Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Gsp looks to be asleep at the wheel again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Foothills through 77 corridor hit hard this run of ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:19 PM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Gsp looks to be asleep at the wheel again. Expand Based on current models, I agree. But... It's a tricky setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:17 PM, Wow said: Looks beefy. Expand Looks rainy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:19 PM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Gsp looks to be asleep at the wheel again. Expand Does Brad P work for them ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:21 PM, mackerel_sky said: Looks rainy Expand For SC, yes it is. Shows a meso-low that keeps the BL too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:10 PM, snowbird1230 said: GSP not excited at all..only posted 3 mountain counties under a WWA, and for only above 3500' at that. What is surprising is they are giving 3-4 hours of ..rain..in the mountains...? Expand I believe this has to do with timing of precip - expect MANY more advisories tomorrow AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 500mb trend with the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Well the 18Z RGEM is just as impressive...if not more so...than the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:21 PM, mackerel_sky said: Does Brad P work for them ? Expand Lol. Chief Met I believe lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 CJ calling for an inch for gsp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:26 PM, No snow for you said: CJ calling for an inch for gsp Expand We will be lucky to even get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:17 PM, snowbird1230 said: GSP basically saying rain from 1pm-7pm,then snow from 7pm-8pm..then it's over. Never thought rain would be a problem in the mountains Expand I thought the precip was suppose to come in after dark tomorrow night, guess the weather system has sped up a little. they had first said freezing rain and light snow, since its coming in earlier in the day guess it will be rain but the roads will ice over from the rain Tuesday night with temps around 15, bet a wwa will go up for tomorrow night early Wednesday morning for black ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Blacksburg says no east of the blue ridge. No advisories, limited to West Virginia and VA. 23 mins · Snow lovers are not going to be very impressed with the forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 ICON and new RGEM looks way better for the Atlanta area...wide spread 1-3 inches. I could see continue trends upward...finally models might be catching on to an earlier gulf moisture tap due to a sharper trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 The NAM/CMC/ICON are close, if not a warning criteria event. RAH WS warning criteria: 3"+ in a 12 hour span or 4"+ in a 24 hour span. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:27 PM, Tacoma said: I thought the precip was suppose to come in after dark tomorrow night, guess the weather system has sped up a little. they had first said freezing rain and light snow, since its coming in earlier in the day guess it will be rain but the roads will ice over from the rain Tuesday night with temps around 15, bet a wwa will go up for tomorrow night early Wednesday morning for black ice. Expand wind should help dry the rain and can even dry ice/snow in the type of dry snow. they are considering wind chill advisory actually instead of black ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:26 PM, No snow for you said: CJ calling for an inch for gsp Expand He just said this isn't going to be a big event and no way it could turn into a big event! I think 3" = big event for GSP area, and that doesn't seem impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turner Team Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:30 PM, Red1976Red said: Blacksburg says no east of the blue ridge. No advisories, limited to West Virginia and VA. 23 mins · Snow lovers are not going to be very impressed with the forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday. Expand They are always conservative so that's not a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:27 PM, lilj4425 said: We will be lucky to even get that. Expand agreed - this is a very complex system - guidance models vary - I do think there may be an area of 1-2+ inches of snow in mid-Greenville, southern Spartanburg counties - of course, depending on timing, QPF, temp, etc etc I feel lame chasing a one inch storm but I'm desperate after BMX has rec'd 300% of annual average snowfall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 18z RGEM is dumping on western NC through end of run, looks like 3-6" and pockets much higher with snow still falling. It's a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:33 PM, Turner Team said: They are always conservative so that's not a surprise. Expand They actually downgraded the HWO for my area and decreased amounts as UK and EURO trended toward GFS less moisture. ICON is thrown out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:34 PM, snowlover91 said: 18z RGEM is dumping on western NC through end of run, looks like 3-6" and pockets much higher with snow still falling. It's a bomb. Expand Yes...it's an unreal solution probably but beautiful to look at. It closes off at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 18z GFS coming in worse for the foothills and nearby regions. still running down east could be good there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:35 PM, Red1976Red said: They actually downgraded the HWO for my area and decreased amounts as UK and EURO trended toward GFS less moisture. ICON is thrown out. Expand LOL. Meltdown incoming. UKMET actually is closer to the NAM and other modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 8:33 PM, WarmNose said: Man that gulf tap really got pumping on the NAM once the frontal boundary got over the mountains. Big uptick in totals in the souther part of the upstate Expand The destruction of the precip band as it crosses north ga only to reform quickly as it moves past has been maddening to see on the models. To see virtually *everyone* except north ga see at least some light snow in every direction is just too much. The good news is the models in general have been trending wetter and the eastern/southeastern upstate will be fine but it sure looks like there could be an area of super screwjobbing over north central ga/far western upstate...between the edge of downslope flow and the refiring of precip. The latest runs have me in the snow (except gfs) but it wouldn't take much for me not to be. Considering history here at ga's leeside screwzone, i wouldn't bet against it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/15/2018 at 9:39 PM, Red1976Red said: 18z GFS coming in worse for the foothills and nearby regions. still running down east could be good there Expand Wilkesboro is on the outside looking in on this one! Time for a GSP to RAH jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 New gfs blanks GSP, AVL, Wilkesboro and Mount Airy. Good event Piedmont counties tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 GFS continues the trend of backing the trough southwest but not enough to drop it further and turn more neutral with a cutoff like the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.