Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,880
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Gilzed378
    Newest Member
    Gilzed378
    Joined

Nearing the 2nd half of Meteorological winter:


Typhoon Tip

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 3.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
  On 1/28/2018 at 7:17 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

This reminds me of Dec. Many of us thought deep cold wintry period was coming and caution was urged . I even recall some posters were shocked when some of the bitter cold shots started to be modeled. Feb 3 start date was chosen for a reason 

Expand  

Depends on what you were alluding to...cold patter, of big snow.

The big snow did wait until the holidays.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/28/2018 at 7:55 PM, weathafella said:

You’ll be proven wrong I believe.  What was your coldest temperature?  Use that as a benchmark.

Expand  

Oh I’m fine with that Jerry...if I’m proven wrong will gladly give you the nod.

 

my coldest in the earlier cold shot was -11F.  I don’t think I’m gonna see that again this year.  But if I do...I will be more than happy to concede.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/28/2018 at 7:55 PM, weathafella said:

You’ll be proven wrong I believe.  What was your coldest temperature?  Use that as a benchmark.

Expand  

Not gonna lie it'll be hard to beat -27F up here but maybe.  I mean we'll need legit -30C at 850mb or even lower over NNE to even have a shot at it.  

That December cold was crazy.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/26/2018 at 1:17 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Like I said plaing with fire at 5 h but 850 and 2m suggests its a cold atmosphere. Should be fun. Scooter has to make that post every time but nobody should ever think 2015 will be seen again but rather this than a one eyed pig. I also again think like I did in Dec models are keeping energy too far SW. We will see that correction show up next week

Expand  

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think Scott might have mentioned earlier ? but ... this big pattern change has been recently morphing more and more into a PNA construct compared to the hyper EPO ridge we saw earlier in the week's extended guidance types. I mean there's going to be a negative EPO but the CDC has backed off the depth of the -EPO while now ballooning the PNA numbers for the same Feb-3-10th time range... CPC takes the PNA concerted positive, too. 

Interesting...  If that's the case, that changes the landscape a little... For one, I might expect some of the gradient to relax in future runs, in lieu of western ridging being more confined to middle latitudes.  The storm type and frequency expectations would need to shift accordingly... tendency for types.    

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/28/2018 at 11:52 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

I think Scott might have mentioned earlier ? but ... this big pattern change has been recently morphing more and more into a PNA construct compared to the hyper EPO ridge we saw earlier in the week's extended guidance types. I mean there's going to be a negative EPO but the CDC has backed off the depth of the -EPO while now ballooning the PNA numbers for the same Feb-3-10th time range... CPC takes the PNA concerted positive, too. 

Interesting...  If that's the case, that changes the landscape a little... For one, I might expect some of the gradient to relax in future runs, in lieu of western ridging being more confined to middle latitudes.  The storm type and frequency expectations would need to shift accordingly... tendency for types.    

Expand  

That's more favorable for big tickets.

I have no issue with a reemergence of the PNA...that and the EPO should redevelop imo.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...