wncsnow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 NAM is coming in less positive tilt and probably going to be a better run for western areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 44 minutes ago, Rankin5150 said: Look at the radar down in Florida Mack. Robert at WxSouth said that if the Florida Panhandle gets snow, then there is a shot at ALL 50 states having snow on the ground at the same time. I wonder when the last time that happened? I believe I read the last time that happened was in the 70s but not 100% sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: NAM is coming in less positive tilt and probably going to be a better run for western areas So far, yes. Want to see the energy in the base of the trough push as far SW as it can to more quickly wave break and cut off to turn neutral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Wow said: So far, yes. Want to see the energy in the base of the trough push as far SW as it can to more quickly wave break and cut off to turn neutral. More moisture in Alabama so far too but still breaks up when it hits the Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Redeveloping.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Nice redevelopment of precip on the NAM by 6Z tonight. Good signs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Columbus, MS., radar loop looks like it's holding the line together quite well: https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=gwx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I believe I read the last time that happened was in the 70s but not 100% sure.February 2010Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Much juicier at the gulf coast making its way to NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Surface temp drops from 35 to 24 from 6Z to 9Z according to the NAM. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 GA looking much better on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 what a look. as expected nam follows the sref uptick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Nice NAM run for the upstate on precip and temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Looks like the NAM is back to the good forcing in N SC and south central NC....good precip band there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 How's the tilt look on the nam? Gotta get neutral to tap the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 ~.25" qpf for clt. better just east of us. going to be a good run for rdu too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, griteater said: Nice NAM run for the upstate on precip and temps Like that look. The rpm models all the local stations this morning, looked just like that ! And they just stuck to their less than an inch forecast. I could see us going under a WSWarning with the afternoon packages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Sig more QPF at 27 from CLT to RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 >2" at rdu at hr 27 and still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, griteater said: Nice NAM run for the upstate on precip and temps nice run for the southern upstate. nam is really teasing me....has amounts pushing 0.20 here but an area of 0.35 just across the border. Would be happy with 0.20 though. Considering the nam has been too dry with this system the entire time so far, it's encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 14 minutes ago, Wow said: So far, yes. Want to see the energy in the base of the trough push as far SW as it can to more quickly wave break and cut off to turn neutral. Look at the radar/vapor. This bad boy seems to be turning to more of a neutral postion!! No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 lollipop of 4" near wake county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 these clown maps could be on the low side as well given the possible rations being more 12-20:1 versus the 10:1 on most of these maps.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3K should be interesting. Nice to see totals beef up across the board as we move in. Hopefully, the other 12Zs follow suit. Good work by the SREF this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersNotComing Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I just got NAM'd! Could someone explain to me the difference between positive, neutral and negative tilt and how it would effect the forecast here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 The higher RES NAM and RGEM appear to be a little south of the globals in terms of where they want to target the core of the precip....not a big difference though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: lollipop of 4" near wake county. One of the rare times S of 85 in GSP area, could be better off than North! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, WintersNotComing said: I just got NAM'd! Could someone explain to me the difference between positive, neutral and negative tilt and how it would effect the forecast here? The more Neutral/Negative Tilt it can go, the more moisture it will bring in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 12k NAM says enjoy your 10+ hours of snow at RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 12K NAM through 39. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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