Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: Damn, And i was just getting ready to lock in another 60" over the next 6 weeks. Up there that would not be unusual at climo snowiest time of the year probably next 8 weeks or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 20 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I don’t mind riding the line, sure beats dry and windy Yea looking for the perfect setup every time must be frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m not trying to pee in the Cheerios of you weenies, but this has mixed bag written all over it. Indefinitely think this needs to be stated so some aren’t convinced 2015 is coming. We have seen this many times before. It doesn’t mean a fail, but better to be educated. Thank you oh great one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 46 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 500 h across the globe is meh when dealing with sensible weather locally. Ex Scooters EPS cutter now a Fropa on all models but 5H probably better handled on the Euro in the Northern Hemisphere. Yeah, but we wouldn't really know how the good the french is with weather in certain spots because it isn't readily available or used around here, nor is it available easily online. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thank you oh great one You’ve been warned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 I personally think there is a lot of confirmation bias at play when it comes to those model discussions of which models suck and which ones don't for specific regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thank you oh great one oh be wan kenobi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: oh be wan kenobi slicing weenies with lightsabres on the reg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 3 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: slicing weenies with lightsabres on the reg May the Schwartz be with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 8 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: slicing weenies with lightsabres on the reg They need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: They need it. I can feel your anger lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 59 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We have our weenies out, nicely cooked, just waiting on the mustard to top it off....and he gives us maple syrup. What's wrong with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You’ve been warned. Warned about what, you can't read can you. I said we play with fire. I suppose I should go to the Scooter school of forecasting and hedge everything, never wrong that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: What's wrong with that? A heart attack bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You’ve been warned. Are you telling me I should not expect 12"+ Mon/Tues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 52 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: I personally think there is a lot of confirmation bias at play when it comes to those model discussions of which models suck and which ones don't for specific regions. This is probably true. Though I'm pretty convinced about the GFS on huge coastal storms. It's amazing how many times it is too flat with them and it seems to be persistent over multiple model upgrades. It would be cool if we could get model scores in the cold season by region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: This is probably true. Though I'm pretty convinced about the GFS on huge coastal storms. It's amazing how many times it is too flat with them and it seems to be persistent over multiple model upgrades. It would be cool if we could get model scores in the cold season by region Yeah, I'm pretty convinced of that one too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 32 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Warned about what, you can't read can you. I said we play with fire. I suppose I should go to the Scooter school of forecasting and hedge everything, never wrong that way Because we go through this every year. Weenies getting upset things aren’t coming as scheduled because of polluted posts like Kevin’s about changes coming by exact dates or sooner rather than later. This may not be an abrupt slip into deep winter with no respite. We may yo yo for a bit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Because we go through this every year. Weenies getting upset things aren’t coming as scheduled because of polluted posts like Kevin’s about changes coming by exact dates or sooner rather than later. This may not be an abrupt slip into deep winter with no respite. We may yo yo for a bit too. Agree but I will take my chances versus the Alt. Monday Tues first up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Agree but I will take my chances versus the Alt. Monday Tues first up Right we take. But the first person complaining gets a backhand from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 49 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Warned about what, you can't read can you. I said we play with fire. I suppose I should go to the Scooter school of forecasting and hedge everything, never wrong that way Low blow. Sad! Bad! When someone works in the profession their outlook is totally different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 15 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said: Low blow. Sad! Bad! When someone works in the profession their outlook is totally different. Lol you realize Scott and I are friends and we have know each other near a decade and bust each other's nutz with regularity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Because we go through this every year. Weenies getting upset things aren’t coming as scheduled because of polluted posts like Kevin’s about changes coming by exact dates or sooner rather than later. This may not be an abrupt slip into deep winter with no respite. We may yo yo for a bit too. To be fair, this should probably be more directed at one person. Everyone else seems pretty level headed. Could win could lose... more than likely it’ll even some of both. Just how it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 3 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: To be fair, this should probably be more directed at one person. Everyone else seems pretty level headed. Could win could lose... more than likely it’ll even some of both. Just how it goes. "...Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 A couple scraper solutions from the GGEM/GFS so far tonight...NAM looked better at 84h and ready for something a bit bigger...but we know how that works. Hopefully Euro comes a bit closer...don't wanna play ourselves out of the threat before this comes onshore in the PAC NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 We need to get one of these models to bite, Usually we would have one with a real amped up solution but has not been seen yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: A couple scraper solutions from the GGEM/GFS so far tonight...NAM looked better at 84h and ready for something a bit bigger...but we know how that works. Hopefully Euro comes a bit closer...don't wanna play ourselves out of the threat before this comes onshore in the PAC NW. Not feeling it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 That system next weekend on the GFS is LOL tastic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Lol the GFS would be one of those flash freezes big rain to thumper you tell your grandkids about 54 to 23 in 3 hours. Cool, GGEM is just straight up dumper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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