CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Rgem would suck a few back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Extended RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 LOL tossed like a last second play in Minneapolis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Rgem would suck a few back in. lol. 5 Mai Tai's in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 FWIW, the Srefs are also amped with the mean showing 10 in of snow for most areas in SNE. But I'm sure most of those are the ARW members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Lol @ the RGEM... would be like a foot or better here. GFS is a whiff by a lot... pretty big differences only 2 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol. 5 Mai Tai's in. What a POS. It’s firing up with the s/w at the last second, but I’d sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: What a POS. It’s firing up with the s/w at the last second, but I’d sell. Its been a roller coaster this winter with precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL tossed like a last second play in Minneapolis. It’s probably the upper trof producing as it comes across. I can buy someone getting several inches if it works out but it’s not getting pinpointed for another 48 hours. I know I got 4 inches on 12/26/04 that way and saw nothing from the offshore low itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 27, 2018 Author Share Posted January 27, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL tossed like a last second play in Minneapolis. Why? ... keep in mind folks, there's still a good chunk of dynamics not in the grids out there. I mean, obviously we're not talking "likely" here... and, the assimilations/interpolation stuff does reasonably well most of the time. But, should more get relayed in over the next 12 hours, and the ridge pops a bit more polarward as it's zooming past the Rockies, then things would trend back in a real hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 9 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Enjoy the 50s today. Should be a nice one. I enjoyed it....washed the car. I'd rather this than ballz cold with an inch of currier and ives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Live and die by the GFS. Congrats MWN. Everyone else is nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Rgem would suck a few back in. Tossed but tossed off too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Why? ... keep in mind folks, there's still a good chunk of dynamics not in the grids out there. I mean, obviously we're not talking "likely" here... and, the assimilations/interpolation stuff does reasonably well most of the time. But, should more get relayed in over the next 12 hours, and the ridge pops a bit more polarward as it's zooming past the Rockies, then things would trend back in a real hurry. A few inches is one thing, but I’d sell widespread 6-12” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: A few inches is one thing, but I’d sell widespread 6-12” I have been saying to give it until 00z tonight....that said, I would be surprised with a general 6-12". Agreed. Friday has moderate upside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have been saying to give it until 00z tonight....that said, I would be surprised with a general 6-12". Agreed. Friday has moderate upside. I’m not big on Friday. Gets about as much love as this did. Obviously more time to figure that out. In fact, I’m not really into this regime change until after 6-7 or so. When that trough moves east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Maybe the RGEM scores a coup? Nah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Maybe the RGEM scores a coup? Nah. We’ll see at 00z. But for now, not gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m not big on Friday. Gets about as much love as this did. Obviously more time to figure that out. In fact, I’m not really into this regime change until after 6-7 or so. When that trough moves east. Sort of in the same boat here. Looks like we have some sort of weak wave developing on the front. Could be squashed south with the PV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 The rgem is a nice s/w. Tried to buckle the flow and develop a decent slug of WAA precip well ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m not big on Friday. Gets about as much love as this did. Obviously more time to figure that out. In fact, I’m not really into this regime change until after 6-7 or so. When that trough moves east. Similar to this..yes. Moderate UPSIDE. Totally with you on the later start....all voo doo threats through first week of Feb...at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 The RGEM is at least reason to tune in for 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The rgem is a nice s/w. Tried to buckle the flow and develop a decent slug of WAA precip well ahead of it. That was a pretty drastic change from the 12z run, Went from .1-.2" to 1.0"+for some areas, Maybe its one the meso's handle better, Its the happy hour run though and those have tossed us a bone only to pull back at 0z the last couple days, I think you would need to see more onboard, But at least it will make us look at the 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The RGEM is at least reason to tune in for 00z Yeah but it’s done it before so definitely caution flags. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Similar to this..yes. Moderate UPSIDE. Totally with you on the later start....all voo doo threats through first week of Feb...at least. Yeah despite me being a total crab on here, I’m dead serious. Even that thing near or after the SB has an inside runner look. Gonna need that trough to push east a bit. I will say the previous cutter looks sure have shat the bed though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 There is a lot of moving parts in the flow, If you could sharpen up the trough more and get a better s/w to round the base, I think you could see a better solution, The trough on the 18z Nam did look slightly better, Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Man RGEM seems to have lost its mojo this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Man RGEM seems to have lost its mojo this winter. It’s hi res counterpart doesn’t agree either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Rgem isn't supposed to be good outside of 36 hours. So I wouldn't say these busted solutions it has beyond that brings its marks down. Nobody ever looked at it outside of 48 hours until the past couple winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 The rgem is on some crack solution though. It’s not even arguably slightly off, that’s some weenie sh*t right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.