CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Changeover complete, moderate-heavy snow.. Rhat band has been in place for close to 1/2hr easy and its not moving. I think there's the possibility of some Thunder what do you think King? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Looking at nam it has precip shield to far south east. Starts out with no snow in Toronto and there is snow west of toronto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Ripping here in Phoenix. Yellows and oranges impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Intellicast looks awesome but it always does sometimes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Looking at nam it has precip shield to far south east. Starts out with no snow in Toronto and there is snow west of toronto All models will initialize the snow shield to far S&E so just adjust, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Just now, phoenixny said: Intellicast looks awesome but it always does sometimes! definitely a weenie radar for sure, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 1+ per hour here easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Rhat band has been in place for close to 1/2hr easy and its not moving. I think there's the possibility of some Thunder what do you think King? Slight chance...But that band is just bright banding (ie IP reflectivity). Chance of thunder would come when the upper dynamics max out later tonight (2-5am) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Finally snowing here too. Very icy flakes right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, tim123 said: Looking at nam it has precip shield to far south east. Starts out with no snow in Toronto and there is snow west of toronto Whats a model gonna tell you at this point? Nowcasting will fulfill your every need. The system is evolving now, you don't need a model to tell you whats happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Massive dendrites starting to mix in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 I know just pointing it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 10 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Whats a model gonna tell you at this point? Nowcasting will fulfill your every need. The system is evolving now, you don't need a model to tell you whats happening. I may only look at models and radar, not outside for this storm, since it's dark outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 If it wasn't for the wind, I'd think the ratios would be MUCH better than expected..but I still think we average probably around 14:1 or more. Those flakes are large and becoming increasingly less wet...quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Nam products are very Euro like for Oswego county, dumping upper teens/low20s with ratios..Both models spit out 1.25”-1.5” LE overnight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Nam products are very Euro like for Oswego county, dumping upper teens/low20s with ratios..Both models spit out 1.25”-1.5” LE overnight.. Yeah...I saw that. Nam juicing itself right up to verification time! Usually a good sign!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Perfectly sized accumulating dendrites. Easy 1.5-2"/hr rates right now and as the temp continues to fall, from the top down, ratios should rise a bit I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Wow, that's weird as I've gone back over to sleet?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Binghamton radar is just juiced up. Coming our way soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: Wow, that's weird as I've gone back over to sleet?? You may stay sleet for the entire storm while the Tug rips you off again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Still have some sleet mixing in Phoenix, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Icy snow here - not pingers but definitely not dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Yeah to bad I'm so close to you that it'd happen to you also, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 I'm taking everyones snow tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Internet just crapped the bed. Gonna rely on LTE for the rest. Likely good news for you all as I won’t be able to post nonsense maps. Worst dang timing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 3 minutes ago, phoenixny said: Binghamton radar is just juiced up. Coming our way soon. What's even better is the blow up on the KPBZ radar! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Radar depiction still shows ice over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 850MB Frontogenesis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 critical thicknesses will tell you that as well. Its close but not all the way here yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 God damn sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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