Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: Is there anyway the gfs and ensembles could be so wrong so close to game time? Just hard to phathom Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk We're going to find out pretty quick. A lot of support building for what the euro showed at 12z. Euro has had a number of decent runs in a row too. At least 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: The jma loves coastal but this is a good sign. I usually worry when it's not on board with the A team models Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Jma is like 1" qpf for dc and it's not even done at hr84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Imagine if euro came in like jma.Lol not happening but would be a crazy panick storm mode bread milk gone by end of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 I haven't seen the jma give us anything good for a long time but it's usually pretty good in this range. The fact that it improved is a real good signSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Euro is backing heights @48 along the EC compared to 12z...trend continues... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Euro definitely west of the GFS through 48. Similar to the CMC but heights not as high off the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Awfully quiteSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Through 60 it doesn't seem as amplified as 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: Awfully quite Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Thinking there is a good reason for silence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Unless something drastic happens after 72 it looks like about .1-.15 across most of the area and it's over. Coastal is weaker and further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 It didn't look as good as cmc at 72. Sounds like it let us down again Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 The Euro sucks and we can't ever get 2 good runs in a row Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Unless something drastic happens after 72 it looks like about .1-.15 across most of the area and it's over. Coastal is weaker and further south. .15 it is over an 18 hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Close but no cigar. Backed off on the amp/coastal. 1-3 is all we get this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 Whatever. Lack of sleep for that? This winter is something else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 I tried to be positive today....never again Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Anytime we are at a crossroads and need that one final push...we go 3 step backwardsSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 H5 closes off but not until off the coast. Looks most like the ukie with the 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: Close but no cigar. Backed off on the amp/coastal. 1-3 is all we get this run. i think i'm moving onto 12z...until then there doesn't seem to be enough trend/consensus. on the bright side, 1-3" is better than no inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Now all we have is the jma...good Lord Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, 87storms said: i think i'm moving onto 12z...until then there doesn't seem to be enough trend/consensus. on the bright side, 1-3" is better than no inches. Yeah, glad it wasn't as abysmal as the GFS has been, but it certainly wasn't great, and of course disappointing given what we had seen so far in the 0z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: Close but no cigar. Backed off on the amp/coastal. 1-3 is all we get this run. GFS again? Huh...challenging EURO for the crown this season? (And outside that one fantasy run in the LR towards the end of last month, it has predicted all our failures so far, it seems...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, 87storms said: i think i'm moving onto 12z...until then there doesn't seem to be enough trend/consensus. on the bright side, 1-3" is better than no inches. It's been the most likely scenario since the beginning. Euro just missed closing off in time. Wouldn't surprise me if it comes back at 12z. We're right at 72hr leads and not far from a better solution. I'l hug the cmc and jma tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: GFS again? Huh...challenging EURO for the crown this season? (And outside that one fantasy run in the LR towards the end of last month, it has predicted all our failures so far, it seems...) Let's wait until it actually happens before declaring anything. Gfs is furthest from consensus at this point and wrangling at 72 hours is part of the game every single time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's been the most likely scenario since the beginning. Euro just missed closing off in time. Wouldn't surprise me if it comes back at 12z. We right at 72hr leads and not far from a better solution. I'l hug the cmc and jma tonight yea, seems to be enough going on with this system to keep it interesting for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, 87storms said: i think i'm moving onto 12z...until then there doesn't seem to be enough trend/consensus. on the bright side, 1-3" is better than no inches. One is questionable at this point out here. I really cant believe the way this winter has gone so far. I may need to follow @WinterWxLuvr lead and bail on tracking this ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Let's give it till 12z. 0z and 12z don't seem to be in Sync. Plenty of time..Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: It's been the most likely scenario since the beginning. Euro just missed closing off in time. Wouldn't surprise me if it comes back at 12z. We right at 72hr leads and not far from a better solution. I'l hug the cmc and jma tonight Definitely not over yet. Everyone is going to see some snow regardless of the coastal. At this point 2-3 inches is more likely than a dusting to 1. Too bad that's not good enough for some but I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: One is questionable at this point out here. I really cant believe the way this winter has gone so far. I may need to follow @WinterWxLuvr lead and bail on tracking this ****. it's probably questionable here too lol. i don't think consensus is there yet. i'm gonna give it until 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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