Hoth Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Well there are degrees of rating and this was textbook bombo No question about it. Some of the bombiest bombo I've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 It was an extraordinary event. Not extraordinary snowfall wise, but anything that drops near a foot in NYC and Boston is jettisoned into the KU annals by default. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It was an extraordinary event. Not extraordinary snowfall wise, but anything that drops near a foot in NYC and Boston is jettisoned into the KU annals by default. Wait until 93 walks in the door...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It was an extraordinary event. Not extraordinary snowfall wise, but anything that drops near a foot in NYC and Boston is jettisoned into the KU annals by default. Not only that, but a storm that had already undergone max intensification well south and was hauling arse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 What's up with RGEM on American vendors being so late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 GFS and RGEM. Let's hope the GFS is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Nevermind SNE, look at the differences near NYC between the two....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Nevermind SNE, look at the differences near NYC between the two....lol I know, right? I think the 3-6" forecast for most of CT with less coast and more NW Hills is in decent shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nevermind SNE, look at the differences bear NYC between the two....lol Poor OKX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I know, right? I think the 3-6" forecast for most of CT with less coast and the NW Hills is in decent shape . Plus nobody really lives in Nw hills, so you could prolly say 8" fell in Norfolk, and the goats out there wont Argue that jk lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 I hope the GFS verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I know, right? I think the 3-6" forecast for most of CT with less coast and more NW Hills is in decent shape. Yeah there isn't a whole lot to go on with meh midlevels and almost-certainly-erratic mesoscale aspects that are not easy to pin down. There will porb some weenies bands near/just north the warm front in the boundary layer....NW CT sees the most consistent snows with the inverted trough already setting up there tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah there isn't a whole lot to go on with meh midlevels and almost-certainly-erratic mesoscale aspects that are not easy to pin down. There will porb some weenies bands near/just north the warm front in the boundary layer....NW CT sees the most consistent snows with the inverted trough already setting up there tonight. Yeah I bet some places have over 1.5" already up there. So they'll be good with 6" or so. I really don't know about the Hartford area. We're totally reliant on getting some of that low level forcing in and who the hell knows how that will go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Yeah I’m rooting GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Me too. GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Has gfs ever had a coup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Has gfs ever had a coup Every cutter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 42 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It was an extraordinary event. Not extraordinary snowfall wise, but anything that drops near a foot in NYC and Boston is jettisoned into the KU annals by default. Had it slowed it would have been quite historic. It was impressive here for a storm that was in and out in 12 hrs. 78 lasted for 36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 RAP and HRRR are this for MBY: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: RAP and HRRR are this for MBY: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 hour ago, Hoth said: I'm really feeling a full-on screwgie down here. You can just see those two separate areas of forcing and the two lane pleasure cruise of jack schiat between on radar. It would almost be fitting if that NAM run that blanked me comes to fruition. Of course, even if something does get in here it might well be rain. F this stupid waste and F that system out West that wrecked our PNA and turned a high potential setup into this mundane monstrosity, this mountain of meh, this mehlstrom of mush. Its mother was a hamster, and its father smelt of elderberries. Time to refocus for late Jan, early Feb. Now that is a high quality melt! Bravo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Anyone in the area, try to grab a few candles and make it over to hold Will's hand while he drifts away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RAP and HRRR are this for MBY: Looks like they're definitely doing the more mid level forcing to your west, but enhancing lift near the coastal front too, leaving you stuck in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: Almost looks like they're doing the more mid level forcing to your west, but enhancing lift near the coastal front too, leaving you stuck in between. That is why I hate the colder trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: Almost looks like they're doing the more mid level forcing to your west, but enhancing lift near the coastal front too, leaving you stuck in between. Luckily it's the RAP and HRRR beyond 6 hours where they can be terrible...but RGEM kind of hinted at it too. Luckily NAM/GFS didn't....but I'd rather the RGEM not be doing it...it actually has skill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is why I hate the colder trends. I get to experience it all. Driving to RI FTL. Should be fascinating meteorology on the drive though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Luckily it's the RAP and HRRR beyond 6 hours where they can be terrible...but RGEM kind of hinted at it too. Luckily NAM/GFS didn't....but I'd rather the RGEM not be doing it...it actually has skill. Given the lower level nature of the forcing, you would think the coastal front has a bigger impact on the outcome than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Given the lower level nature of the forcing, you would think the coastal front has a bigger impact on the outcome than normal. I've been thinking all along there will be a good swath of totals just north of that 900-950mb front. But models aren't really that excited about the idea. Of course, we also don't know exactly where it's going to set up shop either...10-15 miles either way could impact a spot location pretty big. The guidance has made the front a bit more diffuse since yesterday, but my guess we will still see some "surprises" associated with it. It's also why I think the totals SW of BOS might have been shaved too much...I think there is a realistic risk there for a swath of 4"+ totals. But yet the HRRR/RAP laugh at me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Honestly you can kind of see it already developing on radar. The western mid/upper level forcing, and he stuff off the coast that will blossom/expand northward and squeeze that gap over interior SNE with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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