WxUSAF Posted May 16, 2023 Share Posted May 16, 2023 Even with temps being pretty pleasant, this sun angle will crisp things up quickly if we don’t get out of this dry pattern soon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted May 16, 2023 Share Posted May 16, 2023 The latest GFS does not look good for the next 15 days. Drought is highly likely to return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted May 17, 2023 Share Posted May 17, 2023 This morning the GFS, ECM and GEM are all dry for the next 10 - 15 days. Yesterday's 100% NWS .25 - .50" of rain was a total failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 30, 2023 Share Posted May 30, 2023 crispy out there. last measurable rainfall was 5/20 with .08, before that 5/13 with .28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted May 30, 2023 Author Share Posted May 30, 2023 1 hour ago, mappy said: crispy out there. last measurable rainfall was 5/20 with .08, before that 5/13 with .28 Verified. So dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 30, 2023 Share Posted May 30, 2023 4 hours ago, North Balti Zen said: Verified. So dry. only a half inch all month IMBY. oooof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
32º Posted May 30, 2023 Share Posted May 30, 2023 5 hours ago, mappy said: crispy out there. last measurable rainfall was 5/20 with .08, before that 5/13 with .28 My veg gardens are as loose and dry as the surface of a sand dune and they are too big to water using our well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 30, 2023 Share Posted May 30, 2023 48 minutes ago, 32º said: My veg gardens are as loose and dry as the surface of a sand dune and they are too big to water using our well. Ugh, sorry neighbor. Hoping we can get some rain soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 31, 2023 Share Posted May 31, 2023 Soil moisture falling off a cliff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted May 31, 2023 Share Posted May 31, 2023 This thread is always a laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 31, 2023 Share Posted May 31, 2023 Pattern looks to get wetter as we move through the second week of June, but probably still a pretty bone dry next 10-14 days. Saturday showers the only game in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted June 1, 2023 Share Posted June 1, 2023 23 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Pattern looks to get wetter as we move through the second week of June, but probably still a pretty bone dry next 10-14 days. Saturday showers the only game in town. Yeah, second week of June looks better, but that is still only "normal" rainfall according to the GEFS, GEPS, and Euro ensembles. The CFS is the only system hinting at above-average rain. And Saturday's opportunity looks to be fleeting for those of us on the east side of the Potomac. The front looks to crash through early and shift the best shower/storm potential to areas west and southwest of DC. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 1, 2023 Share Posted June 1, 2023 Back to moderate drought for many 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 1, 2023 Share Posted June 1, 2023 12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Back to moderate drought for many I have a confession to make. I am… …watering my lawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 1, 2023 Share Posted June 1, 2023 38 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I have a confession to make. I am… …watering my lawn. I just did it too. Despite recently saying I wouldn't. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 16 minutes ago, CAPE said: I just did it too. Despite recently saying I wouldn't. Me too. The only reason I caved is because it’s only June, my yard is stressed, and water is so damn cheap here. Pikesville has a mystery reservoir that is somehow tied to the city, so my water is relatively inexpensive. My water bill is about a tenth of most in the area. But I’ll deny saying that. Besides, there is a trade off. I have to live here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 Abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions will worsen during the next 7 days for most areas. There are some indications that the pattern may break down for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 ^ Perfect time to wade the Potomac to fish for smallmouth! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 I wonder what effect rainfall has on Jellyfish. I already saw a few last weekend. I don’t remember them showing up as early last year, but they did get pretty bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 9 hours ago, stormy said: Abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions will worsen during the next 7 days for most areas. There are some indications that the pattern may break down for next week. Agreed. It's bleak for the next week, but all of the ensembles show rainfall flipping to near or even above normal starting next week and potentially lasting at least a couple of weeks. And the deterministic solutions are starting to key in on a potential system early next week to get things started. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 15 minutes ago, high risk said: Agreed. It's bleak for the next week, but all of the ensembles show rainfall flipping to near or even above normal starting next week and potentially lasting at least a couple of weeks. And the deterministic solutions are starting to key in on a potential system early next week to get things started. EPS and GEPS look especially promising for early next week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 From my experience, dry and droughts this early really suck more because there just wasn’t a chance to fill reservoirs and aquifers during the “rainy” season of winter and spring. So when we get hot and dry that’s when the pain hits. Low flows now ain’t good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 Baltimore YTD driest on record 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 40 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Baltimore YTD driest on record I’ll ask the most important and burning question. How were the following winters? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 6, 2023 Share Posted June 6, 2023 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Baltimore YTD driest on record A record for the first 156 days of the year? That's like some random baseball statistic about how well a left-handed pitcher throws against righties in the second game of a three-game series with two outs in the seventh inning and a man on first base. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted June 6, 2023 Share Posted June 6, 2023 7 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: I’ll ask the most important and burning question. How were the following winters? First question that popped intp my brain (shocking I know)! Well 86-87 was pretty good I think that was a moderate niño. 69-70 was weak...still got to 21" though (of course that same setup may not get there today...but that's another convo of course). Interestingly, on the flip side, the winters following the wetter years were mediocre (I remember that being my gripe in 2018 where it rained practically every weekend, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 6, 2023 Share Posted June 6, 2023 10 hours ago, mattie g said: A record for the first 156 days of the year? That's like some random baseball statistic about how well a left-handed pitcher throws against righties in the second game of a three-game series with two outs in the seventh inning and a man on first base. You have too much invested in being anti-drought. The fact that it is the driest year to date at any point into the growing season is very notable. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 6, 2023 Share Posted June 6, 2023 18 hours ago, mattie g said: ^ Perfect time to wade the Potomac to fish for smallmouth! Shush. People will learn. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted June 6, 2023 Share Posted June 6, 2023 14 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: I’ll ask the most important and burning question. How were the following winters? Jan 87 was famous for the double-whammy snowfall of about 12"+ 9" within a few days. Plus it was quite cold. I remember the Northeast Blizzard of Dec 1969. . About 20-30" in NY/PA, but the usual shaft job for home. (My family traveled from Syracuse NY to MoCo right in the teeth of it) Not too conclusive I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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