NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 If the lows actually track over Long Island like the GFS shows, it will not flip the winds to the Northeast. Instead it will be a Southeast flow until after the low passes. And then the area would dry slot instead of flip to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: The snow map on tropical tidbits did not change from 6z. I'm looking at Wxbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: I see no reason that 4 to 6" amounts won't stretch back along 287 in Morris and somerset. There's likely to be a sharp cutoff southeast of there That's my call, and you can disagree. All models show a very sharp cut off North of Morristown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: I'm looking at Wxbell Significant snow line is easy to see here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 8 minutes ago, PB COLTS NECK NJ said: GFS HOUR 24 KNYC / COLTS NECK .2 -4 AT 850 - 1 AT 925 33/32 IT`S ACTUALLY COLDER AT 925 THAN 6Z. The winds are N at hour 24 , the precip is behind the front not out ahead of it. -4 -1 33 on a N wind is L Snow @ KNYC according to the GFS soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 32 degree line is just west of NYC on the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 32 degree line is just west of NYC on the CMC You don't know what 925mb looks like though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, NJwx85 said: You don't know what 925mb looks like though. I guess all we can do now is look at the radar trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 CMC trended slightly colder and east.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Temperatue skyrocketed to 29F, was 20F less than 2 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: What's throwing me off is NWS still has the wwa for CT coast. 3 to 5. Just saw 3k. Does give coast approx. 3. Temps out on LI are already a few degrees warmer than guidance was suggesting at 34 now in ISP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: Temps out on LI are already a few degrees warmer than guidance was suggesting at 34 now in ISP. 34 in Brooklyn where I work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, Mophstymeo said: 34 in Brooklyn where I work. Interior sections will be the place to be for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I am currently at 28 degrees in Pleasantville, NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 28 degrees here in Mahwah. The current forecast has me reaching 34 degrees by 4AM before dropping back to 33 around sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 GEM got hung up at 24 grrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, RedSky said: GEM got hung up at 24 grrr CMC out to 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: CMC out to 240 On tidbits that I use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 About 1” OTG steady light snow falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 23 minutes ago, bluewave said: Interior sections will be the place to be for this one. Finally lol, been watching from the sidelines for as many seasons in recent memory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 It looks like the 12z German model would be mostly snow for Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 TWC just changed their forecast to mostly rain for coastal CT. I expect NWS to follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 6 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Finally lol, been watching from the sidelines for as many seasons in recent memory 3/14/17? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It looks like the 12z German model would be mostly snow for Central Park. Really? Looked to me like it drops rain up to rockland border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said: 3/14/17? Right? Biggest storm in 3 years...which is the new ten years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Really? Looked to me like it drops rain up to rockland border I looked at the metrogram. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: I looked at the metrogram. Yea it doesn’t give 850s so idk but surface is marginal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: I looked at the metrogram. On tidbits it was warmer. Cut back from NJ through coastal CT. If this trend does not stop 84 will be in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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