Newman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 SREF plumes increased for RDG and ABE. Around 3.5" for each. Also, NWS increased RDG and ABE snow to 4 and 5 inches respectively. I'm thinking that is the upper limit, but with how this winter's gone, wouldn't be surprised to see someone cash in with a foot lol. Also, I expect WWA to be up within the next 45 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Winter Weather Advisory for Lehigh Valley and Berks: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches are expected. * WHERE...Portions of northwestern New Jersey and east-central and northeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Tuesday and Tuesday night. While light snow or flurries will develop tonight causing slippery conditions on untreated pavement toward morning, the heaviest snowfall will occur after sunset Tuesday through Tuesday night. There may be some melting of the snow in the lower elevations during the middle of the day Tuesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times, especially Tuesday night when snowfall rates may briefly approach an inch an hour. Plan for travel delays during the evening rush Tuesday. Temperatures following the snow should remain generally below freezing Wednesday with a hard freeze Wednesday night. Not surprised by their mention of snow melting during Tuesday. Looks like a first push comes in Tuesday morning, followed by a break, and then heaviest snow Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Winter Weather Advisory for Lehigh Valley and Berks:...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AMEST WEDNESDAY...* WHAT...Snow expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches are expected.* WHERE...Portions of northwestern New Jersey and east-central and northeast Pennsylvania.* WHEN...Tuesday and Tuesday night. While light snow or flurries will develop tonight causing slippery conditions on untreated pavement toward morning, the heaviest snowfall will occur after sunset Tuesday through Tuesday night. There may be some melting of the snow in the lower elevations during the middle of the day Tuesday.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times, especially Tuesday night when snowfall rates may briefly approach an inch an hour. Plan for travel delays during the evening rush Tuesday. Temperatures following the snow should remain generally below freezing Wednesday with a hard freeze Wednesday night. Not surprised by their mention of snow melting during Tuesday. Looks like a first push comes in Tuesday morning, followed by a break, and then heaviest snow Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.Nice. Kinda surprised they went that high. But I like it lol. Hope they're right. Sent from my HTC6535LVW using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Oh nice the GFS and NAM cut totals in my region, i get screwed on North West South and East systems haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 More snow the further N&W burbs, there is a statement I haven’t heard in a long time. Used to be a regular thing in the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 More snow the further N&W burbs, there is a statement I haven’t heard in a long time. Used to be a regular thing in the winterHow about it. I don't really remember the days when the forms got really quiet and that meant you knew the north and west burbs were going to get it goodSent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 44 minutes ago, penndotguy said: More snow the further N&W burbs, there is a statement I haven’t heard in a long time. Used to be a regular thing in the winter Growing up in Bethlehem, and the days before WFMZ had a decent weather segment (who remembers Kathy Craine doing the weather?), I got all my TV weather from the Philly stations, and it was almost a lock to hear them say "more north and west of the city" every time we got a snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 WWA for NW Chesco with the WXSIM program showing flurries starting tonight and off and on tomorrow...steadier snow holds off till after 8pm tomorrow with snow ending by 7am on Wednesday morning. Total snow accumulation 2" to 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 According to the NAM i will be able to watch it snow 15 miles to my NW for 15 hours before it decides to inch SE it is going to be fun radar hallucinating day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, RedSky said: According to the NAM i will be able to watch it snow 15 miles to my NW for 15 hours before it decides to inch SE it is going to be fun radar hallucinating day. Exactly how I felt the last storm where I barely got an inch but 30 miles east got 4, it sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 9 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Exactly how I felt the last storm where I barely got an inch but 30 miles east got 4, it sucks Even better when the snow finally does start to hit the ground it will manage to be all wrapped up 6 hours later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 They are sweating out this "disaster" in the NYC region for rain problems and only 1-2" but wait and see in the end if they don't still rack up 4-6" somehow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 According to the NAM i will be able to watch it snow 15 miles to my NW for 15 hours before it decides to inch SE it is going to be fun radar hallucinating day. That will be interesting to watch unfold. Seems like when it comes it will come in a wall. I may have to take a little drive depending on where/if it stalls. Sent from my HTC6535LVW using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Rgem all in on 6-10 LV thru Poconos Sent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 FeastSent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 A few tenths to 7" in Bucks yeah i doubt that happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 hours ago, anthonyweather said: Feast Sent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk Looks pretty clumpy is this a numerical issue with the CMC rearing its ugly head again? Nice thunking though for the Poconos and Bucks County though!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Euro thumps upper bucks and Lehigh Valley 4-6" Also does the NAM RGEM 15-18hrs of snow just to my NW thing so must be something to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 When the hours and hours of light snow finally gets into my area it's sleet on the euro lol Also gives 2" snow to much of SEPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 Up to an inch possible extreme SE PA (lower montco, delco, phl, lower bucks). Off and on flurries today. Steadier precip moves in tonight as rain then ending as a period of wet snow Wednesday am. Grass accumulations in those areas. N and W of there will be a mix tonight ending as snow. Up to 2" accumulation. Then once you get North of Quakertown and West of Pottstown should be all snow with 3-6" higher amounts (4-8") into the Lehigh Valley and Poconos with 10" lollis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 17 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Up to an inch possible extreme SE PA (lower montco, delco, phl, lower bucks). Off and on flurries today. Steadier precip moves in tonight as rain then ending as a period of wet snow Wednesday am. Grass accumulations in those areas. N and W of there will be a mix tonight ending as snow. Up to 2" accumulation. Then once you get North of Quakertown and West of Pottstown should be all snow with 3-6" higher amounts (4-8") into the Lehigh Valley and Poconos with 10" lollis. Those amounts could very well verify. State College bumped the northern half of Schuylkill County up into the 6-8 range on the Probabilistic maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormman96 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 26 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Up to an inch possible extreme SE PA (lower montco, delco, phl, lower bucks). Off and on flurries today. Steadier precip moves in tonight as rain then ending as a period of wet snow Wednesday am. Grass accumulations in those areas. N and W of there will be a mix tonight ending as snow. Up to 2" accumulation. Then once you get North of Quakertown and West of Pottstown should be all snow with 3-6" higher amounts (4-8") into the Lehigh Valley and Poconos with 10" lollis. What about. Right in quakertown? Im thinking 2-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 Those amounts could very well verify. State College bumped the northern half of Schuylkill County up into the 6-8 range on the Probabilistic maps. Im going with the trends thus those totals. Slightly stronger coastal, quicker development, closer to coast. Thats also why it rains now in extreme SE PA during the heart of the precip. Saw some flakes here already anyway so if anything, the Wiggum Rule worked out again (snow within 5 days of hitting 60F during mid winter). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 What about. Right in quakertown? Im thinking 2-31-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 IMO mt holly is too high on snowfall S and E and too low especially in upper bucks and montgomery. I'll eat my hat if PHL, TTN, and DYL all see 2 inches. Even Vineland seeing an inch and Toms river seeing 2 inches seems very unlikely. But hey they are the professionals and damn good ones at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 Hrrr has rain all the way up into Berks tonight. Trend shouldnt be ignored. Will be a tight gradient between very minor accums and warning criteria snows. Farther N and W better, but we already knew this. Reminds me of the March 13 event last year where mesos kept pushing rain line West but folks overlooked it and hugged the globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Hrrr has rain all the way up into Berks tonight. Trend shouldnt be ignored. Will be a tight gradient between very minor accums and warning criteria snows. Farther N and W better, but we already knew this. Reminds me of the March 13 event last year where mesos kept pushing rain line West but folks overlooked it and hugged the globals. I don't see it making it that far north, but to each his own. They also said no accumulation this morning and roads will be wet. I've got snow covered roads and light snow fallingSent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I don't see it making it that far north, but to each his own. They also said no accumulation this morning and roads will be wet. I've got snow covered roads and light snow fallingSent from my LG-H871 using TapatalkAlthough 12z nam even pushes rain into southern most part of the Lehigh CountySent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 I don't see it making it that far north, but to each his own. They also said no accumulation this morning and roads will be wet. I've got snow covered roads and light snow fallingSent from my LG-H871 using TapatalkMeh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 Although 12z nam even pushes rain into southern most part of the Lehigh CountySent from my LG-H871 using TapatalkDont ignore the trends. It sucks but it is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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