jburns Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Bannings are about to start. Get back on topic and stay there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 HRRR showing snow lasting for RDU until 1AM?! WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Also, upper level temps are fine. It is just surface temps that haven't cooled below freezing for many. The points people have made the past couple days is it wont be too warm to snow. NOT you will get a foot of snow. 925 and 850 are well east. So there is no need for them to cool. Just your surface temps will cool. Unfortunately there is a low forming off the coast fighting with the ULL for surface temps creating a sharp cutoff of accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow is occurring or will begin shortly. Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected. * WHERE...Portions of central North Carolina, including the eastern Piedmont, along and east of Highway 1, and the northwestern Coastal Plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Do you expect them to issue WSW?No telling.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderwolf Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Starting to see the makings of a low off of Cape Fear. This may end up enhancing totals across eastern NC if temperatures can crash enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Why are the HRRR and NAM still showing so much more qpf falling over the next few hours in RDU? Comma head maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Any chance the low throws precip back to wake co? Or is the low forming too far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, wake4est said: Why are the HRRR and NAM still showing so much more qpf falling over the next few hours in RDU? Comma head maybe? Looks like precip is slowing down slightly on radar. But it will be lighter after the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, SEwakenosnowforu said: Any chance the low throws precip back to wake co? Or is the low forming too far north? If anything, the low is too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Channel 11 news... we don't have to worry about the snow showing on radar out in the mountains/foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: If anything, the low is too far south. The coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, SEwakenosnowforu said: The coastal? Yea. It will form down near the SC coast and go north east pulling the precip away from you goes. It will be too weak and too far out to sea to help you out. It might help enhance the current moisture in the meantime, but it wont throw moisture that far back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragtop50 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now starting to change over to snow here in northern Cumberland County...took all day...but finally see flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 15 minutes ago, thunderwolf said: Starting to see the makings of a low off of Cape Fear. This may end up enhancing totals across eastern NC if temperatures can crash enough. Myrtle beach is forecast for light snow and possibly a dusting at best atm. Would a low forming there make it more difficult for the cold to come in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderwolf Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 10 minutes ago, SEwakenosnowforu said: Any chance the low throws precip back to wake co? Or is the low forming too far north? That would be a big stretch. The low is not strong enough nor is it showing signs of deepening rapidly enough for that. East of 95 could end up with some enhancement though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 HRRR shows the band weakening a little but then beefing back up around the CLT area. Still prob just an inch at most, but lets see if this band does indeed re intensify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 6 minutes ago, ragtop50 said: Just now starting to change over to snow here in northern Cumberland County...took all day...but finally see flakes. Glad you can finally get it on the action. I know your pain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderwolf Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, goldman75 said: Myrtle beach is forecast for light snow and possibly a dusting at best atm. Would a low forming there make it more difficult for the cold to come in? MB will likely be too far south to see any impacts as the low gets a bit better organized later tonight. Should the low become better organized than forecast, it is possible to see a meso-band develop to the northwest of its track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 What a great day!. Very close to 6". Temp is below freezing and the snow I'm getting right now is still accumulating nicely. Definitely consider this a win, greedy part of me wants a couple more inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, thunderwolf said: MB will likely be too far south to see any impacts as the low gets a bit better organized later tonight. Should the low become better organized than forecast, it is possible to see a meso-band develop to the northwest of its track. While you are answering questions: that band associated with the ULL, will it affect Triangle? Models aren't clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderwolf Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: While you are answering questions: that band associated with the ULL, will it affect Triangle? Models aren't clear. I think that band will kinda fizzle out as the energy consolidates more towards the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: Any chance ILM sees anything? There's a chance. Probably not until the slp pulls to your north east and that diffuse uper level back end comes through. Flurries and a dusting maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Ratios have definitely improved out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 We really need the see the coastal low bombing a bit to get us in the game for more than a 1-2" type event down here.....basically the 12K NAM and RGEM need to be right, the I went to bed this morning ( working nights this week ) with no model showing more than 1" for MBY, I wake up and the 12K has 6-8" and the RGEM probably had 3-5", HRRR 3-4" for MBY. Kinda surprised to see that.....hope it works out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norwegian Cyclone Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 hour ago, DopplerWx said: ouch. what happened to the 8-10" totals? my old house got 2.1" i would have been PISSED. Granted, that was as of 1:00 PM. Many areas, especially in Orange/Chatham/Durham/Wake have added since then. I just measured about 9.5" in my front yard and heard a report on the radio that Carrboro had 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norwegian Cyclone Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Updated (well, as of 3:00 PM) accumulation map from NWS Raleigh. That 9.5" south of Saxapahaw seems legit, there is at least that much in my neighborhood a few miles to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 HRRR 20z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtgus Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 I've got alot more than the six they are showing for the area between Greensboro and Burlington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norwegian Cyclone Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, jtgus said: I've got alot more than the six they are showing for the area between Greensboro and Burlington When all is said and done I think there will be a substantial band of 8-10" from GSO all the way to Hillsborough/Chapel Hill. Amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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