Red1976Red Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 18z ICON was big shift west torwards Charlotte and north-west Piedmont and Winston-Greensboro. Wouldn't rule out a climo event here with 1-3" in the favored typical areas when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 What's the 84hr verdict grit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 ...or heck 72? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 NAM didn't end up as good as its last run...trough not as deep and too positive tilt...but it looks better than the GFS/Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 NAM sucks. Weenies senses not as happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 75-84: Snow in WNC. Good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 14, 2018 Author Share Posted January 14, 2018 German model was built using the Euro so it makes you wonder if it comes back left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Goodie goodie gumdrops! A frontal passage snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 84 HR NAM composite radar...FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, Poimen said: 84 HR NAM composite radar...FWIW. Cool! With arcticgeddon the 2nd, we get rain! Winning ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Cool! With arcticgeddon the 2nd, we get rain! Winning ! It’s not rain, it’s how pivotal shows anything that’s virga. Here’s a better idea of what would reach the ground and the form of precip. Also, maybe it’s just me but try adding more to the disco other than just simple one liners that belong in banter... jmho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, snowlover91 said: It’s not rain, it’s how pivotal shows anything that’s virga. Here’s a better idea of what would reach the ground and the form of precip. Also, maybe it’s just me but try adding more to the disco other than just simple one liners that belong in banter... jmho. Thanks for your opinion , this looks even better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Big trend on several models now bringing the goodies to the crest of the blue ridge. Wilkes, Surry, typical down-sloping areas, that do not do well during redevelopment scenarios, which typically benefit Charlotte to Raleigh east etc. Might be trending toward a climo favored area event near and north of i40 and near or west of i77. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 You guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Ok, now I'm really confused. This looks like mtn snow come 7am ET Weds morning and a dry east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 ICON coming in hot and now boys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Just now, CaryWx said: Ok, now I'm really confused. This looks like mtn snow come 7am ET Weds morning and a a dry east. it has the ability to snow 2-3 counties east of the mtns which puts some of us in play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 8 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Ok, now I'm really confused. This looks like mtn snow come 7am ET Weds morning and a dry east. That's the end of the run on the NAM. It's slower with the progression than others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Thanks grit. Need to wait another 24hrs or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 This system looks less likely to deliver for anyone east of Charlotte. Weak precip field from what models show. The trend is weaker overall. Just what I see and I am no MET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 0z ICON is further west with development, now north Georgia and east Tennessee instead of the NC foothills prior run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 mostly dry except northern foothills then out to greensboro maybe dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 better accums than previous run for Sparta, Jefferson, Boone, and some Tennessee border areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 GFS is north for the event, into DC, lighter snows NC mountains, maybe mount airy, and border counties north north north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 GFS not looking good for Wake County... If the 00Z Euro/EPS backs off, then I'm pretty much done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 The UKMET is wetter over AL/MS far north GA at 72. Clearly GFS is likely too dry in those areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 I promised myself I wouldn’t invest my time in this unless it was within 72 hrs. Gotta say tho up my way both Nam and GFS look decent. I’ve had 1/2” of snow this year. I need something from this and at this point would be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 57 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: GFS not looking good for Wake County... If the 00Z Euro/EPS backs off, then I'm pretty much done. I would value the UK much more than the Euro or GFS. Both of those models struggled mightily with the last event that gave Eastern NC a good snow. They didn’t pick up on it until about 36-48 hours out. The UK had it nailed from about 96 hours out and didn’t waver much. It’s quite nice for Eastern NC especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Euro much better than 12z for nc. 2-4” totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Yea for anyone thats up.. EURO looked a lot like last nights run. Slower with the SW and digs more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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