Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 the 12z JMA sucks if you were looking for a repeat of 00z JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ji said: the 12z JMA sucks if you were looking for a repeat of 00z JMA 6z sucked too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 this will be the remembered as the winter where we couldnt get any threats...nobody could make any maps...we didnt get any warnings or watches.....just a non winter in my books. Its like the warm version of 01-02. We cant seem to get to that next level and winter is starting to wind down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ukie came close to something big, but throws us typical crumbs. It is .2 for the entire area right? Or am I reading the map wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Yo NAM where’s my snow?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, clskinsfan said: It is .2 for the entire area right? Or am I reading the map wrong? Yea, looked like everything else with a general 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, MD Snow said: 6z sucked too... what really sucked was i thought we were onto something. First was the CMC...and then the JMA went nuclear...and the euro came in and just crashed the entire party like usual when alot of us were were expecting and improvement. The usual 1 step forward 9 steps back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 14 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I read an article that they are going to spread brine from aircraft overnight. lol it wouldn't surprise me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, WxUSAF said: Yo NAM where’s my snow?? And the people in Glen Burnie are asking too "Yo NAM where's my snow at??" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 24 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Flurries in Westminster . Tiny but there..lol I can confirm that. Heading out to Hanover PA and flurries visible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yo NAM where’s my snow?? Some individual pixels crossing the bay. Be safe dude. It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: this will be the remembered as the winter where we couldnt get any threats...nobody could make any maps...we didnt get any warnings or watches.....just a non winter in my books. Its like the warm version of 01-02. We cant seem to get to that next level and winter is starting to wind down basically you had the GGEM and JMA caving to the 12z euro...and then the 00z euro comes out and says, why the hell are you caving to me....i cant forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Some individual pixels crossing the bay. Be safe dude. It's coming. they just closed the bay bridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 40 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Is there a sledding hill??? I have a good one in the front yard... Just need some snow on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlowerLowerDE Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 The inverted trough is paying off. Now I have tiny flakes too. I'll send them west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ji said: what really sucked was i thought we were onto something. First was the CMC...and then the JMA went nuclear...and the euro came in and just crashed the entire party like usual when alot of us were were expecting and improvement. The usual 1 step forward 9 steps back 1 minute ago, Ji said: basically you had the GGEM and JMA caving to the 12z euro...and then the 00z euro comes out and says, why the hell are you caving to me....i cant forecast uh boy.....JI's talking to himself now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Flurries here now. So tiny, barely visible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 20 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I read an article that they are going to spread brine from aircraft overnight. hmmmm. maybe it is a way for the government to keep the masses at bay... Just like the chemtrails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: And the people in Glen Burnie are asking too "Yo NAM where's my snow at??" Hey hey hey... watch it with the "people in Glen Burnie" stuff.... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, caviman2201 said: Hey hey hey... watch it with the "people in Glen Burnie" stuff.... lol hey, I grew up in GB and still work there/here I know the lingo lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 After looking at the better maps of the Ukie, I was wrong....it's pure carp for all in the DCA/BWI corridor and no where near .2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, mitchnick said: After looking at the better maps of the Ukie, I was wrong....it's pure carp for all in the DCA/BWI corridor and no where near .2" Leesburg looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 2 hours ago, Bob Chill said: True but the surface, mid, and upper level flow is out of the south or SW as the precip moves through. If it was out of the west or NW then yea, winchester and leesburg are gettin holed. I know I'm late here but a SW flow at the surface still downslopes pretty badly east of the blue ridge. Actually due to that trajectory the effects could be more severe but not as far reaching. The flow is actually off the higher peaks in central VA but because it's a longer fetch to us more chance for precip to redevelop. But places just east of the ridges not so much. I experienced this for years in state college pa. Now your right that with a SW flow system they do ok but that's because a lot of times there is just enough of a surface wave to create just enough easterly component to the wind so that the downslope is muted. But in this case if there is no surface system at all during our snow (the one that finally develops is way too east) and the surface flow is straight off the 3000+ Alleghany and blue ridge mountains then there will be a shadow. That doesn't mean the nam is right. It could be missing the wind trajectory a fraction and that's all the difference. But I do see what's it's doing and it's not unfeasable. Btw it does even out. The same factor is why those same places get crushed when there is a coastal hugger and they get an easterly fetch like Jan 96, the first 2 2009/2010 storms and 2016. And do well in plenty of events we would rather forget like march 2013. But it does mean they are susceptible to dry patches when we lack a southern stream and are reliant on northern stream stuff. Nickel and dime doesn't work for them as well. So they are a boom/bust area. In a good year with a stj they can clean up. In a bad year it can be really bad. But all it takes is one coast hugger where 95 goes to rain and they get 12" and they jump on top. But this general Nina pattern we've been stuck in for 2 years is their worst nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: After looking at the better maps of the Ukie, I was wrong....it's pure carp for all in the DCA/BWI corridor and no where near .2" Uk has been trash all winter for our “events”. GFS/GEM/GEFS/GEPS this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Leesburg looks good. There's no carp in Leesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Uk has been trash all winter for our “events”. GFS/GEM/GEFS/GEPS this winter. The Brits seem to be convinced that the only place in America that snows is New "England." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 21 minutes ago, Ji said: this will be the remembered as the winter where we couldnt get any threats...nobody could make any maps...we didnt get any warnings or watches.....just a non winter in my books. Its like the warm version of 01-02. We cant seem to get to that next level and winter is starting to wind down We will be fighting sun angle from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 44 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Flurries in Westminster . Tiny but there..lol Seeing some pixie dust here now as well. Real light though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 We are now halfway through meteorological winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Flurries in Gambrills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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