25thamendmentfan Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 11 minutes ago, 512high said: Good Morning, What can I expect for density? It won't be roided out 1998 Sammy Sosa mansnow but it'll be better than girl scout cookies fluffjob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 9 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said: I think the okx map is decent. They're going climo. They know their history. They have New London getting 3 and New haven 5. New haven always does better or as well as any location on the south coast of New England. They have the Bronx and Manhattan under winter weather advisories but nothing for queens, Brooklyn or Staten island. In a situation like this lower Manhattan and JFK could struggle with an inch or two of slop while Yankee stadium could eke out 4-5 inches. I remember taking the train home in December 2008 during a snowstorm. Heavy rain in Manhattan and the 2nd we cross the bridge heavy snow in the Bronx. Like a light switch. Even NEMO the Bronx have close to 20 inches while central park had 10.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 25 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said: Although whinemaster may have erred by identifying this as a swfe, this is a classic, textbook northeast snow event that features"heaviest snow north and west of the cities and a mix and change to rain south and east." They've been saying this on tv since Don Kent and they'll be saying this long after Harvey Leonard. This is so textbook we could draw the rain snow line in crayon and not look at another computer model for the duration of this storm and each of us would have a margin of error of the changeover of roughly 20 miles give or take from white plains to north haven to Pawtucket to exit 15 on route 24 to the runway of Logan airport. Prolly exit 17-18 on 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 5 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Southern CT should have much more of an east-west gradient, similar to what's reflected (proportionately) on LI, imo. SW CT should see much higher totals than SE CT... What is throwing me off is that all the models show either a mix or rain for the coast of CT. On the point and click its all snow. Even TWC local has all snow. What are they basing the forecast on if not the models? Perhaps the mid levels support snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 6 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Southern CT should have much more of an east-west gradient, similar to what's reflected (proportionately) on LI, imo. SW CT should see much higher totals than SE CT... 2 inches mystic aquarium, 5 inches 5 minutes north of exit 3 interstate 95 Greenwich, ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: What is throwing me off is that all the models show either a mix or rain for the coast of CT. On the point and click its all snow. Even TWC local has all snow. What are they basing the forecast on if not the models? Perhaps the mid levels support snow? They think it can't snow at 32°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Seriously though someone tell me why the 3km is wrong. Seems as though the NAM is a little late in “phasing” the clipper with the low that develops south of Long Island??? Just a guess. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Prolly exit 17-18 on 24 I'm shooting 15 miles farther south to make taunton mehzzard happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: What is throwing me off is that all the models show either a mix or rain for the coast of CT. On the point and click its all snow. Even TWC local has all snow. What are they basing the forecast on if not the models? Perhaps the mid levels support snow? Check out the 6z Rgem. That should give you a good idea. Antecedent airmass is also plenty cold, and so are 850's. Convection should also be deepest right along that CF so they will see high rates and dynamic cooling... I could see 1-3" in SE CT and 5-9" in SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTNoreaster Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 8 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: What is throwing me off is that all the models show either a mix or rain for the coast of CT. On the point and click its all snow. Even TWC local has all snow. What are they basing the forecast on if not the models? Perhaps the mid levels support snow? Poor growth? Then again, I didn't stay at a holiday inn express last night.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 50 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I find it odd that the NWS has coastal CT as getting 3 to 5 inches of snow. I thought that the majority of the models showed rain for the coast? What are they seeing that we are not? They even have NYC getting 4. Get back in there and SELL SELL SELL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 9 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Check out the 6z Rgem. That should give you a good idea. Antecedent airmass is also plenty cold, and so are 850's. Convection should also be deepest right along that CF so they will see high rates and dynamic cooling... I could see 1-3" in SE CT and 5-9" in SW CT. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Whatever happened to Litchfield libations? He was fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTNoreaster Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 14 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Check out the 6z Rgem. That should give you a good idea. Antecedent airmass is also plenty cold, and so are 850's. Convection should also be deepest right along that CF so they will see high rates and dynamic cooling... I could see 1-3" in SE CT and 5-9" in SW CT. I'll buy, anything over 2 or 3 is gravy, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said: Whatever happened to Litchfield libations? He was fun. Ya and harwington Dude that was a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said: Whatever happened to Litchfield libations? He was fun. Fun like a tooth extraction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3km hasto be right. Has the E MA jack and we know these to be the new norm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 3km hasto be right. Has the E MA jack and we know these to be the new norm. Yes but you dont deserve it, the islands to your SE do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 12 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said: Whatever happened to Litchfield libations? He was fun. He's around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 19 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said: Whatever happened to Litchfield libations? He was fun. Yeah they should un-ban him, he was a riot. I wish forky would post more too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 20 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said: Whatever happened to Litchfield libations? He was fun. He’s incognito Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Yeah they should un-ban him, he was a riot. I wish forky would post more too. Bring him and SnowNH back as a 2fer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: Box seems aggressive on the high end for my area with a 5"-9" range. Until this morning I did not know there was a chance of rain in there too. Euro is so so borderline for us, has us snow then sleeting then rain then back to snow, warm tongue punches almost to Tolland but not quite, have to see what transpires. Seems a little aggressive probably, well we can hope its about 20 miles too far inland. We usually see the line across Voluntown Preston Norwich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Nam with a pretty good convergence band in wct for early rush hour tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nam with a pretty good convergence band in wct for early rush hour tomorrow. Nams a toaster bath, the thermals are really messed up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes but you dont deserve it, the islands to your SE do. Ain't happenin (and you know the rest) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Thanks for the updates on Litchfield libations. I'm sure he's down in Fairfield county on the post road as we speak screaming big winter incoming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nams a toaster bath Yea its warm for se of 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 If i was a snow lover on the cape i would either be in a padded room or have a fetish for high heels squashing my nads this could be a tolland E relative screwgie (per mesoscale)models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Ugly for a lot, congrats MPM Hunchie Dendrite Jeffafafa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.