snowlover91 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Don't look now but NAM has Eastern NC getting hit as hard or harder as the coastal develops... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, ragtop50 said: I would gladly trade with you! We were supposed to have 1 to 3 inches by now and it is still raining. I do feel horrible for you. Believe me. Just don't ever trust anyone on this board when they say "temps will not be a problem" lol...yeah...ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PirateWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 18z NAM getting Eastern NC back in the game with a bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 GSP not too excited for any additional backend accumulations from AFD. We’ll see. Pretty good snow falling right now in Cherryville from backend band setting up in last 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 WSW update. Additional 2-4” expected east of us1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 6 minutes ago, snowlover91 said: Don't look now but NAM has Eastern NC getting hit as hard or harder as the coastal develops... Slower and sharper with the trough keeps increasing our chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolBreeze Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 From the NWS for the Western Piedmont of NC, just now: ... WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT... HEAVY SNOW IS OCCURRING. PLAN ON DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED, EXCEPT AROUND 1 INCH ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 74. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 15 hours ago, WidreMann said: Don't really care about watching mixed snow fall and not accumulate. This post did not age well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, magpiemaniac said: This post did not age well. If it were 35-37 like the models were showing, then it would have been like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Don't look now but NAM has Eastern NC getting hit as hard or harder as the coastal develops...I’m stoked about that. Let’s see what AKQ thinks about that and if they react accordingly and change our WWA to a WSW.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: If it were 35-37 like the models were showing, then it would have been like that. The only model showing that was the HRRR which is notorious for being too warm and is terrible with temps, especially in the long range of the model. The 3km NAM and RGEM had the right idea with temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: If it were 35-37 like the models were showing, then it would have been like that. It is 35 to 37 for many right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, snowlover91 said: The only model showing that was the HRRR which is notorious for being too warm and is terrible with temps, especially in the long range of the model. The 3km NAM and RGEM had the right idea with temps. Dude...it is 35 to 37 for many...wake up...many have not seen a drop of snow. They are still under WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, tramadoc said: I’m stoked about that. Let’s see what AKQ thinks about that and if they react accordingly and change our WWA to a WSW. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Would have liked to have seen the 3k back it up but it really didn' at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, SEwakenosnowforu said: Dude...it is 35 to 37 for many...wake up...many have not seen a drop of snow. They are still under WSW I'm well aware of what's going on and things are going according to plan. RGEM had a sharp cutoff and low ratios across Wake county, specifically the SE part where you live. It had the highest totals of 4+ to the west which is where they are. It's going exactly as modeled when you follow the one that has led the way with this storm, the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Would have liked to have seen the 3k back it up but it really didn' at all.Boo...Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, shaggy said: Would have liked to have seen the 3k back it up but it really didn' at all. Key is what RGEM shows as it has led the way... NAM is one step behind it on this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Looks like things are looking up for the coastal low for e nc.. models keep trending wetter and further west with the precip from the coastal should be a fun night for us here in the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Probably already discussed, but we have ourselves a CLOSED 500MB LOW. That's helping enhance that western edge precip and should slow the entire system down I'd think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, Jonathan said: Probably already discussed, but we have ourselves a CLOSED 500MB LOW. That's helping enhance that western edge precip and should slow the entire system down I'd think. correct. comma head might form right over central NC as it pulls east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 RGEM still puts me into WSW criteria for AKQ CWA.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Amazing to see the snow redevelop in upstate SC this late. HRRR hailed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jibbm Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, tramadoc said: RGEM still puts me into WSW criteria for AKQ CWA. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Do you expect them to issue WSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, wxdawg10 said: correct. comma head might form right over central NC as it pulls east If comma head forms, will it finally drop our temps? If it had only been below freezing I would easily have 5 to 6 inches by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, SEwakenosnowforu said: If comma head forms, will it finally drop our temps? If it had only been below freezing I would easily have 5 to 6 inches by now. Temps will drop as the 925mb low slides east. It's sitting just to your south hence the warmer boundary layer temps there. Was very well modeled.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 The NAM posted above is a thing of beauty but at this point in the storm is it something to take seriously or is the HRRR really the most reliable now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGAWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Anyone else notice that the wet snow and lack of wind has limited accumulations under tree canopies? Certain sections of my street are barely covered due to the snow having trouble making it through the large oak branches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, SEwakenosnowforu said: If comma head forms, will it finally drop our temps? If it had only been below freezing I would easily have 5 to 6 inches by now. it should. comma head= heavy rates. but the closed ULL should allow the system to slow down so snow should continue into the evening. your temps should really drop by then and you could still pick up a quick 2-3 inches if you get under a good band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Snow is very light here for the past 20 minutes. Need it to pick up so the melt does not start. 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGAWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Will the band west of charlotte make it to the Triangle before dissipating? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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