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2018 General Severe Weather


Red1976Red

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Reports are there was a tornado touchdown in the Opelika, Beauregard, and Smiths Station area of Lee County, Alabama with this tornado warned storm.  The cuplet has redevloped near Crawford and west of Phenix City near Ladonia in Russell County, Alabama

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Lots of strong to severe storms training across NE Florida today. Looks like 4-7 inches of rain have fallen near the Gainesville area. 

Currently under a severe thunderstorm watch here until 8pm. Still no convection in SE GA with that forcefield going strong. Even areas outside of the severe thunderstorm watch and outside of the marginal risk area to the north are getting strong to severe storms. 

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There we go.

864 

WFUS52 KTAE 230009

TORTAE

GAC017-155-230045-

/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0021.180723T0009Z-180723T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Tornado Warning

National Weather Service Tallahassee FL

809 PM EDT SUN JUL 22 2018

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...

  Southeastern Irwin County in south central Georgia...

  South central Ben Hill County in south central Georgia...

* Until 845 PM EDT.

    * At 809 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado

  was located over Ocilla, moving east at 25 mph.

 HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

 
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  • 3 months later...

From RAH 10/31/18

 Friday 
evening, the accompanying cold front will approach the area with the 
upper level jet streak strengthening (nearing 170 kts). The RRQ and 
DCVA from this will support robust upper level support. Due to the 
strong shear, upper level support, PWATS, and marginal instability, 
isolated rounds of severe weather looks possible. In particular, a 
high shear/ low cape case for isolated tornado development (or 
damaging wind potential) will exist.
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It was a wild one here in Macon this evening. It definitely felt like it got to at least 60mph at times. Lots of reported trees down in the area. Textbook convective complex came through and went tornado warned right over downtown. 

 

Here are some videos I captured. 

 

 

 

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14 minutes ago, jrips27 said:

It was a wild one here in Macon this evening. It definitely felt like it got to at least 60mph at times. Lots of reported trees down in the area. Textbook convective complex came through and went tornado warned right over downtown. 

 

Here are some videos I captured. 

 

 

 

That was a rockin and a rollin.

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Models bring the warm air inland to at least I 95 tonight and the NAM 3k and HRRR have a squall line develop and blast east......might see the SPC drag that slight risk inland a bit.....nothing worse than a Nov nighttime squall line, at one time NC lead the US in Nov tornado deaths.....not sure if that dubious honor still applies.

 

Found this about nighttime tornadoes turns out its for NC in general https://cimmse.wordpress.com/2012/12/17/28-of-nc-tornadoes-occur-at-night-but-are-responsible-for-67-of-all-tornado-fatalities/

From RAH.....

but the surface
temps/dewpoints and their impact on convection over the SE CWA are
more uncertain. Low pressure will develop over E NC along the front
and ride northward tonight, and this may allow enough warm air to
track inland to contribute to weak surface-based instability
overnight. Southport in SE NC is already 70 (while CAD-impacted RDU
sits at 43 and GSO at 39) with other coastal sites in the mid-upper
60s, so the risk for some CAPE in our SE this evening persists as
this juicy air works inland. And given the increasing and shifting
winds with height through the low levels generating high 0-1 km SRH,
a few rotating cells may occur.

nam3km_T2m_seus_14.thumb.png.513ca785d3ca9ca00863d3d5b1a517fe.png

nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_15.thumb.png.35cc695008609a265fda670aeabc8b20.png

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  • 4 weeks later...

Public Information Statement

National Weather Service Jacksonville FL

530 PM EST Wed Dec 5 2018

 

...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 12/02/2018 KINGS BAY/CUMBERLAND ISLAND

TORNADO...

 

Rating:                 EF-3

Estimated Peak Wind:    144 mph

Path Length /statute/:  7.5 miles

Path Width /maximum/:   900 yards

Fatalities:             0

Injuries:               4

 

Start Date:             12/02/2018

Start Time:             3:10 PM

Start Location:         4 WNW Dungeness / Camden County / GA

Start Lat/Lon:          30.78 / -81.55

 

End Date:               12/02/2018

End Time:               3:20 PM

End Location:           5 ENE Naval Submarine Base Kings Bay /

                        Camden County / GA

End Lat/Lon:            30.82 / -81.44

 

Survey Summary: National Weather Service Jacksonville Storm Survey

revealed  damage consistent with EF-3 tornado damage at Naval

Submarine Base Kings Bay, which was confirmed by a 125 knot / 144

mph maximum wind gust measurement from a docked Coast Guard

Vessel. This is the strongest tornado in recent memory within the

National Weather Service Jacksonville's area of responsibility in

southeast Georgia, northeast and north central Florida. Four

injuries were reported by officials at Naval Submarine Base Kings

Bay. The tornado continued on an east-northeast path across

Cumberland Island, beginning from Old House Creek and exiting into

the Atlantic waters just south of the Stafford Beach Campground.

The tornado path across Cumberland Island was estimated by

Cumberland Island National Seashore park rangers to be

approximately one-third to one half mile wide. Significant tree

damage occurred within the tornado path across Cumberland Island,

with no structural damage reported. The main park road and several

trails on Cumberland Island were left impassable by the tree

damage.

 

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the

following categories:

 

EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph

EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph

EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph

EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph

EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph

EF5...Violent...>200 mph

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On 12/17/2018 at 12:55 PM, CheeselandSkies said:

Anyone thing there is anything to the Day 4 highlight or is it just SPC being bored and trying to give themselves something to do?

Surprised there hasn't been more chatter on this. Could be an impressive outbreak across Florida tomorrow, spreading into coastal NC/Outer Banks tomorrow night.

This product from HREF is indicative of rotating thunderstorms from the Fort Meyers area up to Orlando/Canaveral in the afternoon.

HREF_hel_max.thumb.png.552667cb51eac7f5d28a72388116efd2.png

These may be more QLCS tornadoes embedded in the squall line, although I wouldn't be surprised to see a supercell or two embedded in it and isolated out ahead of it. The wind fields in place would also support severe gusts w/i the squall. Would think SPC upgrades to enhanced if this remains consistent. 

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