Stebo Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Yeah, a hard pass on the 00z run. Doesn't make sense that it goes neutral so early yet stays neutral so long before going negative. Either way lets see what other models do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 0z GFS east of 12z, similar to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 0z CMC is a beauty. Differences can be seen quite vividly at H5 between the 0z CMC and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, Stebo said: Yeah, a hard pass on the 00z run. Doesn't make sense that it goes neutral so early yet stays neutral so long before going negative. Either way lets see what other models do. I think this is one of those where the RAOB sampling will really help narrow it down. Still too wide of a solution envelope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 good ole mid range gfs, Just has to be different and have us scratch our heads every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: I think this is one of those where the RAOB sampling will really help narrow it down. Still too wide of a solution envelope. Something they haven't been doing as much of because of budget cuts from what I have heard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 minute ago, zinski1990 said: good ole mid range gfs, Just has to be different and have us scratch our heads every time. Absolutely brutal run for not just central Indiana, but everybody in Indiana. I wouldn't be too concerned about that yet though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Stebo said: Something they haven't been doing as much of because of budget cuts from what I have heard. Only Alaska obs I thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 0z GGEM on the other hand is a big hit for SE IN/NW half of Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Just now, Hoosier said: Only Alaska obs I thought? Yes, but that is a key component of the northern stream which is what presses in from the north on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 The 0Z run just tells us to basically wait and see what the models end up deciding on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, Stebo said: Yes, but that is a key component of the northern stream which is what presses in from the north on this one. Hmm, I'm gonna have to go back and check. I thought most of the energy/relavent pieces for this setup were coming in south of Alaska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Not sure if that's freezing rain on the ggem or sleet....but if its frz rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Just now, Hoosier said: Hmm, I'm gonna have to go back and check. I thought most of the energy/relavent pieces for this setup were coming in south of Alaska. They are, except that the high that presses in and limits how far west this can be is definitely from AK/Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Yeah, this is not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, buckeye said: Not sure if that's freezing rain on the ggem or sleet....but if its frz rain. I-71 is basically the snow/sleet line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 The snow accumulation gradient on the western edge on the 00Z GFS is incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 7 minutes ago, Angrysummons said: The UKMET sure changed its tune fast What's different? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 9 minutes ago, Angrysummons said: The UKMET sure changed its tune fast 1 minute ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: What's different? Looks pretty far north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 minute ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: What's different? It's considerably more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 0z Euro should be coming in shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 56 minutes ago, OHweather said: It's considerably more amped Remember when it practically whiffed buckeye to the south 12 hours ago? Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Models are everywhere. Atleast at this point they all agree on a big storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 Euro looking pretty robust at 72 hrs. I wouldn't think we would get a super suppressed solution on this run but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Euro is a little west at hour 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 euro is west of 12z.. Not as far west as last nights 00z run but close to it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 I wouldn't entirely discount the GFS, but it is certainly alone in its projection at this point. Everything else is to the left and based upon the previous ensembles, I would hedge my bets on that being left as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 The main snow axis shifted about 4 counties west this run compared to 12z run, still putting out massive 20"+ numbers in the main swath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 Just a punishing CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 mega run for St Louis MO to Flint MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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