HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 The model runs for the past few days have been in aagreement of a decent clipper hitting some of the areas getting missed by the """big""" storm. 0Z GFS tonight is more amped with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 GEM is also pretty amped, widespread 3 to possibly 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 dont jynx it lol jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Well as long as Hoosier didn't start the thread, we should be ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, mimillman said: Well as long as Hoosier didn't start the thread, we should be ok It's the system type, so this will happen. Clippers have been working out, albeit not as widespread as we'd like up to this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Been liking the look of this vigorous clipper for the past few days. Hoping the runs get a little juicier as we get closer. Widespread 3"+ snows definitely look to be on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 New Euro continues to look pretty decent. If that complex arrangement of vort maxes could somehow consolidate into a dominant vort this clipper could be extremely impressive. Not sure that will happen though, but feel it isn't that far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Another inch of clipper snow with a trailing inch of LES followed by arctic air...wash, rinse, repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 27 minutes ago, IWXwx said: Another inch of clipper snow with a trailing inch of LES followed by arctic air...wash, rinse, repeat That's not so bad. You might be begging for that by January 31.Perusing some of the overnight AFD implies this clipper may have a little more oomph to it than some of the previous ones-at least for areas south and west of Michigan. Even saw MKE discuss lake enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreenBo Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 I’m definitely liking my chances with this system. A solid 2-3” will at least make the short lived arctic plunge somewhat more ‘tolerable’... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Could double my snow total for the winter with this one. And - if I could add up all my GFS 96 hr forecast snow this winter i'd be living the Detroit snow life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Assuming this doesn't trend further north, (though it probably will as has been the case with these northern stream systems this winter), there will be another decent lake effect event potential for NE Illinois and NW Indiana. Any thoughts on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 13 minutes ago, mimillman said: Assuming this doesn't trend further north, (though it probably will as has been the case with these northern stream systems this winter), there will be another decent lake effect event potential for NE Illinois and NW Indiana. Any thoughts on this? Potentially...but still too far out to consider...especially as all potential NE IL LES events this "winter" have failed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Just now, beavis1729 said: Potentially...but still too far out to consider...especially as all potential NE IL LES events this "winter" have failed. Well than I guess we can pretty much write off all future LE events in NE IL in the future. That makes it simple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 interesting clipper when you add in wind direction. GFS was def not north. I was starting to get lulled in to thinking I could lock in 2-4" Then I remembered I can't remember a decent clipper in the last 3 yrs and I'm staring down the GFS out over 100hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 I'll just say we're due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Baum said: Well than I guess we can pretty much write off all future LE events in NE IL in the future. That makes it simple. Didn't say that - it's just too early. Need to get within 24-48 hours (or even less), given how many things need to come together for lake effect in NE IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 12z Euro is farther north with surface low compared to GFS, overall not as good of a look for northern Illinois and northwest IN, better for WI. Limits duration for here to Sunday evening-night mainly, whereas path of GFS results in a much longer duration event and better chance for LES to work into NE IL. Still plenty of time for changes for better or for worse.Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Should have decent ratios with this clipper as well with temps in the upper teens to lower 20’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 3 hours ago, RCNYILWX said: 12z Euro is farther north with surface low compared to GFS, overall not as good of a look for northern Illinois and northwest IN, better for WI. Limits duration for here to Sunday evening-night mainly, whereas path of GFS results in a much longer duration event and better chance for LES to work into NE IL. Still plenty of time for changes for better or for worse. Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk 18z GFS is north. The trend has begun. Congrats UP. geez, can we catch a break? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 18z GFS is north. The trend has begun. Congrats UP. geez, can we catch a break?Grab hold of yourself and breathe slowly.Sent from my SM-G925T using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 3 hours ago, mimillman said: 18z GFS is north. The trend has begun. Congrats UP. geez, can we catch a break? Payback after both GHD storms I guess. 2 storms of that magnitude should not have happened 4 years apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 43 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Payback after both GHD storms I guess. 2 storms of that magnitude should not have happened 4 years apart. Well put. It disappoints me when Chicago posters become whiners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Looks like the best potential of the season thus far. That's not saying much though, given the season total is 5.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Baum said: Well put. It disappoints me when Chicago posters become whiners. It's not about whining; many of us (me included) simply love winter and have certain expectations, i.e. that it looks and feels like winter during the winter...just like it looks and feels like summer in JJA. Seasons being seasons. Winter should be a season and a mood...not just discrete events. It's kind of like being a Cubs fan from 1909-2015. You had high hopes every year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Baum said: Well put. It disappoints me when Chicago posters become whiners. Dude you've been whining this whole time. And what, you're telling me now it's suddenly not okay to compare how your region is doing vs. your seasonal average? Especially relative to others? On a weather forum? Chicago and MKE have had a terrible season, objectively speaking. If you love winter, you're allowed to be displeased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 GFS north again, minor event on this run for northern IL. Looks good for central and northern WI and MI.Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 15 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: GFS north again, minor event on this run for northern IL. Looks good for central and northern WI and MI. Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Seasonal trends are dying hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Well fwiw (probably not much) the NAM and sorta the GEM are painting a different picture with maybe a more southern disturbance putting down a narrow band of decent totals. Who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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