USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 Snow threat developing within the 5-7 day period, on the GFS and EURO, CMC nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 How are we doing? I’ve checked out for a couple days....may as well be home in the San Francisco Bay Area.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 4 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Snow threat developing within the 5-7 day period, on the GFS and EURO, CMC nothing Heavy Rainer for all unfortunately Jimbob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 Gfs op shows you how it could take time for a good pattern to get established. Going to need patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 7 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: I remember your Epic Denver trip, what year was that? November 2014. Let’s see if we can retain thet juju! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs op shows you how it could take time for a good pattern to get established. Going to need patience. Thankfully the more reliable ensembles products have no such thing including the GEFS. It could certainly break the way of the op but more likely we’re not doing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Thankfully the more reliable ensembles products have no such thing including the GEFS. It could certainly break the way of the op but more likely we’re not doing that. The op makes sense though. We see these all the time and it leads to melt downs all the time. All I’m saying is prepare to be patient. It doesn’t have to work out like that, but better to be safe than sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The op makes sense though. We see these all the time and it leads to melt downs all the time. All I’m saying is prepare to be patient. It doesn’t have to work out like that, but better to be safe than sorry. But the ensemble products argue otherwise. I’m good with whatever happens as long as I’m vertical that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The op makes sense though. We see these all the time and it leads to melt downs all the time. All I’m saying is prepare to be patient. It doesn’t have to work out like that, but better to be safe than sorry. What does it show? I'm looking at it but can't parse the exact reasons for patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 But I can see the SE ridge fighting back big time for a spell. This is when we need NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The op makes sense though. We see these all the time and it leads to melt downs all the time. All I’m saying is prepare to be patient. It doesn’t have to work out like that, but better to be safe than sorry. Nah. Full steam ahead. I’m betting the flop, turn, and river on a gutshot straightdraw.....heavily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: But the ensemble products argue otherwise. I’m good with whatever happens as long as I’m vertical that day. Yeah..EPS drops the hammer Feb 3. Similar to Dec. This comes in sooner vs later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 nice job whomever forecast 50 yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah..EPS drops the hammer Feb 3. Similar to Dec. This comes in sooner vs later. and you wonder why we have meltdowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 I’ve said 2/5-2/10 all along. No reason to deviate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’ve said 2/5-2/10 all along. No reason to deviate. Good range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: and you wonder why we have meltdowns. Dec came in on time. I’m not using a Gfs op run tell me the pattern. Even the conservative Shabbs has it in here on Feb 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dec came in on time. I’m not using a Gfs op run tell me the pattern. Even the conservative Shabbs has it in here on Feb 5 We had some delays and these happen frequently. Don’t be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 The GFS OP has been wanting all winter to try and dump cold and trofs into the west or central so the fact the ensembles aren’t really agreeing I’m not believing it just yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dec came in on time. I’m not using a Gfs op run tell me the pattern. Even the conservative Shabbs has it in here on Feb 5 We only had one moderate event prior to xmas, whjch was erased by torch, so it did take some time to get snowy and establish cold.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We had some delays and these happen frequently. Don’t be surprised. It was supposed to be in by Dec 5th and it was. I don’t mean icebox sets in Feb 3.. just a more sustained cooler than normal pattern and snow. Right now, it’s impossible for it to snow in this pattern right thru end of month . That changes by Feb 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It was supposed to be in by Dec 5th and it was. I don’t mean icebox sets in Feb 3.. just a more sustained cooler than normal pattern and snow. Right now, it’s impossible for it to snow in this pattern right thru end of month . That changes by Feb 3 Euro has snow Mon /Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 Locked and loaded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 At least with us being on the line in the 11-15 day, it seems like it will be active. Hopefully on the good side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro has snow Mon /Tuesday I know and it’s tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I know and it’s tossed LOL Random tossing is so you. In Late Nov this would have been days and days of light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 Fickle setup with a strong s/w and inv trough type setup. I certainly would not bank on it, but maybe keep an eye out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Fickle setup with a strong s/w and inv trough type setup. I certainly would not bank on it, but maybe keep an eye out. yea the way I see it all modeling including ENS are indicating a strong SW and INVT, where that sets up has waffled across the region, something to watch but saying its impossible to snow until Feb 3rd, well...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 don't have 6 hr precip on EPS but there is a sig here to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: yea the way I see it all modeling including ENS are indicating a strong SW and INVT, where that sets up has waffled across the region, something to watch but saying its impossible to snow until Feb 3rd, well...... Impossible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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