CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 21.9" for KSYR, NOT, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Looking hazy outside...changeover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Got awfully windy all of a sudden. The house actually shook from a few gusts that went by with the front I'd imagine. The cold front is approaching. The temperature here shot up 11 degrees in 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just had a wind shift to NW. It will be interesting to see how quickly the temperature falls. Currently at 55 at 3:10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, vortmax said: Looking hazy outside...changeover? 36 F here with a misty rain falling. Gonna be a little while still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 18z 3km NAM has the LP down to 992 vs 995 on 12z at hours 14 and 20, respectively. 18z a tick NW as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, vortmax said: 18z 3km NAM has the LP down to 992 vs 995 on 12z at hours 14 and 20, respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 What a wild looking precipitation depiction out of KBUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 32 in Buffalo about to changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 The changeover was very quick here in Toronto... almost no freezing rain.. maybe 20 minutes of ice pellets and then just a blast of snow. It's been awesome up here... wasn't expecting any snow really. So jealous you guys get to enjoy this type of snow for hours! Big dendrites, very gusty, high ratio snow. Visibility easily down to 1/2 SM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 10 minutes ago, snowcaine said: The changeover was very quick here in Toronto... almost no freezing rain.. maybe 20 minutes of ice pellets and then just a blast of snow. It's been awesome up here... wasn't expecting any snow really. So jealous you guys get to enjoy this type of snow for hours! Big dendrites, very gusty, high ratio snow. Visibility easily down to 1/2 SM What a great observation but I'm thinking here along the SE shore there may be some moderation of the immediate air mass as it heads over Lake Ontario but I hope it does the same over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Down to 44 here, lost 11 degrees in the last half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 i'm so skeptical of this model as it has gone haywire today with all its jumping around. Nam Snowfall 10/1 Hi Res WRF 10/1 WPC 72hr snowfall prediction WPC is definitely picking up on the LE no doubt. I actually like this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 700MB Closed off and about to head negative as it heads to the NE. It's looking real good from these eyes anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Here you go boys out in WNY, hot off the presses, lol! Mesoscale Discussion 0023 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2018 Areas affected...Swrn through nern Ohio...nwrn Pennsylvania...wrn New York Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 121958Z - 130000Z SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy snow at up to 1 inch per hour rates may develop across areas near and southeast of Lake Erie through the 4-8 PM EST time frame. DISCUSSION...As large-scale upper troughing continues to dig into portions of the upper Great Lakes/Midwest region, and another trough pivots across and northeast of the Tennessee Valley, models indicate an area of strengthening lower/mid tropospheric frontogenetic forcing across parts of the lower Ohio Valley/Great Lakes region by early evening. Associated lift, including through the favorable dendritic growth zone, appears likely to be accompanied by a band of increasing precipitation rates across roughly the Interstate-71 corridor of Ohio, into the Cleveland metro area, and east northeastward through Buffalo and surrounding areas of western New York state. Coinciding with further low/mid-level cooling to sub-freezing temperatures, as a sharp cold front steadily advances southeastward, this is expected to become mostly moderate to heavy snow. This may include at least a couple hour period at rates near or in excess of 1 inch per hour, before heavier snow begins to develop/shift off to the east northeast of the lower Great Lakes region this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Changeover line is about 50 miles to your West KBUF. Should be FZ/RN now with a temp of 31F at least that's what I'm seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Very nice precip shield in IN which is what should progress ENE towards our CWA. From what I can see, the Mesoanalysis from the RAP model is doing pretty good so far with no real contradictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 18 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Changeover line is about 50 miles to your West KBUF. Should be FZ/RN now with a temp of 31F at least that's what I'm seeing. Thanks Freak for staying on top of this with all the real-time updates - good stuff...I'm a little more optimistic than earlier based on how things are progressing, especially from FL's east. No snow here yet, looks like a tiny glaze starting to form on branches as we go further below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Approaching Niagara Falls quickly. This may in fact be a quicker changeover than previously anticipated which of course will be a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 RAP 20z showing 1-1.5 qpf for basically everyone. The higher end is represented going through central finger lakes up towards Roc and Wayne. Looks good for a foot or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Alright, we've dropped below freezing...31.8 F. Let the fun begin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 just had it go from clear to dark in a matter of seconds: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Big jump on the SREF for KROC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Flipped to mostly snow here. Quite wicked out there right now. Flash freeze, heavy snow now falling, windy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 Lots of ice here! Everything coated in quite a bit of ice, changing over to sleet now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Mix of zr and ip here already, very short period of zr alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 59 and drizzle here in BGM. Heading north to SYR... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 37 here, lost 20 degrees since the front passed 2 1/2 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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