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Potential 1/17-1/18 threat


BullCityWx

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  On 1/18/2018 at 12:03 AM, Wow said:

Pretty good outcome overall when you recall that this didn't even show up on any models until we were within 5-6 days.

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I think that is when we actually have a legit shot at a good storm here. The big ones that show up 10 days out hardly work out. But when we have one that pops up 5 days out and slowly evolve over the next few days, that usually turns out to be the real deal.

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  On 1/18/2018 at 12:11 AM, Brick Tamland said:

I think that is when we actually have a legit shot at a good storm here. The big ones that show up 10 days out hardly work out. But when we have one that pops up 5 days out and slowly evolve over the next few days, that usually turns out to be the real deal.

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I agree. Longer the lead time seems to have a greater letdown. However, in the SE you must see and smell the snow before you give in.  

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  On 1/18/2018 at 12:24 AM, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

Lol as it should be. All is right in the world. 

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Well this time @TARHEELPROGRAMMER88, you may be right,, that LIL Coastal Low Spinning up,,  produced a Warmnose for us,, as Always.. such is life,, We may see a "few" flakes late... 

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  On 1/18/2018 at 12:47 AM, downeastnc said:

Dunno got think the ratios will make it pretty good....1" would be possible....

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Hope so.  We finally got the ratios this afternoon late.  Made a tremendous difference in the presentation and intensity of the snowfall, as one would expect.  Hope you guys can get in on the action.

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  On 1/18/2018 at 12:50 AM, Cold Rain said:

Hope so.  We finally got the ratios this afternoon late.  Made a tremendous difference in the presentation and intensity of the snowfall, as one would expect.  Hope you guys can get in on the action.

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meh zippo so far some nice flakes but unless something silly happens with the coastal we will be lucky to squeeze out a inch or two.....HRRR gives me 4-5" between 11-4 tonight with the coastal but I think its bonkers. 

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  On 1/18/2018 at 12:52 AM, downeastnc said:

meh zippo so far some nice flakes but unless something silly happens with the coastal we will be lucky to squeeze out a inch or two.....HRRR gives me 4-5" between 11-4 tonight with the coastal but I think its bonkers. 

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It was a little high here, but it was pretty good with the general idea.  Hopefully it’s onto something.

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