Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Just one disaster after another this winter. We can't get precip Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Yea, looks dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Yea, looks dry CMC even drier... Precip is like golf right? The lower number, the better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 No matter how the next 20 something model runs fall, if anyone cant see we are headed into a pattern that CAN deliver, I'm not sure there's much hope for you.... I'd take this 10fold over Dec/Jan. freezmageddon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 10 hours ago, stormtracker said: UK smoking bowls today. Ripping b(p)ingers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Yea, looks dryLol alot of that is from Sunday rain. 1 inch qpf from 3 events Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 4 minutes ago, Cobalt said: CMC even drier... Precip is like golf right? The lower number, the better? can we please put these in the DROUGHT thread.....hehe ok, i'm going to bed. Gnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Never denied the cmc looking good but the model is always wrong. Otherwise I wouldn't be in this mood Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: Lol alot of that is from Sunday rain. 1 inch qpf from 3 events Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk and the other .5 to 1.0 is from 2/3 event and beyond. Sorry that thats not enough for you.... gnight debbie. See you in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 19 minutes ago, Ji said: This will become a non event soon...frontal passage like euro Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk The euro wasn't a frontal passage. It had a wave at 12z and dropped 1-2". Could have been more but we lose the first 1/2 to warm temps. It wasn't the most amped thing ever but it had .3-.5 qpf across the area. That's not a frontal passage. Maybe you saw the old run from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ji said: Never denied the cmc looking good but the model is always wrong. Otherwise I wouldn't be in this mood Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk I don't think hobby is for you if 1 model run puts you in a bad mood. We're lucking to have stuff to track before our "awaited pattern change" happens after Feb 3rd, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 25 minutes ago, Ji said: This will become a non event soon...frontal passage like euro Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk 12z Euro...not just a frontal passage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 I don't think hobby is for you if 1 model run puts you in a bad mood. We're lucking to have stuff to track before our "awaited pattern change" happens after Feb 3rd, no? It's not one model run. We had no snow since dec9 and its almost February. And it's been a cold winter Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Just now, Ji said: It's not one model run. We had no snow since dec9 and its almost February. And it's been a cold winter Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Every 0z op just dropped snow and good precip in general and the flip out of a shutout pattern is ahead of schedule. But that's a disaster. Unless you like droughts. Then 0z is nightmare worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 12z Euro...not just a frontal passage Ok..its better than last night but that might be the weakness non frontal passage of all time lol. But we have already seen the gfs weaken quite a bit. 1-2 inch events are not going to work for meSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 My advice to everyone is to be extremely skeptical till all the models scream for 3 inches or more 24-48 hours out Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 PSA!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Ukie looks decent. Temp panels arent up yet but this looks pasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ji said: My advice to everyone is to be extremely skeptical till all the models scream for 3 inches or more 24-48 hours out Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Soo what do we do when the models don't show 3" 8 days out? Complain and whine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Ukie looks decent. Temp panels arent up yet but this looks pasty. Wrong thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Ukie looks decent. Temp panels arent up yet but this looks pasty. The Euro has not followed the UK at all this year. Remember the uk used to be a sneak preview?Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Ukie looks decent. Temp panels arent up yet but this looks pasty. Bob... you are in too many rooms...lol... posted in the wrong one!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 0z Euro Edit: not worthy, but it's pretty sweet. 5" in 12 hours with some pretty sweet rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 The dry front on the euro that Ji doesn't like manages to drop warning criteria snow in much of the area. Lol. That and the 0z gefs being a weenie fest is a good start to the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Too bad the euro has been as reliable as an 85 Yugo this winter past 72hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: Too bad the euro has been as reliable as an 85 Yugo this winter past 72hrs It's hard to ignore 4 globals doing basically the same thing next Friday. Strikingly similar for 6+ day leads. Gefs supports it strongly as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 18 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's hard to ignore 4 globals doing basically the same thing next Friday. Strikingly similar for 6+ day leads. Gefs supports it strongly as well. So much for waking up early to catch the overnight runs. Sounds like a total disaster. Dam, I think I am channeling Ji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 I'd bet on the development and trend toward southeast ridge in the medium/long term. Pacific feels that way right now, block probably stays NW Of Alaska, and maybe even a negative vortex there, and Atlantic is that way because of trend and +SSTs, easily can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Did you know, the NAO has been positive every day this Winter and is projected to be very positive through Feb 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 3 hours ago, Cobalt said: 0z Euro Edit: not worthy, but it's pretty sweet. 5" in 12 hours with some pretty sweet rates. Whoa... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 00 UT EPS snow probabilities for DCA over the next 5, 10, and 15 days are 36/72/84 for 1" and 0/10/22 for 6" with means of 1/3/4". Fairly tight N-S gradient. Probabilities due north of DC at MD/PA border are 50/94/98 and 8/26/40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.