made a quick trip to Virginia to visit family in late July and it seemed like a dry summer there. I did not realize it was one of the worst! Good luck for a wet and snowy winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 1 hour ago, snownut said: Yikes, don't think I have logged in since last spring. Just saw some weather headlines about fire danger back east. Made a quick trip to Virginia to visit family in late July and it seemed like a dry summer there. I did not realize it was one of the worst! Good luck for a wet and snowy winter! Thanks! Good to see you posting. Hope you and the family are well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 28.92 here as of 6am this morning for the year, 24.10 fell thru 8/10, so 4.82 over the past 3 months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted November 13, 2023 Share Posted November 13, 2023 On 11/10/2023 at 1:46 PM, WVclimo said: Thanks! Good to see you posting. Hope you and the family are well. I am an empty nester now. Last kid and a too much of my bank account are Cal Poly now Two daughters living and getting married Virginia in 2024 so hunch I'll be spending much more time in the Old Dominion in the years ahead. Have a fabulous Thanksgiving and rooting for a White Christmas there. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 Suppressed southeast low pressure robs the moisture from Friday night frontal. 18z NAM12 now zero. Only 14% of normal first half of November at .24". Will do a study of nino winter snowfalls with less than 50% of normal precipitation. It will be bleak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 hour ago, TSSN+ said: Dry Especially rough further south in VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 It's incredible how difficult it is to get a drought in this region. At Hagerstown Regional Airport, it has been the 4th warmest and 3rd driest on record (less than a quarter of an inch from driest on record). Needless to say, this is about as hot and dry as it gets. Yet if you look at the map, HGR is roughly on the border between D0 and D1. You'd think these conditions would correspond to D3 or D4, given that there has never been this combination of heat and lack of precipitation recorded in Hagerstown prior to this year. Can only imagine how dry it must be in those D3 zones in Virginia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 On 11/10/2023 at 9:33 AM, WVclimo said: Driest years on record (since 1926) at Martinsburg, WV 21.41" - 1930 22.13" - 2023 (through yesterday) 26.32" - 1991 27.75" - 1969 28.43" - 1947 28.57" - 1957 29.55" - 2001 29.96" - 1964 Same story in Martinsburg! One of the hottest and driest years ever recorded, and it can only muster a measly D1 on the drought scale. Northern Berkeley isn't even in drought, only abnormally dry (D0)! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 22 hours ago, stormy said: Suppressed southeast low pressure robs the moisture from Friday night frontal. 18z NAM12 now zero. Only 14% of normal first half of November at .24". Will do a study of nino winter snowfalls with less than 50% of normal precipitation. It will be bleak. There's really only one match I can find with a comparable El Nino of this strength with a November this dry, and that's 1965. Although 65-66 was a good winter. The next best match would be 1991. That was definitely not a good winter lol This was just using BWI data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 I received 2.10 inches of rain last Tuesday. This is wonderful but a fraction of what we need to bust the drought. 2 inches of rain cannot wipe out 10 - 15 inch deficits............................ Only a wet winter can solve our serious problems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Severe to Extreme Drought still has the western portion of the tristate area under a firm grip. Earlier model expectations of improvement have failed. Latest USGS analysis of the water table says Augusta/Rockingham is 21.88 feet below April. The 2 inches of rain last week only brought up the water table .38'!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Much of the Valley is still in severe drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 3 hours ago, stormy said: Much of the Valley is still in severe drought. We need our 3" rain storm. And more than one of them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 On 12/21/2023 at 8:40 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: We need our 3" rain storm. And more than one of them. Surprised to see most of the central and southern Apps as dry as it is: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Maps/ChangeMaps.aspx (just need to select calendar year) Maryland now only has Class 1 drought conditions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 12 minutes ago, 87storms said: Surprised to see most of the central and southern Apps as dry as it is: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Maps/ChangeMaps.aspx (just need to select calendar year) Maryland now only has Class 1 drought conditions. Life in the Fringed Zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Dear God! We cannot get out of Severe Drought!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 19 hours ago, stormy said: Dear God! We cannot get out of Severe Drought!!!!!! I think you spoke too soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 hour ago, JenkinsJinkies said: I think you spoke too soon. I hope you're right!! But it will take another 8 inches of rain. (soaking steady rain) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 The update this morning puts the ground water in better shape than in a long, long time though still abnormally dry over Augusta County. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 Just in case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 6z gfs just a little different in the long, long range. I'll post it for fun and we can see how wrong it was after May 6. To be fair though, every run before this one was way drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 Let's see ~4 inch YTD surplus in Baltimore 2.83 inch YTD surplus in DC Yeah the bump was premature. Also compare to last year: Most water tables were at August levels and it was the driest YTD ever, a record that stood well into June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 Here in northeast Augusta I have received 11.76 YTD. Normal YTD is 12.71. .95 YTD deficit, BUT ....... Agriculturally of concern. Since February 1 we are 3.70" below normal!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted April 28 Share Posted April 28 12 hours ago, stormy said: Here in northeast Augusta I have received 11.76 YTD. Normal YTD is 12.71. .95 YTD deficit, BUT ....... Agriculturally of concern. Since February 1 we are 3.70" below normal!! Exactly what I've been saying... Well under 6 inches total since late January.... Literally just about every month since the fall of 22 has been below avg here with the exception of the past Nov Dec and Jan... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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