weathafella Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: I'm really feeling a full-on screwgie down here. You can just see those two separate areas of forcing and the two lane pleasure cruise of jack schiat between on radar. It would almost be fitting if that NAM run that blanked me comes to fruition. Of course, even if something does get in here it might well be rain. F this stupid waste and F that system out West that wrecked our PNA and turned a high potential setup into this mundane monstrosity, this mountain of meh, this mehlstrom of mush. Its mother was a hamster, and its father smelt of elderberries. Time to refocus for late Jan, early Feb. Just say fuk it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: I'm really feeling a full-on screwgie down here. You can just see those two separate areas of forcing and the two lane pleasure cruise of jack schiat between on radar. It would almost be fitting if that NAM run that blanked me comes to fruition. Of course, even if something does get in here it might well be rain. F this stupid waste and F that system out West that wrecked our PNA and turned a high potential setup into this mundane monstrosity, this mountain of meh, this mehlstrom of mush. Time to refocus for late Jan, early Feb. Hoth you’re losing it lol....anger and hate are the ways to the dark side... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 28 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not like its high stakes...If I get 4" instead of 6", then I'll live. Yeah. It’s not like anyone was really feeling 12”. Or even realistically 10” Just a moderate meh storm like I said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 We get one of these every single winter. Patience grasshoppers this winter will see another KU or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Hoth you’re losing it lol....anger and hate are the ways to the dark side... Hallelujah, holy schiat! Where's the Tylenol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Of course, seeing as I've booked a one footer and am at about 75% of climo in mid-January, I may be a taaad melodramatic. I'll pour one out for our more badly boned friend in Plymouth too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Hallelujah, holy schiat! Where's the Tylenol? I think Danny-Fu*cking-K has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That felt good, didn't it? I like how in the middle of a melt he had the heady awareness to recognize late jan and feb offer hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Reggie is really cold again. Guidance now agrees pretty well on backing off that warm tongue at 900-925. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Reggie is really cold again. Guidance now agrees pretty well on backing off that warm tongue at 900-925. Nice call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I like how in the middle of a melt he had the heady awareness to recognize late jan and feb offer hope. Yeah, 2012 this is not. Not worried at all in the longer range. This system is just bringing back bad memories from early childhood. Congrats NW Ct, go F yourself Shoreline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Reggie is really cold again. Guidance now agrees pretty well on backing off that warm tongue at 900-925. But it seems to be backing off of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Reggie is really cold again. Guidance now agrees pretty well on backing off that warm tongue at 900-925. Any precip drop off? Or is that a bit early to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: But it seems to be backing off of qpf Yea, not so much for your area...gives me like 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: We get one of these every single winter. Patience grasshoppers this winter will see another KU or 2 Another KU? Did the early Jan storm count as a KU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: Any precip drop off? Or is that a bit early to see. Cut back a bit from 18z it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Yeah, 2012 this is not. Not worried at all in the longer range. This system is just bringing back bad memories from early childhood. Congrats NW Ct, go F yourself Shoreline. Climo eventually works its way back. I’m stuck on the fence, could see 2” or 8” here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Another KU? Did the early Jan storm count as a KU? Yeah it was def a cat 1 or so I'm guessing. Not a biggie but pretty large area over 12" in that storm. 12"+ totals I know seem like a dime a dozen to folks these days but they really aren't in the larger picture. Esp over almost the entire region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said: Cut back a bit from 18z it seems. That qpf bomb it had at 18z in SW CT was prob not very realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: That qpf bomb it had at 18z in SW CT was prob not very realistic. This system has lost some appeal in general....what looked like maybe 6-7" 24-30 hours ago looks like 3-5" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Another KU? Did the early Jan storm count as a KU? Ya think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Ya think? It was pretty intense but was the areal coverage enough to get it a Cat 1? Borderline I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Reggie is really cold again. Guidance now agrees pretty well on backing off that warm tongue at 900-925. Initialized 8 degrees too cold for parts of CT. Had us at 24 at 10pm we are already around 32 around Waterbury Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: This system has lost some appeal in general....what looked like maybe 6-7" 24-30 hours ago looks like 3-5" now. I still think this has some tricks up its sleeve. There will be some lucky spots I think that do pretty well where models don't pinpoint right now. Because out midlevels forcing isn't overly dominant, there will probably be a lot of mesoscale features...makes it a hard storm to pin down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I still think this has some tricks up its sleeve. There will be some lucky spots I think that do pretty well where models don't pinpoint right now. Because out midlevels forcing isn't overly dominant, there will probably be a lot of mesoscale features...makes it a hard storm to pin down. Yea, I went with a 3-6" range for my area....could see either end of that. Obnoxious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: It was pretty intense but was the areal coverage enough to get it a Cat 1? Borderline I think. NYC had 10" and Boston had 13". I don't think there's a storm that exists similar to that which failed to be a KU in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Things looking pretty much what i thought with trends also early on ASH dividing line w initial snows I live by exit 5, zero snow on roads till exit 3. 31F is car reading Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: It was pretty intense but was the areal coverage enough to get it a Cat 1? Borderline I think. Simply for its exotically deep LP and coastal flooding it probably merits an honorable mention as a KU, but in terms of crippling snowfall it's not quite up there IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NYC had 10" and Boston had 13". I don't think there's a storm that exists similar to that which failed to be a KU in the past. Yep it's also a great study piece Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Simply for its exotically deep LP and coastal flooding it probably merits an honorable mention as a KU, but in terms of crippling snowfall it's not quite up there IMO. Well there are degrees of rating and this was textbook bombo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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