lj0109 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 12Z Euro actually paints a widespread 1-2 inches throughout central SC, much like the 12Z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Euro is lighter this run in the mtn lee, w upstate, into SW VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Another model with 3 to 4 for Wake Co. This is looking great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldsborosnow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, tramadoc said: Currently 37 degrees at ECG on a forecasted high of 50… 36 in Pikeville NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 24 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said: Would you potentially include Atlanta in the Columbus to Athens potential region or does Atlanta look to be too far west in your opinion? Thanks Looks like atlanta will do ok, especially if you believe the higher resolution short range models...but they are sort of on the western edge of where the band will re-intensify. Best chances of the most accumulation are probably west/south and southeast/east of town. north and northeast of town is awfully close to the snowhole. 23 minutes ago, oconeexman said: Just catching up on lunch break. I had pretty much written this one off last night. Give me some lee enhancement surprise in the morning! Don't blame you there. Our record here in the lee when dealing with precip and W/NW CAA is not very good to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Another model with 3 to 4 for Wake Co. This is looking great. Can you post the Euro on the other site, when you get a chance, please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Last 2 Euro runs...1st image is most recent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Look where that sweet spot is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, griteater said: Euro is lighter this run in the mtn lee, w upstate, into SW VA Not even worth looking at globals now. Such a dynamic system, short range and now casting time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Last 2 Euro runs...1st image is most recent What's with the QPF expansion east? Will this trend continue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, griteater said: Last 2 Euro runs...1st image is most recent Really consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Can you post the Euro on the other site, when you get a chance, please? you're cold buddy. just plain cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, tramadoc said: 2 minutes ago, griteater said: Last 2 Euro runs...1st image is most recent What's with the QPF expansion east? Will this trend continue? I don't see why precip wouldn't roll on east....but Euro does maximize it there in the E Piedmont / W Coastal Plain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WakeCountyWX Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Not even worth looking at globals now. Such a dynamic system, short range and now casting time Bittercasting I would want them all on my side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Mr. Kuchera Snow images....1st image is most recent run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 5 minutes ago, tramadoc said: 6 minutes ago, griteater said: Last 2 Euro runs...1st image is most recent What's with the QPF expansion east? Will this trend continue? Looking at this, the bottom run seems to have a better handle , wrt the TN part of the storm!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 So, leeside dry slot showing up on globals (ECMWF, GFS), but nearly as pronounced on mesoscale models (NAM, RGEM), and it seems to be non-existent on super-short-range models (RAP, HRRR). Which grouping is correct? Time will tell..., but I'm pulling for the super-short-range models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 The Euro has no interest in starting folks out with a period of rain other than maybe a little at the beginning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, griteater said: The Euro has no interest in starting folks out with a period of rain other than maybe a little at the beginning Makes sense seeing how the only layer above freezing will be the lowest 750 feet or so and will quickly cool once it wetbulbs and precip pulls the colder air down to the surface. NAM and RGEM are that way for NC as well I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 22 minutes ago, weatherlover said: Anybody else seem concerned that it looks like the main precip shield is starting to fall apart in Eastern TN? Do not worry about it. If you look at the radar and see the digging taking place back in the sw around texas, which is spreading the precip out in a sw fashion. This is helping to actually set our system up in a more neutral (or less positive) fashion, which will allow for more redevelopment and precip. Game on IMHO. The more experienced persons/pros can correct me or add to this. @griteater , @Wow and @Queencitywx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Maps still looking good for this end of the triangle too! After the last several storms I’m still watching closely, but looks like this could finally be it for all of us triangle folk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 27 minutes ago, weatherlover said: Anybody else seem concerned that it looks like the main precip shield is starting to fall apart in Eastern TN? not at all...in fact every single model has been showing some weakening of the band this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 18 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Look where that sweet spot is. While it’s pretty to look at you know that it’s not going to be where it ends up. Getting so excited about seeing the sweet spot before it even starts doesn’t make sense. I will be willing to bet that it’s going to go to NW and be closer to Greensboro. Just don’t get your hopes up based on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, snowinnc said: While it’s pretty to look at you know that it’s not going to be where it ends up. Getting so excited about seeing the sweet spot before it even starts doesn’t make sense. I will be willing to bet that it’s going to go to NW and be closer to Greensboro. Just don’t get your hopes up based on that. At this point, I would be surprised if Raleigh didn't get 2-3". I'd put that as a floor. That's a nice little snow event. Get to finally watch a daytime snowfall with no real concern about mixing or changing over to rain. Just a nice, steady, cold snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncjibble Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 5 minutes ago, Tar Heel Snow said: Maps still looking good for this end of the triangle too! After the last several storms I’m still watching closely, but looks like this could finally be it for all of us triangle folk. I'm so hesitant to get excited after so many RDU busts recently. I said that I was done getting excited, but this one is reeling me back in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Euro Start/Stop Time on QPF: GSP: 10PM Tues / 12PM Wed CLT: 3AM Wed / 5PM Wed (max from 7AM to 1PM) RDU: 7AM Wed / 7PM Wed (max from 10AM to 4PM) It never seems to pan out that long, but that's what it has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, Cold Rain said: At this point, I would be surprised if Raleigh didn't get 2-3". I'd put that as a floor. That's a nice little snow event. Get to finally watch a daytime snowfall with no real concern about mixing or changing over to rain. Just a nice, steady, cold snowfall. Yeah, It's been a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 6 minutes ago, snowinnc said: While it’s pretty to look at you know that it’s not going to be where it ends up. Getting so excited about seeing the sweet spot before it even starts doesn’t make sense. I will be willing to bet that it’s going to go to NW and be closer to Greensboro. Just don’t get your hopes up based on that. you would be correct if we were talking about a big gomex low with CAD transfers and the works, however, this is a different set up where a fropa is redeveloping after crossing the apps think about what you are implying, in order for the precip totals to shift westward the band would have to develop sooner and with higher intensity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 This is gonna be one of those events where you can see the ceiling gets lower and lower and then bang, its snowing gangbusters. No mixing, no flurries for 4 hours, just fluffballs. Thermal profile is as good as it gets for a storm across the piedmont. Too bad it initiates overnight for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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