Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Euro looks maybe a little warm there but all other guidance keeps you below 0C at 950mb which means it's prob gonna be paste snow there. Euro is prob a little too happy with that CF advancement. It's going to be a sharp cutoff as the the low is developing along the frontal boundary itself that is pushing eastward. I'd hedge a bit as well to the cooler side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 BOX radar down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I'm riding the 3km Nammy. Yeah, me to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Bah, probably slop down here. Good luck inland. We'll try again in February. On an unrelated note, a few mood flakes here this morning, which I did not expect. Figured CT River was as far as it would get. I wouldn’t count yourself out. Could be a difference between immediate coast and a few miles inland like the merrit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This could be a pretty good event. There's some good things going with it. Nice baroclinic zone, the snow growth region is pretty deep on a lot of the soundings I looked at, and there is prob going to be some LL convergence/CF enhancement as well off the coastline. Id watch for solid warning snow potential outside of 128 and esp along the 495 belt down toward 84 through CT Surprised more watches/warnings haven't gone up for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, WintersComing said: Surprised more watches/warnings haven't gone up for CT. It's just where the confidence is highest. Doesn't mean it can't or won't be extended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 NWS Alb map pretty bullish here. Liking the NW trend up this way. Trying to meh my way to avg here. We’re -6.9” for the season. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Looks like a good six incher. Nothing to complain about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's just where the confidence is highest. Doesn't mean it can't or won't be extended. Understandable but overwhelming majority of models at the very least have a decent event (2-4 / 3-6) for most of CT with exception of immediate coast line. Would think at least an advisory at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, J Paul Gordon said: Looks like a good six incher. Nothing to complain about. That's what she said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's just where the confidence is highest. Doesn't mean it can't or won't be extended. The only people that don’t have confidence appears to be BOX. #playitconservativeandclosetovest” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 The 12z rgem is nice and wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: The 12z rgem is nice and wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Enlarged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 Will be some 8-10” amounts without question . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Wednesday looks like a snowy day but today snow on and off and maybe tomorrow-days and days of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Kind of a "little critter" ... It's got some moving pahts ... not really very typically structured, but real as meso nuanced features... Frontogen here... CF convergence there... toss in some thickness gradient because of that persistent ENE flow ... and it's got some intangibles that could feed-in and in total, over produce relative to the 50,000 foot synoptic evolution. This could be one of those deal where you have a general 2-4" but polka dot 7 pops ... The other aspect is that this is a SPV that is opening up... I think that enters some wild card in model handling arguments... That could ignite a jet structure favorable for a NJ Model detonation ...sort of like instantiating a cyclogenesis profile, more so than one delivering to the region from the west. That, in its self, should give a little pause - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I wouldn’t count yourself out. Could be a difference between immediate coast and a few miles inland like the merrit. I'm just trying to steal a little TauntonBlizz juju. I'm going to debby this to a jack! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 925mb temps @48hr. They are a hair warmer over SCT at 42hr and 45hr. Looks like they are falling at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Certainly not a bad event (Tues night Weds morning) but not exciting. Just run of the mill. 4-6” is my call for N ORH. Powder. Areas SE should get similar amounts but denser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 24 minutes ago, JC-CT said: That's what she said. He was pretty happy with it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Hmm, the goofus doesn't appear to be backing off its 6z run. Really digging, heights higher off the east coast. Maybe the euro is onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 I rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, #NoPoles said: I rain I rack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 17 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Enlarged. Interesting snow hole for Worcester county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 5 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: I rain Yeah. Im not feeling this one. Our best chances are today with any OES or Thursday, which appears to be dead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 blue bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 GFS is cold and bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Based on HFS 925, taints PYM and north and west is snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Solid snow event on GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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