UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Snowing nicely with about 1 OTG up here in scroon lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 17 minutes ago, psv88 said: Getting ready for our rainstorm? 40 here and blazing sunshine. Rain to snow Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 9 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Snowing nicely with about 1 OTG up here in scroon lake About 1/2 " here with light snow 27/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 45 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: That’s actually not entirely true. The cold ocean flow prevented a total meltdown from the blizzard. At least at my house on the south shore. I still have a decent amount of natural snow left. I’m not sure where you’re at exactly...but I just flew over Long Beach on the ILS31R. Beyond the frozen edges Of the bay I did not see any snow cover whatsoever. Not doubting your account, But I just want to paint an accurate picture...I flew over 20 minutes ago and there is no snow cover in Long Beach west to Rockaway east to Lido and Jones. Again, I’m not being confrontational but I’m just putting that out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 7AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 a professional meteorologist's worst enemy is their ego. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
erfus Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Euro output for NYC (Manhattan) with side-by-side 3-hour precip and 925MB temperatures, all from weather.us. Tough call for the City, looks like the 925 temps peak at +1. I've seen worse. Hope we can squeeze a few inches out of this less than ideal setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Current temp is 38 here, have also had some peeks of sun over the last couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 29 minutes ago, psv88 said: I noticed that the south shore is colder than mid island right now. Ocean and sound keeping the beaches cooler today, inland LI is up into the 40s. Almost like a sea breeze today... It's like there is a wobbly coastal front. We hit 44 twenty five minutes ago and now it is down to 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 33 at work in Parsippany, NJ. 30 at home in Chester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: a professional meteorologist's worst enemy is their ego. Amateurs too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 11 minutes ago, jfklganyc said: I’m not sure where you’re at exactly...but I just flew over Long Beach on the ILS31R. Beyond the frozen edges Of the bay I did not see any snow cover whatsoever. Not doubting your account, But I just want to paint an accurate picture...I flew over 20 minutes ago and there is no snow cover in Long Beach west to Rockaway east to Lido and Jones. Again, I’m not being confrontational but I’m just putting that out there. We don’t have snow cover anymore in Long Beach, we have shopping mall piles and that’s it. I have a couple of tiny left over ice piles. The warm torch last weekend took the solid cover out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Some observations: I just left JFK drove up to Hastings on Hudson. The entire ride through Queens into the Bronx and Westchester featured cloudy skies and the temperature was 35 +/-3 degrees for the entire stretch. No sun, no 40s in this south- north corridor. Coldest point crossing the Whitestone Bridge warmest point in the bowels of the Van Wyck near Jamaica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Only 34 here in Brooklyn so that isn’t too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 37 minutes ago, psv88 said: I noticed that the south shore is colder than mid island right now. Ocean and sound keeping the beaches cooler today, inland LI is up into the 40s. Almost like a sea breeze today... 37 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: We don’t have snow cover anymore in Long Beach, we have shopping mall piles and that’s it. I have a couple of tiny left over ice piles. The warm torch last weekend took the solid cover out. Yeah, same here. The greatest snow piles I ever saw living in Long Beach was at the end of the epic 12/26/10 - 1/27/11 run. It looked like a new mountain range forming in the empty lot between Edwards and Riverside near the boardwalk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 9 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Only 34 here in Brooklyn so that isn’t too bad. 37 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 18Z NAM looks great QPF wise, haven't analyzed temps yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 13 minutes ago, jm1220 said: We don’t have snow cover anymore in Long Beach, we have shopping mall piles and that’s it. I have a couple of tiny left over ice piles. The warm torch last weekend took the solid cover out. There's a few drifts around, maybe even a few traces in very sheltered locations if you care to look for them, but mostly just old piles. That was mostly warmth and fog. We only had 0.45" of rainfall over the weekend. Temperature roller coaster continues. Down to 36 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Surface temps are in the lower to mid 30's. 925mb temps are a problem. The 925mb low passing over LI is going to mean dry slot as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Guys, beware using 10:1 snow ratios! The ratios are going to be lower than that. The lift in the DGZ is not good, the boundary layer is extremely marginal and mid-level temps are marginal. The ratios are going to stink for this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: Guys, beware using 10:1 snow ratios! The ratios are going to be lower than that. The lift in the DGZ is not good, the boundary layer is extremely marginal and mid-level temps are marginal. The ratios are going to stink for this storm Mostly a non event until you're north of the metro. A nuisance 1-3" type storm that won't affect many since temps/roads will be above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Guys, beware using 10:1 snow ratios! The ratios are going to be lower than that. The lift in the DGZ is not good, the boundary layer is extremely marginal and mid-level temps are marginal. The ratios are going to stink for this storm That's not entirely accurate. The warm layer is extremely shallow. The interior has a period of good lift around 700mb where temps will be -8C to -12C which is generally favorable. This has the potential of delivering a period of very heavy wet snow around sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Mostly a non event until you're north of the metro. A nuisance 1-3" type storm that won't affect many since temps/roads will be above freezing. its for sure an event in parts of the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, BxEngine said: its for sure an event in parts of the metro. It's becoming less of an event for more people today, but it's still significant. And the time of day couldn't be much worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 MUCH better, still a tad high me thinks for just NW of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 You can see that ugly dry slot over LI associated with the lows passing overhead That's probably the biggest change from the guidance in the last 24 hours. Before it looked as if the mid-level cyclones would pass safely offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: MUCH better, still a tad high me thinks for just NW of NYC. That still says as of 7:51AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Odd cache issue its less than 1 inch for NYC now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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