CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Share? Apologies. Trying to multi task. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: I’m speaking in a general sense. I’m not fearing an east trend with a deep East coast trough. I’m not saying a model can’t be too amped, but that ain’t out to sea. I'm not saying out to sea, either...just doubting as amped as EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Many would be happy with a EPS/OP compromise. I really love the IVT ahead of the main storm on that...that's a Kevin long duration special...like 12 hours of PRE snows. before the main event. Like a PRE in TCs coming up the coast...lol. Hopefully it's got the right idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Here is the 12z EPS mean. Makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Makes sense. 2 sigma anamoly at or near the BM 5 days out, we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I really love the IVT ahead of the main storm on that...that's a Kevin long duration special...like 12 hours of PRE snows. before the main event. Like a PRE in TCs coming up the coast...lol. Hopefully it's got the right idea. Love it. So that would start Tuesday corrrct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Love it. So that would start Tuesday corrrct? Prob more like late Tues night...but yeah, its like 36-40 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not saying out to sea, either...just doubting as amped as EURO. I think we agree...I was talking about the PTSD western folks have...akin to NNE and 2010 -NAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I really love the IVT ahead of the main storm on that...that's a Kevin long duration special...like 12 hours of PRE snows. before the main event. Like a PRE in TCs coming up the coast...lol. Hopefully it's got the right idea. That would be sweet...hopefully on the good side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think we agree...I was talking about the PTSD western folks have...akin to NNE and 2010 -NAO Oh God Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: That would be sweet...hopefully on the good side. Yeah anyone just to the left of it would get crushed. But even early on, to the east would prob get a nice pasting....ideally, you'd have it setup somewhere over the eastern regions and then slowly migrate offshore as the main low gets cranking so that low levels don't torch. That's kind of what the EPS does....but we could even afford to have it a bit west of the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Prob more like late Tues night...but yeah, its like 36-40 hours. Days and days and days of snows. Nothing better than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I really love the IVT ahead of the main storm on that...that's a Kevin long duration special...like 12 hours of PRE snows. before the main event. Like a PRE in TCs coming up the coast...lol. Hopefully it's got the right idea. Didn't Feb '13 have something like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 That is a sh it ton of spread on the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: Didn't Feb '13 have something like that? Yeah it did....the best of it was over Maine near PWM....they got a ton of OES and LL convergence enhancement before the main storm moved in. I think they had something like 12-15" before the main show arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Been killed with work. What is the potential storm track? Is this something like the Dec 1992 storm, or more like 1969 or 1978 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Been killed with work. What is the potential storm track? Is this something like the Dec 1992 storm, or more like 1969 or 1978 Lol those are quite the analogs you're stretching for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 I think 15 pages ago ...someone warned that we'd have a lot of a hand wringing with this thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 yeah...again, the "PRE" snow is really the lead clipper system dying a slow death while the more important amplitude catches up ... ultimately fusing that into the latter. I almost hunch that the lead will either A become dominant and it's all been a red-herring (unlikely), or B ...just become less and less in lieu of the synoptics beginning to reel from the influence/momentum of the bigger forcing. Or ...the third C option which is unthinkably naughty and immoral, ...which is that it snows light to moderate from it, none stop, in a 20 hour orgasm of weird emotional codependent obsession with snow-climate behavior before ultimately ... O.D. 'ing on the main event. That's personally what I'm buckin' for ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Seems like this year more than most the models are having a tough time pinning things down until a day or two out....or maybe it's just me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Seems like this year more than most the models are having a tough time pinning things down until a day or two out....or maybe it's just me? There's never been a winter before where anything like that has happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, Zeus said: There's never been a winter before where anything like that has happened. I blame AGW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 I told you last night-we’re getting buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Buckle up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think we agree...I was talking about the PTSD western folks have...akin to NNE and 2010 -NAO Gotcha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 31 minutes ago, dryslot said: That is a sh it ton of spread on the EPS. No need for a space between the h and the i these days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: No need for a space between the h and the i these days **** lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Someone already tried throwing a wrench in it................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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