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Potential 1/17-1/18 threat


BullCityWx

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6 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

Ratios are only headed up from where they are now. I think we're going to make the most of the back end of this event.

Agreed.  Rain meter also shows I only lost about .05 of liquid before snow started.  If we can get up to that 15-20 ratio we will really cash out. 

I’ve missed out a lot down here the past few years while you guys 25-30 miles away have gotten decent amounts so I’m just happy to have the ground covered at this point.  Everything else will just make it better. 

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5 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

The leading edge is still rain.  I can confirm down here in southern Wake right now.   Light rain. 

There was no rain-snow transition here in SW Cary. Just snow. It’s been snowing pretty steady for about 45 minutes but no accumulation yet. Ground still too warm. 

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4 minutes ago, Solak said:

NWS RaleighVerified account @NWSRaleigh 15m15 minutes ago

 
 

A look at our mid morning storm-total snowfall accumulation update. Have raised values, especially west of the Triangle where 2"+ reports are already streaming in. Expect 5 - 7" in these areas with a localized 8" amount possible. Roads already becoming hazardous. #NCwx

DTwEEhXX4AIeHNi.jpg

 

Yes, this is interesting because overnight they lowered the totals for my area (east of the sweet spot apparently) to 1-3 inches. Snow started here about 30min ago and there was no rain at the onset, went to moderate snow quickly. And now they have raised totals back up again.

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HRRR is verifying too warm. The 14z run had temps already in the 33-35 range across most of the Triangle for 11 AM, with above freezing stretching up northward into S Va. But instead it's right around freezing for most of the area and below freezing W and NW of Durham. I guess it can't deal with the snow rates properly.

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