Solak Posted May 7, 2018 Share Posted May 7, 2018 Rotation in that Goldsboro storm on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 Could be some isolated severe storms in central and eastern NC thjis afternoon into the evening... Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon through early this evening. The primary severe weather hazards will be hail to the size of quarters and locally damaging wind gusts. The severe weather threat appears greatest between 3 PM and 8 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rowjimmy73 Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 Yep. Looks like storms coming my way.Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 15 hours ago, Solak said: Those cells were intense. .49 rain and 29 mph wind burst. Lot's of lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 I had a good storm last night. ~.60 rain, high winds, and some 1/4" hail mixed in. The rain was great. It had been some time since I had anything significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 2 hours ago, FallsLake said: I had a good storm last night. ~.60 rain, high winds, and some 1/4" hail mixed in. The rain was great. It had been some time since I had anything significant. Me too sir, GFS in the LR has some good precip forcast for mid month and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 21 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: Me too sir, GFS in the LR has some good precip forcast for mid month and beyond. Yeah the 16 day total precip on the GFS looks good. The nice thing is the precip comes from multiple events, so the odds of us getting something is high. Also if we can get (and keep getting) widespread rains across the whole SE, this would help keep major heat waves from forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 They're lucky it wasn't a stronger tornado. Took a direct hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 On 5/17/2018 at 9:36 PM, shaggy said: They're lucky it wasn't a stronger tornado. Took a direct hit. That was some of the worst video footage I’ve ever seen. My man filmed the dashboard as much as the twister. But like you said, they got lucky! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 < Previous MD Mesoscale Discussion 0501 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018 Areas affected...Southern Virginia...Eastern and Central North Carolina...Far Northern South Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 231951Z - 232215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A marginal wind damage threat is expected to develop across parts of southern Virginia into central and eastern North Carolina to far northern South Carolina. DISCUSSION...The latest surface analysis shows a cold front in southern Virginia with a moist airmass south of the front across much of central and eastern North Carolina. Surface dewpoints generally range from the mid 60s to lower 70s F with the RAP estimating MLCAPE of 1500 to 2500 J/kg. According to the RAP, 0-3 km lapse rates have increased into the 7.5 to 8.0 C/km range across much of southern Virginia and northern North Carolina. This suggests that conditions will support a marginal wind damage threat. The threat should maximize near peak heating. Deep-layer shear appears too weak to warrant issuing a weather watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldsborosnow Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 Pictures of the severe thunderstorm taken from Pikeville about an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calm_days Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 ...Southern Appalachians to Carolinas... Relatively steep mid-level lapse rates, as noted in 12Z observed soundings from locations such as Nashville and Atlanta, will continue to advect eastward toward the region. A mid-level shortwave trough and associated belt of modestly enhanced flow aloft will spread east/southeastward today over the region and influence deep convective development within a moist/moderately unstable environment along a quasi-stationary frontal boundary. Initial thunderstorm intensification should occur this afternoon over the southern Appalachians vicinity as well as near the front, with the potential that storms will somewhat organize into clusters and small linear segments in the presence of around 30 kt effective shear. Damaging winds will be the most common hazard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNCwx Posted June 27, 2018 Share Posted June 27, 2018 Here is one I took in Franklin, NC yesterday afternoon looking northeast as a cell passed the outskirts of the town. The storm didn't do much damage in Macon County, but it strengthened and became severe in the usual spots in Oconee County, SC and southeastward from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 If a squall line comes in from the northeast, is it a nor'easter? Birmingham area had numerous storm damage reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 29, 2018 Share Posted June 29, 2018 8 hours ago, Chinook said: If a squall line comes in from the northeast, is it a nor'easter? Birmingham area had numerous storm damage reports. In fact, with storm reports from this stretching from Chattanooga to Mobile (and all places in between), this qualifies as a Derecho. At this latitude, I imagine to have an organized QLCS propagate such a distance from NE to SW in late June is pretty anomalous. Sadly, one person was killed while several people were injured. https://www.al.com/expo/news/erry-2018/06/0d2d6a3a666396/storms_down_trees_power_lines.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 29, 2018 Share Posted June 29, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Looks like north/central Georgia could get a good squall line soon if the HRRR is correct.Tornado watch up for NW GA. Very unusual this is more a mid April-May set up not the middle of simmer.Very low heights,cut off low way south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanith Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 1 hour ago, NC_hailstorm said: Looks like north/central Georgia could get a good squall line soon if the HRRR is correct.Tornado watch up for NW GA. Very unusual this is more a mid April-May set up not the middle of simmer.Very low heights,cut off low way south. I came hurrying over here for that very reason. I was a little astounded to see that tornado watch to my northwest when there's nothing in GA yet. I do see some rather ugly storms up in TN, is that what they're worried about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Well damn! The latest NAM is showing some stupid crazy instability tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Well damn! The latest NAM is showing some stupid crazy instability tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 1 hour ago, Tanith said: I came hurrying over here for that very reason. I was a little astounded to see that tornado watch to my northwest when there's nothing in GA yet. I do see some rather ugly storms up in TN, is that what they're worried about? The squall like is still in KY heading south,HRRR still has it entering GA around daybreak. Got some warnings in the NC mountains one the 1st line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Well last night's storms have held their strength and are coming through now. A ton of lightning and a pretty awesome shelf cloud with them. They were sub-severe though by the time they reached here (only winds of 30-40 MPH). That said, I'm surprised there's some decent clearing behind them. That may bold well for a 2nd or 3rd round later today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 12z NAM still shows an impressive 4000+ J/KG of CAPE later today and LIs of -11 to -12. It also develops a 2nd squall line this afternoon that will dive SE over many of the same areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 The HRRR wants to form up another squall line west of I-95 in eastern NC, central/E SC early Sunday morning.Looks more scattered to the west in nature during the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Mesoscale Discussion 1122 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Sat Jul 21 2018 Areas affected...northeast Alabama...east Tennessee...northern Georgia...western North Carolina and western South Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 211937Z - 212200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered storms are expected to develop this afternoon over a portion of the southern Appalachian region. Some of the storms will become capable of producing downbursts winds and possibly some hail. Though a severe thunderstorm watch issuance is possible, it remains uncertain whether storm coverage will become sufficient. DISCUSSION...This afternoon isolated storms are in the process of developing along an old modifying outflow boundary from northeast AL into middle and east TN. Other storms are expected to initiate over the higher terrain of east TN and the western Carolinas. The surface layer in vicinity of the outflow boundary continues to destabilize with diabatic warming boosting MLCAPE to 1500-2000 J/kg based on latest objective analysis. WV imagery shows a band of deeper ascent accompanying a vorticity maximum spreading southeast through east TN, along with a mid-level jet that is contributing to 35-45 kt effective bulk shear. The greater storm coverage will likely remain confined to eastern KY into northeast TN where vertical wind shear and instability are weaker. Storms developing farther south across much of the mesoscale discussion area will probably remain more isolated to widely scattered, but some of the storms could acquire mid-level updraft rotation, and a few instances of downburst wind and hail will be possible. In addition to expected isolated storm coverage, another potential limiting factor for a more robust severe threat is weak mid-level lapse rates. Nevertheless, convective trends will continue to be monitored next couple hours for a possible WW issuance over a portion of this region. ..Dial/Hart.. 07/21/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN... LAT...LON 35858216 35178190 34648253 33768365 32598476 33088552 34508591 35798518 36248346 35858216 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Rinse and repeat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Atmosphere has recovered nicely. Managed a late day high of 89*F after several hours of clear skies, with dewpoints having pooled back into the mid 70s. The anvils from the storms developing to the west are blowing in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 It looks like a tornado and ping ping size hail has been reported with the cell near Opelika, headed towards Phenix City and Columbus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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