fountainguy97 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 FWI guys start looking at real time radar. Precip for you guys out west is forming down in Louisiana as we speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: That "c" note got his attention. Yeah, it was all fun and games till Benny Franklin came to the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 salt/brine trucks have been out all day around here. I went to the gym at lunch and saw 4 trucks working the local roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Can the HRRR please be right for once lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 never seen a snow hole before: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Can the HRRR please be right for once lol Could that be accurate with thermals? I've seen no other hints of CLT or really anywhere close as rain during the main band moves through. Would be sad to waste such good rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, Amos83 said: salt/brine trucks have been out all day around here. I went to the gym at lunch and saw 4 trucks working the local roads. Davidson even brined my neighborhood street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 AKQ has expanded the WWA to include far SE VA and NE NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Columbia just put out Winter Storm Warnings for it's northern counties. Has upwards of 2". What is the criteria for Winter Storms? I thought it was 3" or greater. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Columbia SC 238 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 .A strong upper trough and associated arctic cold front will approach and cross the region Wednesday. Increasing moisture along the front will interact with cooling temperatures and result in a period of rain and mixed precipitation overnight, with a transition over to all snow during the morning hours Wednesday. SCZ015-016-170800- /O.UPG.KCAE.WW.Y.0002.180117T0900Z-180117T1900Z/ /O.NEW.KCAE.WS.W.0002.180117T0700Z-180117T2200Z/ Lancaster-Chesterfield- Including the cities of Lancaster, Elgin, Lancaster Mill, Cheraw, and Pageland 238 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the morning commute on Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches are expected. * WHERE...Lancaster and Chesterfield Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for snow accumulating on roadways, especially bridges and overpasses, which could create hazardous travel conditions. Any lingering snow or wet roads could refreeze by late afternoon into evening as temperatures quickly fall back below freezing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather conditions are expected. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 New NAM coming in looks a little better for GA up through NC mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, SnowDeac said: Could that be accurate with thermals? I've seen no other hints of CLT or really anywhere close as rain during the main band moves through. Would be sad to waste such good rates. Just fwiw, the RAP is pretty much all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, SnowDeac said: Could that be accurate with thermals? I've seen no other hints of CLT or really anywhere close as rain during the main band moves through. Would be sad to waste such good rates. it could be, but hrrr at hr18 isn't the mos reliable precip wise or temp wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 26 minutes ago, Poimen said: Serious question: how reliable is the RAP at those longer leads? It has .3 qpf in the Triad by 10am with several more hours of snow to go. It did fairly well here in Eastern NC during the coastal bomb, once inside about 12-15 hours but at the 15-21 hour lead it wasn't that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 WSWarning for RDU for 2-4 with 5" locally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowDeac said: Could that be accurate with thermals? I've seen no other hints of CLT or really anywhere close as rain during the main band moves through. Would be sad to waste such good rates. pretty sure the call all along has been charlotte starts out as rain or rain/snow mix and then transitions somewhat quickly to all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randomgirl Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, drfranklin said: never seen a snow hole before: Lurker with a question... What would reasonably cause a hole like this to form? Climo? Just seems weird for this to set up in this area. Of course i'm almost dead center of it by being in anderson co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Yeah, new NAM is encouraging for N GA up thru upstate and W NC....nice to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, wake4est said: WSWarning for RDU for 2-4 with 5" locally URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Raleigh NC 250 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 ...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .An Arctic cold front will approach from the west this evening, then cross central NC overnight through Wednesday morning. The arrival of the much colder air mass will interact with available moisture to cause a swath of snow across much of central NC. The precipitation may end as light freezing rain or freezing drizzle Wednesday afternoon. NCZ008>011-026>028-041>043-077-085-086-088-171045- /O.UPG.KRAH.WW.Y.0003.180117T0400Z-180118T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KRAH.WS.W.0002.180117T0900Z-180118T0200Z/ Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wake- Johnston-Wilson-Harnett-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland- Including the cities of Oxford, Butner, Creedmoor, Dabney, Henderson, Norlina, Wise, Afton, Warrenton, Lake Gaston, Roanoke Rapids, Pilot, Ingleside, Louisburg, Franklinton, Nashville, Aventon, Red Oak, Sharpsburg, Spring Hope, Rocky Mount, Raleigh, Cary, Smithfield, Clayton, Flowers, Selma, Benson, Coats Crossroads, New Hope, Wilson, Dunn, Anderson Creek, Timberlake, Duncan, Erwin, Angier, Lillington, Laurel Hill, Laurinburg, Antioch, Ashley Heights, Raeford, Rockfish, Silver City, Fayetteville, and Fort Bragg 250 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Moderate to heavy snow expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions, possibly as early as the morning commute. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts up to 5 inches possible. * WHERE...The eastern Piedmont, the Sandhills and most of the coastal plain of central North Carolina. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 9 PM EST Wednesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times, especially between 8 AM and 1 PM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather conditions are expected. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for North Carolina can be found online at DriveNC.gov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Randomgirl said: Lurker with a question... What would reasonably cause a hole like this to form? Climo? Just seems weird for this to set up in this area. Of course i'm almost dead center of it by being in anderson co. Warm bubble. Several high res models are showing a weak warm bubble of air in this area that could waste much of the precip as rain or a mix before changing over. It has happened in quite a few storms and very well could with this setup too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Looks like a late night of snow watching in the upstate into southern foothills and southern piedmont on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Winter Storm warnings now up for Central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 7am tomorrow on the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 will be an increase in qpf this run for sure. a def improvement for the upstate and western nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 12km NAM just went BOOM!!! for the western Upstate and NE/E Georgia!! It's much quicker with cooling the warm bubble area down to freezing as well... has me hitting 32 by 3am. Also, score one for the Rgem... it was showing this 48 hrs out and the NAM models didn't have a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 WSW for areas west of Raleigh, including Durham and Chapel Hill worded a little differently. .WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Moderate to heavy snow expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions, especially during the morning commute on Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected. * WHERE...The western and southern Piedmont of central North Carolina. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Wednesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times, especially between 3 AM and 8 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 .3" qpf for gsp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Noticeably less positive tilt on the NAM = more precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, burrel2 said: 12km NAM just went BOOM!!! for the western Upstate and NE/E Georgia!! It's much quicker with cooling the warm bubble area down to freezing as well... has me highting 32 by 3am. CONGRATS, this is great, anything for ATL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 NAM is Thumping Randolph County at 7:00 am tommorrow. Wed make a run at 6+ under those echoes and rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 still snowing here for rdu but .3" qpf for clt with .4" so close you can smell it. great run. would think ~3" assuming little or no rain at onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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