HKY_WX Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 I'll take 5.3 and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norwegian Cyclone Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Snow just begins to pull out of the Triangle by 7:00 PM tomorrow...would be amazing if we can maintain good rates with minimal mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 NoVA loses again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rankin5150 said: Which is a good thing for us. Correct sir? Correct. Will allow the trough to tilt more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, Lookout said: yep pretty big increase. and the 0z nam continues the trend of the hrrr of being slower ending the snow too...earlier runs had the snow over by 6 or 7am for my location..now it's closer to 10am. Which is pretty important as that band might be putting snow down pretty good. wouldn't be shocked if ffc upgraded to a warning for parts of their cwa. you look to be in a really solid spot lookout, perhaps close to the best in georgia. what time does hrrr have the snow ending in ATL? sorry i dont have that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norwegian Cyclone Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Someone will lollipop a 8+ in Randolph and or Chatham County tommorow. Over .5 qpf and great ratios Highway 64 is so often the cutoff for snow vs rain, nice to see it as the lollipop axis for a change lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hrtsdsn Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 I just want to say thanks before the fun begins. I love hanging out here and watching the models, banter and expertise back and forth. Here’s to hoping it covers my grass here in Stanfield, east of Chatlotte!! Either way mother nature takes us Is OK but sure hoping we get a good one. Enjoy the ride!! Cloudy and 40 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 9 minutes ago, Lookout said: yep pretty big increase. and the 0z nam continues the trend of the hrrr of being slower ending the snow too...earlier runs had the snow over by 6 or 7am for my location..now it's closer to 10am. Which is pretty important as that band might be putting snow down pretty good. wouldn't be shocked if ffc upgraded to a warning for parts of their cwa. SREF mean now at 3.2 inches for GSP. The lowest member now is 1.5 inches. That is what what the mean was earlier. Talk about a jump. Dang. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 17, 2018 Author Share Posted January 17, 2018 Slight shift west on the 3K NAM at 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3K NAM has 7" plus totals in the Triad. 7"-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 14 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: East central NC just takes an absolute beating from hrs 16-21. Wow maxima of qpf is awesome. Gonna be some nice pics. Hope you are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norwegian Cyclone Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3K NAM destroys the Hillsborough-to-Henderson corridor. Durham, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, StormyClearweather said: lol, this can't really happen, right??? I woke up this morning to 1-1.5 inch totals on models and now i'm sitting looking at models coming back with somewhere between 4-6 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 For those of us in the Triangle, this westward shift is worrying. There's a sharp cutoff that could easily start edging its way to Wake and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3k NAM and 12K went more Neutral.... Man what a beauty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, RTPGiants said: For those of us in the Triangle, this westward shift is worrying. There's a sharp cutoff that could easily start edging its way to Wake and west. That map is valid at 21Z. Snow should still be falling after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 0z and still snowing in rdu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: 3k NAM and 12K went more Neutral.... Man what a beauty! Me thinks there is still going to be some surprises with this system. That is a great look at 500. The digging really hasn’t stopped since Monday 18z run. If I had to take a stab I would say the precip field will be a little more expansive, even on the northwestern side of the storm. Hope I’m right for people really praying for snow right now, including myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Still trending slower(digging more SW),giving this a chance to turn neutral.Looks like the Euro map 5 days ago. With good snow ratios and a very cold ground someone is going to get thumped,every piece will stick Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Me thinks there is still going to be some surprises with this system. That is a great look at 500. The digging really hasn’t stopped since Monday 18z run. If I had to take a stab I would say the precip field will be a little more expansive, even on the northwestern side of the storm. Hope I’m right for people really praying for snow right now, including myself. Yeah, but I'm losing potential totals for that tilt. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, RTPGiants said: For those of us in the Triangle, this westward shift is worrying. There's a sharp cutoff that could easily start edging its way to Wake and west. I’ve been worried about it for awhile because it really does seem to happen to Wake County every time. When I voiced concern about the NW trend earlier several much more knowledgeable posters told me not to worry, so I am going to try my best not to! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 NAM 3K snow map. Still snowing down east: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 I think there's going to be a coastal. Gut feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 11 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said: you look to be in a really solid spot lookout, perhaps close to the best in georgia. what time does hrrr have the snow ending in ATL? sorry i dont have that map yeah i'm about as good as place as any i suppose. hopefully it works out. hrrr/nam has the snow ending in atlanta around sunrise to 7am. btw, the hrrr now has low temps of ZERO along the alabama/georgia border now tomorrow morning. Other models are only in the teens so maybe a bit overdone but Considering temps are running a bit colder than progged across tn/alabama.....single digits certainly don't seem unreasonable. Just wild considering temps here will be in the mid to upper 20s at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 minute ago, snowinnc said: I’ve been worried about it for awhile because it really does seem to happen to Wake County every time. When I voiced concern about the NW trend earlier several much more knowledgeable posters told me not to worry, so I am going to try my best not to! A lot of the maps that show the sharp cutoff are valid at 18Z. The snow will continue much longer than that. The other maps that show this are still good for wake. We barely had an inch last time and it was good. 2-3" at the least would be awesome this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Wowzers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Give me my 5" and I'll be a happy camper. Been a while since we've seen 5" in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Radar looking good as precip is breaking out now over central AL/NW GA. Northern shield make a beeline toward the NC mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 4-5" for clt on the nam assuming 10:1. a warning will likely be issued for meck here shortly i would think. man what great trends inside 24hrs for once! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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