mrdaddyman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said: HRRR shows the system "hitching" between 12-2PM and going more neutral. Hence why HRRR dumps .8+ over Wake What is "hitching"? Sorry for the novice question but I'm just trying to learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Snowing in Cary Where in cary are you Brick? No snow near Trader Joe’s yet that I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, mrdaddyman said: What is "hitching"? Sorry for the novice question but I'm just trying to learn. its not a technical term but what i mean by it is that the system will stall briefly, rotate to a more north to south orientation then continue pushing SE very very slowly. Maybe stutter is a better word? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, SouthWake33 said: Where in cary are you Brick? No snow near Trader Joe’s yet that I can tell. Friend on facebook said it was in west Cary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 really coming down - approaching an inch - 28.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Friend on facebook said it was in west Cary You can actually see a small batch of precip ahead of the main band in south cary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norwegian Cyclone Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Doesn't look like too many people are seeing a mix anymore, but the leading edge of the snow is very slow to move eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, fountainguy97 said: its not a technical term but what i mean by it is that the system will stall briefly, rotate to a more north to south orientation then continue pushing SE very very slowly Ah, ok. So I guess it's the same thing when folks say the storm "pivots". That should mean a longer snowfall for certain areas. Cool, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheapdad00 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 8 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Friend on facebook said it was in west Cary I confirm, light snow in west cary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 9 minutes ago, Norwegian Cyclone said: Doesn't look like too many people are seeing a mix anymore, but the leading edge of the snow is very slow to move eastward. Hope that means it stays around longer and dumps on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreensboroWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: Hope that means it stays around longer and dumps on us. Raleigh is going to do fine...4-6" an easy bet right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 I think the models have underestimates the precip with this system... i was only forecasted 1-2 inches and the lates nam only put 1.93 inches in my backyard... and im currently sitting at 2 inches already with about 5-6 more hrs of snow left... I wouldnt be surprised if someone near the triangle didnt end up with close to a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 To those in RDU Sref up again to 5.74....deep breaths, things look good and the delay was forecasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, bess said: I think the models have underestimates the precip with this system... i was only forecasted 1-2 inches and the lates nam only put 1.93 inches in my backyard... and im currently sitting at 2 inches already with about 5-6 more hrs of snow left... I wouldnt be surprised if someone near the triangle didnt end up with close to a foot. yeah its a combination of things and one of those is the ratios. THe Kuchera system is good but flawed. These systems love to over perform as well. the CHapel Hill area may be in that foot talk. They should be heavy for hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snovary said: To those in RDU Sref up again....deep breaths, things look good and the delay was forecasted Yeah SREF looks like average of 6", low outlier at 3", high outliers at 8". But...it also says 1" should have fallen. We've got nothing so far hanging around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 38 minutes ago, calculus1 said: The west to east progression of the back edge of the system has appeared to slow somewhat. This will allow totals to continue to pile up. It would also be nice if it were to tilt more N-S rather than NE-SW, but I don't see any evidence of this at this time. It should turn some as the upper low starts to cut off and turn more neutral Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 NAM thru 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Sounds like the NAM is increasing the jackpot zone again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 NAM qpf. THe lightest blue is .9 and it is still snowing east of Raleigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1.5" of powder is hella better than the snow hole. Should be a good producer up the corridor. Hrrr continues to show redvelopment in the nw upstate in a couple hours. Will be interesting if it does then i prob can top 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3km may be insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Snowing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, oconeexman said: 1.5" of powder is hella better than the snow hole. Should be a good producer up the corridor. Hrrr continues to show redvelopment in the nw upstate in a couple hours. Will be interesting if it does then i prob can top 2". that's fantastic! congratulations! 1 inch here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, oconeexman said: 1.5" of powder is hella better than the snow hole. Should be a good producer up the corridor. Hrrr continues to show redvelopment in the nw upstate in a couple hours. Will be interesting if it does then i prob can top 2". Just don't see the redevelopment . The back edge is RACING east. About all out of NGa entirely. Don't see any pivoting or anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Light steady snow now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Rates are going to easily overcome sfc temps as this pivots east. The NAM is showing some intense banding on the SE side of this upper low. Someone in the Mebane/Hillsborough area up to the VA border is prob going to jackpot 10-12. Raleigh looks great to me for at least 5 to 6. The euro/NAM trended last min towards keeping this cutoff and even slightly strengthening as it heads east, which will spark a SLP offshore. This is a great setup for most of NC save the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Just don't see the redevelopment . The back edge is RACING east. About all out of NGa entirely. Don't see any pivoting or anything Mack, I'm not so sure - I see the back edge slowing considerably in the Upstate on the Intellicast interactive radar - some pivot is also noted - but, I am an optimist! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 14 minutes ago, RTPGiants said: Yeah SREF looks like average of 6", low outlier at 3", high outliers at 8". But...it also says 1" should have fallen. We've got nothing so far hanging around. I don't know where you are, but it's snowing decently here in south Durham and the cars and grass are coated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 I am expecting nothing here in ILM. Should I be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, WidreMann said: I don't know where you are, but it's snowing decently here in south Durham and the cars and grass are coated. Impossible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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