Thor Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 SREF means ticking up again but have some high outliers most likely pulling up the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 another sref increase for clt, mean up to 1.5" now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, DopplerWx said: another sref increase for clt, mean up to 1.5" now And big increase for RDU as well (~3”, although with some bigger outliers) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Sref plumes looking much better for ORF tonight. Went from 0.5" mean at 15z to 2.3" mean at 21z (excluding one member that had 25" lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 GSO SREF is close to 3" and many members between 3-5." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 SREF a solid 2-4" event baring temps stay below freezing. Sun needs to be limited tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: SREF a solid 2-4" event baring temps stay below freezing. Sun needs to be limited tomorrow. It’s going to be sunny anyway tomorrow so I’d rather it be clear until about 10PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragtop50 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, Queencitywx said: It’s going to be sunny anyway tomorrow so I’d rather it be clear until about 10PM Yes, if we are sunny all day then clear skies early tomorrow night will help us lose the heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, Poimen said: GSO SREF is close to 3" and many members between 3-5." Same for KDAN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Looking at the 21z SREF Mean total precip...it held nicely or increased through the northern 1/2 of SC and all of NC...and it increased for sure from Danville to GSO to Pinehurst to RDU and northeast to Norfolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, griteater said: Looking at the 21z SREF Mean total precip...it held nicely or increased through the northern 1/2 of SC and all of NC...and it increased for sure from Danville to GSO to Pinehurst to RDU and northeast to Norfolk Maybe a sign of the 0z Nam increasing? I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 SREF plumes decreased in a lot of N GA/ N AL that run. Not sure what that means E of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Maybe a sign of the 0z Nam increasing? I hope. My guess is we will see an even more amped Nam, maybe close to the RGEM. with lower totals south and higher totals north, it would make sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichardJacks Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, DixieBlizzard said: SREF plumes decreased in a lot of N GA/ N AL that run. Not sure what that means E of here. Plumes have really gone up for Memphis...there will be mesoscale processes that they are going to miss...will be interesting to watch 0z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 5 minutes ago, ashhh_2007 said: What is it showing? 21z SREF mean shows between 0.1 - 0.25 for northern 1/2 of SC and all of NC, and between 0.25 - 0.50 for the cities/locales I mentioned. Main thing I'm looking at the SREF is just trends...is the mean precip going up or down, as opposed to specific amounts (leave that to the other models). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 13 minutes ago, RichardJacks said: Plumes have really gone up for Memphis...there will be mesoscale processes that they are going to miss...will be interesting to watch 0z nam Richard, I used to live in Birmingham (before moving away in 2003) - my wife and I enjoyed watching you on NBC/13 - thank you for the post! BTW, Birmingham's total snowfall this year has been nothing short of amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 SREF gives GSP 1.5 inches for the mean total. Meh...not impressed. This system can keep it. Give me back 70 and sunny over this nuisance event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 NAM looks good. Jet streak stronger and colder temps. More digging of the trough also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichardJacks Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 9 minutes ago, drfranklin said: Richard, I used to live in Birmingham (before moving away in 2003) - my wife and I enjoyed watching you on NBC/13 - thank you for the post! BTW, Birmingham's total snowfall this year has been nothing short of amazing! Thanks! Glad to chime in when I can... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 NAM looks warmer to start for most..even starts as rain here in VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 NAM looks pretty awful and north through 30.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Eek... NAM is no bueno through 33, at least here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragtop50 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, wncsnow said: NAM looks pretty awful and north through 30.. Fills back in by 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: NAM looks pretty awful and north through 30.. I think even I’d be lucky to get an inch out of that output. Ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 does not cutoff. SE ridge increases and hooks the energy back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 NAM is a little more positive tilt this run. Weak precip just east of the mtns. Looks like it may be fine in eastern piedmont though...radar simulation picking up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 NAM is caving to the GFS...not a good sign for the western piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, ragtop50 said: Fills back in by 34 It does fill in some but not as good as I was hoping looking at SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 wow nam with a snow hole and redevelops east of clt. trace at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 That band of snow is much narrower compared to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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