RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 I don’t recall the CFS ever verifying unless a historic warm month occurred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 CFS sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I don’t recall the CFS ever verifying unless a historic warm month occurred. As you get past the 20th of the proceeding month it can become somewhat useful. It’s been getting colder and colder for February. I wouldn't ever use it before the 20th of the incoming month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 The big EPO ridge is getting closer on the EPS...confidence increasing that we're back to winter by 1st week of Feb...and yeah, it looks like ridge migrates east a little so that it becomes more of a PNA ridge...that would be ideal. Looks like the pattern would be ripe for some brutal cold too with a very powerful PV on our side of the globe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 Just 3 more cutters... just 3 more cutters... just 3 more cutters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just 3 more cutters... just 3 more cutters... just 3 more cutters I'm taking the under on 3 cutters. Tuesday, the weekend, and then I think we flirt with a swfe/miller b redeveloper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 43 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The CFS is slowly losing the SER next month too. This again could result in support in suppression I think if the PV drops further south. The GFS and CFS have really wanted that SER in the longer range whenever the -EPO has built in but it’s generally never verified except when it verified the strongest ever recorded for January just two weeks ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 I'm not even sure I'd classify the weekend as a cutter...it's basically a FROPA at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 Including tomorrow we have at least three more cutters. Stop putting lipstick on a pig And deal. Don’t forget these cold plunges into the plains that will happen, can also initiate cutters too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 10 more days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 1 minute ago, Powderboy413 said: 10 more days Over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 At least a pattern looks to get better later on the 11-15 day. I think we have pretty high confidence on some good cold coming after February 5 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Including tomorrow we have at least three more cutters. Stop putting lipstick on a pig And deal. Don’t forget these cold plunges into the plains that will happen, can also initiate cutters too. dont hate me just because im from Philly.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 Just now, mahk_webstah said: dont hate me just because im from Philly.... Enemy. In all seriousness, maybe you want to call it an inside runner instead? I look at it as warmth, dews, and it’s a slug of rain moving in. Call it what you want, it sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Including tomorrow we have at least three more cutters. Stop putting lipstick on a pig And deal. Don’t forget these cold plunges into the plains that will happen, can also initiate cutters too. The change in the weekend system is good for ski areas though...they might not ever see much of any warm sector or significant rain...it's like this ugly little super clipper tracking from Montana to international falls to James Bay now...so it's pretty dry. Way better than some of the previous looks where it was further southeast and winding up with the dews and heavy rain. For selfish reasons since I'm trying to get out a few times next month, it would be a better outcome to spare the base from taking much assault. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 When this cutter siege is over.. the only places left with snow pack will be ski slopes and far N Maine. It’s as ugly as it gets.. even for NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: dont hate me just because im from Philly.... Eagles fans are the worst:https://www.barstoolsports.com/barstoolu/lets-check-in-on-how-phillys-handling-this-win/?_branch_match_id=484013152530476290 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: 2 or 3 cutters to go through and then hopefully the EPS is right with that nasty ridge kissing the west coast. I'll bet we score another KU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Enemy. In all seriousness, maybe you want to call it an inside runner instead? I look at it as warmth, dews, and it’s a slug of rain moving in. Call it what you want, it sucks. glad I don't live there. this time of year sometimes things come faster, and the period I am talking about is 8-10 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: Eagles fans are the worst:https://www.barstoolsports.com/barstoolu/lets-check-in-on-how-phillys-handling-this-win/?_branch_match_id=484013152530476290 You people are too used to winning. You don't remember the unbridled joy. Think Red Sox when you think Eagles fans According to Scott I'll be tracking a cutter orr insider runner so the SB could be a good distraction. This for you: https://twitter.com/twitter/statuses/955403570987204609 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The change in the weekend system is good for ski areas though...they might not ever see much of any warm sector or significant rain...it's like this ugly little super clipper tracking from Montana to international falls to James Bay now...so it's pretty dry. Way better than some of the previous looks where it was further southeast and winding up with the dews and heavy rain. For selfish reasons since I'm trying to get out a few times next month, it would be a better outcome to spare the base from taking much assault. I can’t help but think feb looks pretty good for the ski areas. As long as the cold isn’t bad, should be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: glad I don't live there. this time of year sometimes things come faster, and the period I am talking about is 8-10 days away. I mean I just think the pattern sucks all around New England, but maybe it depends on your interests. I can’t find one silver lining, other than the cold after each warmup allows for snow making. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I mean I just think the pattern sucks all around New England, but maybe it depends on your interests. I can’t find one silver lining, other than the cold after each warmup allows for snow making. It’ll keep the buds / flowers / trees from starting to bloom and open Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll bet we score another KU. I think we would need a better Pacific, IE more of a Rockies ridge. Maybe mid month or after? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think we would need a better Pacific, IE more of a Rockies ridge. Maybe mid month or after? That is what I mean. My money remains on early March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: It’ll keep the buds / flowers / trees from starting to bloom and open Whatever makes you feel better. No lipstick like Kevin crashing a bachelorette party at Funky Murphys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 This break works for me....marriage planning, certification exams, and life...blah. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 15 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I'm taking the under on 3 cutters. Tuesday, the weekend, and then I think we flirt with a swfe/miller b redeveloper I'm on board with that. I think the day 8 - day 10 range will be interesting up here at least for wintry weather. Favoring the latter part of the range, but the teleconnections look good. I'm really hoping the modeled -NAO materializes... Not a good or bad look on the GEFS, EPS at this range. Far from ideal, but looks like a thread the needle opportunity exists in that range since we don't lock in with a UL ridge overhead, and seasonable cold air-masses are nearby. 8-10 days of transience up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Whatever makes you feel better. No lipstick like Kevin crashing a bachelorette party at Funky Murphys. I’m perfectly fine. No lipstick on your cheeks like that night. It makes it easy to deal with massive cutters with no snow to melt. The folks up north though it’s gonna get rough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: When this cutter siege is over.. the only places left with snow pack will be ski slopes and far N Maine. It’s as ugly as it gets.. even for NNE No. Pattern is transient. Northern Greens, and Whites will have plenty of snowmaking opportunities, cold tucks and back end snows... I think the white mountain region (base level) may have less than 24 hours above freezing all week.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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