griteater Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, Poimen said: You all are going to love the GGEM. Looks good on the old black and white maps for much of NC...significant qpf increases over the eastern half the state especially. It looks like the Euro precip wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WakeCountyWX Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: ??? I just looked at the 00Z GFS and it has a nice period of snow for central NC. Same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 EURO isn't all alone now... GFS wont budge until tomorrow night if it does at all. Think northern NC and east across or just south of the VA state line could get 2 or 3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, WakeCountyWX said: Same here Sorry...it got going late again, maybe an inch or so around RDU. But I was mainly comparing it to the ICON and GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 9 minutes ago, Red1976Red said: GFS will get a clue 24 hours out. I look at euro/NAM for thermals and short range models for moisture. Works better for me. Birds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Birds Lol. Will he make to March 1st before being evicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 German is the only model other than Euro that has "notable" snow for ERN AL across GA and far upstate SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Canadian looks decent... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, JoshM said: Canadian looks decent... Yeah I stand corrected. Add GGEM to that group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 German model held serve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CummingGaSnow Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: German is the only model other than Euro that has "notable" snow for ERN AL across GA and far upstate SC So I guess the N 'Burbs of ATL will struggle to get accumulating snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: German model held serve It looked even better than previous runs, I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, CummingGaSnow said: So I guess the N 'Burbs of ATL will struggle to get accumulating snow? Hard to know right now. This is still evolving. Its a night event so I would expect this accumulates based on temps easily. I think the upper end ceiling for that area is 2-3 inches at this time and that is assuming we see a big uptick in the next 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Poimen said: It looked even better than previous runs, I thought. I’d agree with that. Maxima of .3 QPF on the Canadian over SE Cherokee county SC to about Salisbury on the Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Having the CMC change to a better event is a huge step imo, after seeing the NAM and Gfs look bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 14 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Birds I won’t monitor birds until Tuesday morning/afternoon. And they may largely be waiting on the worms to break through a few inches of frozen soil layers. Might be a big feast if we crack 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 16 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Lol. Will he make to March 1st before being evicted. Nope.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 DT tweet!! UPDATE ON 0Z MONDAY MODEL AND WED JAN 17 SNOWSTORM - many of the model are turning STRONGLY to the European Model as the close off a 500 low over wva va = more snow - here is 0z CANADIAN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 If the Euro holds serve, I believe we can discount the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Somebody let me know when the mesolow shows back up over greenville...I think that's what it's going to take to get a decent event in the southern piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: If the Euro holds serve, I believe we can discount the GFS. I would agree with that at this point. However, the GFS is taking steps toward a better solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, SnowNiner said: Somebody let me know when the mesolow shows back up over greenville...I think that's what it's going to take to get a decent event in the southern piedmont. Have you been ignoring today’s runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 11 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: DT tweet!! UPDATE ON 0Z MONDAY MODEL AND WED JAN 17 SNOWSTORM - many of the model are turning STRONGLY to the European Model as the close off a 500 low over wva va = more snow - here is 0z CANADIAN Agree on the CMC, it looks pretty much like the morning Euro aloft. NAM and GFS aren't there though. Tonight's UKMet is maybe slightly improved, but I don't think it's quite there yet either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Re: queencity...No, but even with better trends, the changes are very small imo. We're fighting for a couple tenths of an inch with temps starting to be an issue now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 50 minutes ago, Poimen said: You all are going to love the GGEM. Looks good on the old black and white maps for much of NC...significant qpf increases over the eastern half the state especially. Yeah but its mostly rain lol.....need the NAM cold and the CMC QPF then we will be hitting on something....we get a slushy 1-2" but have .50" QPF so we lose most of it to rain....cant win em all I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 German model closes this off and beefed qpf up significantly from the previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Canadian QPF screams lee trough special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 5 minutes ago, SnowNiner said: Re: queencity...No, but even with better trends, the changes are very small imo. We're fighting for a couple tenths of an inch with temps starting to be an issue now. Grit explained this earlier. Temps will not be an issue with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, snowlover91 said: German model closes this off and beefed qpf up significantly from the previous run. Similar to the CMC, both close it to late and a little to far north to really make it a solid event in NC....still looks better than the earlier runs today...the CMC closes it off right over the Va Capes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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