PowellVolz Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 7:44 PM, TellicoWx said: Like Jeff said...there's never been a "dry slot", lift weakened a little but is picking back up. The tower going down caused a lot of panic/cliff divingI was just going by a few posters on here who said the snow tapered to flurries but has picked back up again. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Well that escalated quickly lol...temp just crashed from 35 to 32 in last 5 mins...Heavy snow, vis down to 1/4 mi and ground whitening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 It's finally starting here! The temperature is 37 with a mix of drizzle and flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just a suggestion, can we try to keep the obs in the obs thread and keep this one for whatever modeling we're clinging to at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 The new SREF now has 5 members close to 5 inches for Knoxville. Another interesting note, most members are 3 inches or under, but none are between 3 & 5 inches. Chattanooga also doubles its mean to 1.5 inches on the latest run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kentucky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 back band looking healthier now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 A nowcast/observations topic would have been preferable but it's too late for that I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 7:55 PM, BlunderStorm said: A nowcast/observations topic would have been preferable but it's too late for that I guess. Expand One is already open. I’ve been using it this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 7:55 PM, BlunderStorm said: A nowcast/observations topic would have been preferable but it's too late for that I guess. Expand There is already an obs. thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 For those of us in the valley that last band seems to be holding its own and might take hour to 2 hours to work through if you are north of Chatt. That is where we should score. I'm actually surprised at how well that band is holding its own even as it works away from BNA radar with a gap with Hytop down it is still showing good returns further away from BNA radar site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Nasty Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 6:00 PM, snowbird1230 said: Is that a major dry slot coming up the valley? Expand Why yes, yes it is! We had 15 minutes of good snow with temps at 36*. Nothing since. As I type the temp is now 27* with very very very very light flurries. Radar shows snow everywhere but a big dry slot ramming into Chattanooga. I'm not sure the 2nd band will produce for us. We now have light snow as I type but I think Chattanooga area will have the least amount of any location in the state unless something drastically changes soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Nasty Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 7:48 PM, PowellVolz said: I was just going by a few posters on here who said the snow tapered to flurries but has picked back up again. . Expand Ok, that makes sense with the radar being down. Starting to pick up a little bit. Hopefully we eek out at least a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 The band from Nashville into Kentucky is putting down 1+ inch per hour rates in Kentucky and caused them to add more counties to their winter storm warning at JKL. It's just oriented in a way that it's not quite hitting my area. I hope it can make it 50 miles east before it falls apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Touchet Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Bust for Birmingham. It will dissipate and redevelop south of here. We are just getting flurries. I think people along the gulf coast may get a surprise and get more snow than here. Roads are fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 7:59 PM, Uncle Nasty said: Why yes, yes it is! We had 15 minutes of good snow with temps at 36*. Nothing since. As I type the temp is now 27* with very very very very light flurries. Radar shows snow everywhere but a big dry slot ramming into Chattanooga. I'm not sure the 2nd band will produce for us. We now have light snow as I type but I think Chattanooga area will have the least amount of any location in the state unless something drastically changes soon. Expand Not to worry.. folks say the radar site is down.. radar must control snow output also.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 The HRRR is really going to be useless now if it wasn’t already. It uses radar data to initialize each run and with the HUN radar down that is a lot of upstream data missing. Also it can be tough for radars to pick up snow in far ranges especially with mountains in the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 7:50 PM, TellicoWx said: Well that escalated quickly lol...temp just crashed from 35 to 32 in last 5 mins...Heavy snow, vis down to 1/4 mi and ground whitening Expand I'm just across the hill from you Tellico in Robbinsville,NC..it's raining..42°..2500' elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 8:05 PM, Touchet said: Bust for Birmingham. It will dissipate and redevelop south of here. We are just getting flurries. I think people along the gulf coast may get a surprise and get more snow than here. Roads are fine. Expand Well if that happens Spann best hire body guards! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 8:11 PM, snowbird1230 said: I'm just across the hill from you Tellico in Robbinsville,NC..it's raining..42°..2500' elevation Expand Yeah your area will have a really hard time getting anything. GSP did a good write up about warmth getting trapped in the valleys on your side of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Not you my friend. On 1/16/2018 at 7:48 PM, PowellVolz said: I was just going by a few posters on here who said the snow tapered to flurries but has picked back up again. Expand This dude. On 1/16/2018 at 8:08 PM, snowbird1230 said: Not to worry.. folks say the radar site is down.. radar must control snow output also.lol Expand Snowbird is not welcome in our sub-forum region. Now for a dose of reality. GOES-16 shows very subtle lift into the DGZ on the AL/MS border. Columbus radar appears to be weakening as snow moves farther away and under the beam. Then Huntsville is totally down. Nobody is saying big snow; however, light snow will continue for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 MRX radar is picking up snow on the plateau, that must be some good snow. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 8:21 PM, PowellVolz said: MRX radar is picking up snow on the plateau, that must be some good snow. . Expand There is no dry slot, Snow coming off the plateau into the Southern Valley is to far out of range for MRX and Nash to pick up, I have yet to see a real let up in snow here in Athens! Love this radar btw! This is in no way directed to you PV! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Nasty Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 8:29 PM, Kasper said: There is no dry slot, Snow coming off the plateau into the Southern Valley is to far out of range for MRX and Nash to pick up, I have yet to see a real let up in snow here in Athens! Love this radar btw! Expand I agree about the radar being down but looking out my window there is no snow coming from the sky. We had another little burst about 20 minutes ago for a few minutes but it's just cold and cloudy in Ooltewah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 8:29 PM, Kasper said: There is no dry slot, Snow coming off the plateau into the Southern Valley is to far out of range for MRX and Nash to pick up, I have yet to see a real let up in snow here in Athens! Love this radar btw! This is in no way directed to you PV! Who’s saying there’s a dry slot? I’m talking about snow coming off the plateau into the valley. It’s tough for MRX radar to pick snow up in or around Crossville but it’s is with that next band of snow. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 8:39 PM, PowellVolz said: Who’s saying there’s a dry slot? I’m talking about snow coming off the plateau into the valley. It’s tough for MRX radar to pick snow up in or around Crossville but it’s is with that next band of snow. . Expand No one, I was just making a observation, the way I worded that I thought you might think it was directed at you! I was just letting you know my comment had nothing to do with your observation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 extended advisory additional 3 inches possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 There is legitimately no snow over the Chattanooga area now. That hole is legit. Maybe we can squeeze out a little more with the final band. I don’t have anything measurable yet. I may not get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bango Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 How much stock do y’all place in sref plumes? I am guessing it depends on how close they cluster around the mean? Ktri still shows a 3 inch mean, which seems a little optimistic, especially the unlikelihood of some of the upper totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chattywarmnose Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Light snow in Chattanooga now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Touchet Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Places along the gulf coast are cashing out. Far south Louisiana and MS may see 5 inches of powder snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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