Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 New addition to the Schwartz seven ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 The pattern argues that this can come further west but the setup is still somewhat sloppy. It’s going to be an event that the more you gain latitude the better it would be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 lol, Next friday on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: New addition to the Swartz seven ? Schwartz ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 I think it was originally the Schwartz Synoptic Seven....I have no idea how Kevin came up with it, but that was the original term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I think it was originally the Schwartz Synoptic Seven....I have no idea how Kevin came up with it, but that was the original term. What were the 7? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 Just now, CT Rain said: What were the 7? You'd have to ask him...lol. That was eons ago on eastern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 Ice1929’s annual melt looks in danger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think it was originally the Schwartz Synoptic Seven....I have no idea how Kevin came up with it, but that was the original term. It was your Nogaps, Euro, Nam deadly combo. What triggered it was when you posted that when the Nogaps was NW that it was likely coming. I just threw out a term for it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: It was your Nogaps, Euro, Nam deadly combo. What triggered it was when you posted that when the Nogaps was NW that it was likely coming. I just threw out a term for it lol The NAVGEM has been exceptionally good this winter on the notable storm systems but it’s still generally had a slight east bias on most of the them. It’s 12Z run today was pretty wide right so it’s fairly close to most other guidance at the moment other than the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 Weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: Weeklies? Super gradient week 2 and 3...then more of a classic -epo/+pna pattern weeks 4-6. All pos NAO, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 Just now, OSUmetstud said: Super gradient week 2 and 3...then more of a classic -epo/+pna pattern weeks 4-6. All pos NAO, of course. Thanks! You could see the gradient potential in the 11-15 on all the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 As of late 2015 the German was even lightyears behind the JMA and NOGAPs. The Frenchy was pretty good, but it hasn’t updated on meteocentre in awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 39 minutes ago, dendrite said: As of late 2015 the German was even lightyears behind the JMA and NOGAPs. The Frenchy was pretty good, but it hasn’t updated on meteocentre in awhile. Polly vue a humma humma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Polly vue a inside runner on gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Why dont we have more French...That’s pretty dead nuts with euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Thanks! You could see the gradient potential in the 11-15 on all the ensembles. Plus it's stormy as heck. Hang on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 2m temp at or BN, 850 temps at or BN, precip above normal, think it will be fun with threats on the board one after another. STJ and an Open Gulf. Playing with fire at climo snowiest time of the year . Got to like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Why do we have more French...That’s pretty dead nuts with euro. 500 h across the globe is meh when dealing with sensible weather locally. Ex Scooters EPS cutter now a Fropa on all models but 5H probably better handled on the Euro in the Northern Hemisphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Still see that model error we saw in Dec of over flattening the PNA when EPO pops so deep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 500 h across the globe is meh when dealing with sensible weather locally. Ex Scooters EPS cutter now a Fropa on all models but 5H probably better handled on the Euro in the Northern Hemisphere. Funny thing I used to speak fluent French as a kid but I lost it...so I didnt know that was global h5. But still, pretty pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 I’m not trying to pee in the Cheerios of you weenies, but this has mixed bag written all over it. Indefinitely think this needs to be stated so some aren’t convinced 2015 is coming. We have seen this many times before. It doesn’t mean a fail, but better to be educated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Every party has a pooper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 I thought that the pics Steve posted screamed danger. Some chances but cutters also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 We have our weenies out, nicely cooked, just waiting on the mustard to top it off....and he gives us maple syrup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 I don’t mind riding the line, sure beats dry and windy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I thought that the pics Steve posted screamed danger. Some chances but cutters also. Like I said plaing with fire at 5 h but 850 and 2m suggests its a cold atmosphere. Should be fun. Scooter has to make that post every time but nobody should ever think 2015 will be seen again but rather this than a one eyed pig. I also again think like I did in Dec models are keeping energy too far SW. We will see that correction show up next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Damn, And i was just getting ready to lock in another 60" over the next 6 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Damn, And i was just getting ready to lock in another 60" over the next 6 weeks. You should because the pattern coming up will be very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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