dryslot Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 6:52 PM, ORH_wxman said: Watch Reggie very closely starting tonight. Once it gets inside of 36 hours it has exceptionally accurate thermals. It's better than the euro in close range on the thermals. So we will see if it tries the same thing as the euro...that would give it more credence. My guess is the final solution ends up a little more tame than the euro. Expand I've noticed its been less then stellar on its qpf field so far this winter, Been overdone in many instance and underdone in others, Not very consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 6:13 PM, powderfreak said: Briefly... Expand When I see maps for these types of systems I automatically move the heaviest band 30-50 miles NW these days. Hope they close campus and I can just ski Wed-Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 days and days of clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 6:47 PM, CoastalWx said: My guess is Ray down to OR H and even TOL are in good shape. Expand Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 As you would expect, the EPS is cooler than the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 6:55 PM, dryslot said: I've noticed its been less then stellar on its qpf field so far this winter, Been overdone in many instance and underdone in others, Not very consistent. Expand Qpf is the lowest scoring parameter on all guidance. So it's no surprise when some models go into slumps. But the thermals are usually very good on rgem. It was colder for Christmas (which was correct...tho euro was also good in that storm too) and showed the pre-Xmas thermals very well...even the brief inch of snow we had before it went to ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 6:55 PM, dryslot said: I've noticed its been less then stellar on its qpf field so far this winter, Been overdone in many instance and underdone in others, Not very consistent. Expand For me it's been the RGEM that's been terrible. That thing has had some whoppers blown up here. It was coldest in the last event up here that never really snowed, more like a couple inches of sand. Had me with like 8" right before go-time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 7:12 PM, powderfreak said: For me it's been the RGEM that's been terrible. That thing has had some whoppers blown up here. It was coldest in the last event up here that never really snowed, more like a couple inches of sand. Had me with like 8" right before go-time. Expand Its been inconsistent, That's what i have noticed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 I agree about the RGEM thermals. It always seems to nail the R/S line down here. It was dead set during the blizzard with regards to the mixing..nailed the line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 7:10 PM, ORH_wxman said: Qpf is the lowest scoring parameter on all guidance. So it's no surprise when some models go into slumps. But the thermals are usually very good on rgem. It was colder for Christmas (which was correct...tho euro was also good in that storm too) and showed the pre-Xmas thermals very well...even the brief inch of snow we had before it went to ZR. Expand I know you have mentioned this on many occasions about its strength in the thermal profile, I have not looked at it as far as upper level stuff this winter because these events for here anyways has been cut n dry as far as these storms have gone, They either have been cold or warm for the most part except for one back in Dec where we had a mixed bag and we were close to the temp gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Not gonna lie I am worried more about qpf than thermals. I queen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 7:39 PM, Ginx snewx said: Not gonna lie I am worried more about qpf than thermals. I queen Expand Fat bottomed girls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 When’s new NAM come out?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 7:44 PM, WintersComing said: When’s new NAM come out? . Expand Just initializing. It will be out far enough though in about half an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Unc sure was juiced down here. Looks like 1" in my hood. Of course, who knows how much of that is actually frozen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 7:44 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Fat bottomed girls? Expand You make the rocking world go "round Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 7:45 PM, Hoth said: Unc sure was juiced down here. Looks like 1" in my hood. Of course, who knows how much of that is actually frozen... Expand We need that GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 6:55 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Low blow tbh Expand Why? Once we’ve been close to the threat he keeps it real, knowing it will rain. Either way... it’s looking like I’ll be slotted or raining so, we meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 8:08 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Either way... it’s looking like I’ll be slotted or raining so, we meh Expand they aren't mutually exclusive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 snow from texas to maine, that's kind of cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trat Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 WSW expanded by BOX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Nam seems to take every available opportunity not to snow on southern CT. Just curls west, north and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 8:16 PM, Hoth said: Nam seems to take every available opportunity not to snow on southern CT. Just curls west, north and east. Expand It just looks ragged in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 8:12 PM, trat said: WSW expanded by BOX Expand AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Watches are up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 NAM respecting antecedent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trat Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Surprised it goes south of Boston now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 7:44 PM, WintersComing said: When’s new NAM come out? . Expand Oh how I pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 New Nammy looks a bit more developed so it cooled just a hair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 8:17 PM, JC-CT said: It just looks ragged in general. Expand Lol, it gives me Bluto's GPA. 0.0. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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