Blizz Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 RGEM really looks good for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 4:06 AM, Ginx snewx said: In what way? Certainly not qpf Expand Path of the low and temperature structure. I didn’t even compare qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 2:56 AM, WinterWolf said: Lol. which model are you looking at where it starts tomorrow during the day? NBC 30 says it starts about 3-4 am Wednesday morning, Not tmrw during the day. It’s over by 2:00-3:00 pm Wednesday afternoon. Expand Every model has you snowing this evening . Light stuff . By dawn you’ll have 1-3 on ground. It snowed yesterday , will today and tomorrow . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 3:58 AM, ORH_wxman said: I'm kind of skeptical on the ML stuff being a big deal...we have pretty disorganized mid-levels in this system. There will def be a swath, but I personally think the jack is going to be near the front in the boundary layer...prob somewhere from interior CT up into interior MA to SE NH. Expand Euro came SE a bit and I’d bet dollars to donuts that continues today along with Reggie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 euro and rgem are pretty dead nuts to each other. Unless some massive model failure occurs, a good ole fashioned 6-10” for interior SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3km for ct Lololololol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Textbook SWFE from the R/S locations to the max accumulation zones. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 11:28 AM, Whineminster said: Textbook SWFE from the R/S locations to the max accumulation zones. We take. Expand That's not textbook at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 11:36 AM, CoastalWx said: That's not textbook at all. Expand Textbook scooter telling someone something isn't textbook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 11:39 AM, JC-CT said: Textbook scooter telling someone something isn't textbook. Expand We teach. A real SWFE would have max amounts N of pike into interior NE MA. But whatever, should be a nice event away from SE MA. Not sure about my area/BOS. We ride the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 11:36 AM, CoastalWx said: That's not textbook at all. Expand Particularly when it’s not a SWFE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 Yeah this is not a SWFE. Completely opposite actually. It's a weak clipper with theta e intrusion of the tropical moisture off NC coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Seriously though someone tell me why the 3km is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 12:05 PM, JC-CT said: Seriously though someone tell me why the 3km is wrong. Expand Because it likely just is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 12:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Because it likely just is. Expand It's being consistent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 12:10 PM, JC-CT said: It's being consistent Expand So are the NY Jets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 12:10 PM, JC-CT said: It's being consistent Expand That’s not a prerequisite for being correct...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 12:26 PM, weathafella said: That’s not a prerequisite for being correct...lol. Expand Wife’s been telling me that for 30 years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 12:10 PM, JC-CT said: It's being consistent Expand Next run it’ll jack you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I find it odd that the NWS has coastal CT as getting 3 to 5 inches of snow. I thought that the majority of the models showed rain for the coast? What are they seeing that we are not? They even have NYC getting 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Although whinemaster may have erred by identifying this as a swfe, this is a classic, textbook northeast snow event that features"heaviest snow north and west of the cities and a mix and change to rain south and east." They've been saying this on tv since Don Kent and they'll be saying this long after Harvey Leonard. This is so textbook we could draw the rain snow line in crayon and not look at another computer model for the duration of this storm and each of us would have a margin of error of the changeover of roughly 20 miles give or take from white plains to north haven to Pawtucket to exit 15 on route 24 to the runway of Logan airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Box seems aggressive on the high end for my area with a 5"-9" range. Until this morning I did not know there was a chance of rain in there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 12:54 PM, Cold Miser said: Box seems aggressive on the high end for my area with a 5"-9" range. Until this morning I did not know there was a chance of rain in there too. Expand Seems they are leaning heavy towards the GFS and ignoring the mesos. They are the experts so they must see a reason to do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Good Morning, What can I expect for density? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 12:48 PM, EastonSN+ said: I find it odd that the NWS has coastal CT as getting 3 to 5 inches of snow. I thought that the majority of the models showed rain for the coast? What are they seeing that we are not? They even have NYC getting 4. Expand I think the okx map is decent. They're going climo. They know their history. They have New London getting 3 and New haven 5. New haven always does better or as well as any location on the south coast of New England. They have the Bronx and Manhattan under winter weather advisories but nothing for queens, Brooklyn or Staten island. In a situation like this lower Manhattan and JFK could struggle with an inch or two of slop while Yankee stadium could eke out 4-5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Disagree, bdr and hvn will not do the same as dxr and the 84 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 1:10 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Disagree, bdr and hvn will not do the same as dxr and the 84 corridor. Expand Unless the 3km is right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 On 1/16/2018 at 1:04 PM, 25thamendmentfan said: I think the okx map is decent. They're going climo. They know their history. They have New London getting 3 and New haven 5. New haven always does better or as well as any location on the south coast of New England. They have the Bronx and Manhattan under winter weather advisories but nothing for queens, Brooklyn or Staten island. In a situation like this lower Manhattan and JFK could struggle with an inch or two of slop while Yankee stadium could eke out 4-5 inches. Expand Southern CT should have much more of an east-west gradient, similar to what's reflected (proportionately) on LI, imo. SW CT should see much higher totals than SE CT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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