CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Icon looks good. Came nw with precip shield ICON seems like NAM's German crackhead cousin who's strung out on E listening to eurotrash techno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: ICON seems like NAM's German crackhead cousin who's strung out on E listening to eurotrash techno. I concur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gfs looks good early on at h5. I think we'v seen the coldest that this winter has to offer, but perhaps not yet the snowiest. Well see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 That s/w trough over MI is playing a key part. I don't like this at 18z, but lets see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: ICON seems like NAM's German crackhead cousin who's strung out on E listening to eurotrash techno. Im happy you distinguished good american detroit techno vs eurotrash techno. big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That s/w trough over MI is playing a key part. I don't like this at 18z, but lets see how it plays out. Yea, you right. Its like a Scooter chit sw streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea, you right. Its like a Scooter chit sw streak. I've dealt with a lot of poop lately, so I know my sh*t streaks when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Strong s/w helps to compensate. If I didn't rhea over MI...would be a good hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Strong s/w helps to compensate. If I didn't rhea over MI...would be a good hit. Yeah I think the main focus for me is the plains shortwave...the depiction in the lakes and Quebec has been all over the place and we will hope that doesn't interfere too much at gametime. I just want a stronger main shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I've dealt with a lot of poop lately, so I know my sh*t streaks when I see it. You can always hire a professional, though humans cost more: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Congrats Scooter on the 18z clown range RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think we'v seen the coldest that this winter has to offer, but perhaps not yet the snowiest. Well see. Agree, though it's a no-brainer for me. Dec 26-Jan 8 averaged 8/-16 here, by far the coldest 2-week run in my 19 1/2 winters here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Congrats Scooter on the 18z clown range RGEM I was going to post that but now that you have let's let Jerry tell us the QPF breakdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Solid snower there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 GFS with the vintage 5 low setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 35 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I think the main focus for me is the plains shortwave...the depiction in the lakes and Quebec has been all over the place and we will hope that doesn't interfere too much at gametime. I just want a stronger main shortwave. Oh for sure. That is the key ingredient and has shown improvement over the last day. No more streaks please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 This one has strong legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Solid snower there My green yellow color blindness forces me to do this to see amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 And sorry Tip but that’s a Monday starter .. not Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: And sorry Tip but that’s a Monday starter .. not Tuesday Will with a rare mistake, little change but he posted totally accumulation not snow accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Tongiht's 00z runs should have a better sample of the ridging immediately downstream of the main shortwave...and then tomorrow morning it will be coming onshore. So we will see if there are any notable bumps from both suites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: My green yellow color blindness forces me to do this to see amounts 20+ here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And sorry Tip but that’s a Monday starter .. not Tuesday wgaf if it's mon v tue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Too bad this system is day 7... why can't it be a 24 hour prog? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Too bad this system is day 7... why can't it be a 24 hour prog? At least you can track the ARW when the GFS is jackpotting Scooter by the time we get to 36 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 The CMC shows the philly region and SNE getting nearly 2 feet of snow in 7 days! Perfect weenie model At least throw ice cubes down the toilet for this one boys... it's gonna be a ptype-worrying sneaux isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 20+ here 15 to 20 on snow maps roughly .75 w/e Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Trust the mesos, except the nam, to tickle this nw more. euro making a big move today more than it usually does, good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2018 Author Share Posted January 26, 2018 well... this is the third system that has done this, this cold season. First... there is a general tenor in the models for an event ...circa D8 ... that people eschew, while undoubtedly secretly pining - The Euro's not really interested, yet for few runs in a row, the American-based tools start hinting in frets and starts like its something to watch. The event gets around D4.5 to 5 and the American's go flat; but curiously, the Euro finally comes west in an intriguing manner. The American models continue going inexplicably flat, and for some strange reason it is utterly understandable to the chagrining woe-ist of the social media weather world. In the previous two systems, ranging clear back to the xmass morning snow storm, the euro coming west appeared to be the right call... In both those two scenarios, the American models pulled their own teeth trying to deny the event using least quantum momenta they could find in doing so .. only to cave with 6 hours to spare (so it seems..) Through it all...the only common denominator has been the disappointment of the usership; it's why I question whether the event itself is all that important to the lot of the users, and mostly...it's the modeling cinema before hand that drives them to whinge. People like ..thrive and addict for the drama more so in the models - it really seems that way. The fervor during these things is tepid by comparison. heh. in any event, I think the Euro's demonstrative differences may be more astute. Right now the wave mechanics for the system in question are ~ 500 to 900 naut mile W of the Washington Coast rocketing through the "densely packed" sonde region of the lower GOA. 24 hours from now, it knifes over the coast. Just fyi ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: At least you can track the ARW when the GFS is jackpotting Scooter by the time we get to 36 hours out. The beauty of long range progs is you can find whatever you are looking for. You guys have the EPS Control Member on your side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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