AMZ8990 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Anybody around Murfreesboro seeing good returns? Looks like some good rates south of Nash at the moment. Pretty wide swath of heavy snow it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:09 PM, Bango said: Radar Looks considerably more robust to me in roughly similiar frames,.... Expand Looking on pivotal radar definitely looks more robust then models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I still don’t think that the HRRR is really picking up on all the returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bango Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:17 PM, 1234snow said: I still don’t think that the HRRR is really picking up on all the returns. Expand Look at how quick the hrrr tries to break it down in two hours time...seems the radar is already proven it wrong, and given the strength it seems really wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Weather channel has named the storm is Inga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Most of the pics coming in over N. AL show a finer pixie dust type snow falling that's covering the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:25 PM, Bango said: Look at how quick the hrrr tries to break it down in two hours time...seems the radar is already proven it wrong, and given the strength it seems really wrongYep. The real time observation to look for is how well the line holds up crossing the Plateau and how long it gets held up by the Plateau. HRRR and NAM have it sitting there for a while before moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:32 PM, jaxjagman said: .I was about ready to say the radar looks great over you right now Jax! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:33 PM, 1234snow said: I was about ready to say the radar looks great over you right now Jax! Expand Hopefully we can get a inch or two,but yeah it's the best band yet here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Front has passed through the state it's sitting in West nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:32 PM, 1234snow said: Yep. The real time observation to look for is how well the line holds up crossing the Plateau and how long it gets held up by the Plateau. HRRR and NAM have it sitting there for a while before moving east. Expand Its holding good on radar looks like snow almost to Oakridge. I think the models have missed this big time there not seeing the moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:32 PM, 1234snow said: Yep. The real time observation to look for is how well the line holds up crossing the Plateau and how long it gets held up by the Plateau. HRRR and NAM have it sitting there for a while before moving east. Expand As the radar goes onto the Plateau it is like it hits a wall and stops its eastern progression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:39 PM, bearman said: As the radar goes onto the Plateau it is like it hits a wall and stops its eastern progression. Expand Radar on weather underground shows it moving east and filling in some eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Looks like it’s getting over the plateau no problem.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:44 PM, Stovepipe said: Looks like it’s getting over the plateau no problem. . Expand Yikes I’m about to head toward Spring City, in about 30 minutes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastKnox Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 If you look at the loop from about 9 am - now, you'll notice that the eastern progression has slowed. Looks like returns in the Harriman/Rockwood area at 9 and now at 9:45, still at Harriman/Rockwood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 You guys have been at this longer than me but it seems to come up over the Plateau but is having a hard time spilling into the Valley it will get here for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Models are seeing the moisture, problem is they are drying the mid levels out to quickly. Good write-up from HUN disco: One caveat to this is how poorly models have handled the current band of snow. With observed totals exceeding 3 inches in some areas of western Tennessee, am generally inclined to believe that the models are also overdoing the drying trend over the forecast area. However, as the upper level jet becomes more oriented in a north- south direction and lifts to the north, we may lose out on the enhanced lift aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:51 PM, TellicoWx said: Models are seeing the moisture, problem is they are drying the mid levels out to quickly. Good write-up from HUN disco: One caveat to this is how poorly models have handled the current band of snow. With observed totals exceeding 3 inches in some areas of western Tennessee, am generally inclined to believe that the models are also overdoing the drying trend over the forecast area. However, as the upper level jet becomes more oriented in a north- south direction and lifts to the north, we may lose out on the enhanced lift aloft. Expand areas further south will have a better opportunity to realize deeper moisture. Not sure yet how this translates east in TN, but holding out hope for an inch or two across the area, east of the plateau.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:55 PM, tnweathernut said: areas further south will have a better opportunity to realize deeper moisture. Not sure yet how this translates east in TN, but holding out hope for an inch or two across the area, east of the plateau.. Expand Most models show it intensify in east tn before it ends so we should get that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:44 PM, Stovepipe said: Looks like it’s getting over the plateau no problem. . Expand Hey man,where do you get this radar with the vcp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 9:03 AM, John1122 said: I'd like to see the JKL and OHX afd soon. MRX put theirs out but as always, it's woefully lacking on details compared to every other WFO in the country. It could be the blizzard of 93 redux and they'd put out a paragraph about it.Can’t like this enough!!!!In the meantime, I’m singing Tom Petty’s “waiting is the hardest part” while staring at a temperature gauge stuck on 34Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastKnox Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 3:02 PM, snowbird1230 said: Hey man,where do you get this radar with the vcp? Expand Radarscope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:55 PM, tnweathernut said: areas further south will have a better opportunity to realize deeper moisture. Not sure yet how this translates east in TN, but holding out hope for an inch or two across the area, east of the plateau.. Expand Depends on how quickly the lift pulls north for the southern valley. As it pulls north the line decays from south to north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 3:02 PM, snowbird1230 said: Hey man,where do you get this radar with the vcp?Think it’s Radarscope. May be wrong though....Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastKnox Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 3:05 PM, TellicoWx said: Depends on how quickly the lift pulls north for the southern valley. As it pulls north the line decays from south to north. Expand Hopefully it holds off the northern progression. There's a good line of precip extending all the way to Galveston, TX right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Almost 40 dew point 30 in Loudon and the front is supposedly past me wierd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 That snow is stuck right on the edge of the Valley. This is a fine example of why it is so hard to get storms that come from the north west to produce well into the valley. It happens but it is rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastKnox Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 3:10 PM, Mrwolf1972 said: Almost 40 dew point 30 in Loudon and the front is supposedly past me wierd. Expand 37 with a dew point of 10 in East Knoxville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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