jbcmh81 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 0z GFS further west still... but still total crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 GFS drops 5.3” while RGEM drops 5.4”. Pretty good agreement. Just gave to worry about the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2-4" looking pretty good here, though I will say the GFS did inch up a bit this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 18 had 14" at Buffalo 0 has 3" Models are pure garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: 18 had 14" at Buffalo 0 has 3" Models are pure garbage. yep definitely, just have the feeling this whole thing will be a who knows and be surprised for good or bad anywhere from indiana to the interior northeast just pathetic models past few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 The high just leans on this front and says, sorry ... I'm staying for the weekend. Think you might find a good analogue Jan 31 to Feb 2 1988. Same kind of outcome, record warmth to southern track snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 After successive HRRR runs last night went drier and east the main event actually came in back west a bit and produced 2.4" IMBY. Less than I was expecting monday but more then when I went to bed last night. Left work at 1:00 and drove down to Welch Village Ski Area near Red Wing for 3" of powder, best event of the year so far...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 Temp has fallen into the mid 20s here. Waiting for some light precip to stream back in a little later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 GRR Update Quote I continued the headlines as they are but I am very concerned that snowfall amounts will be more like 3 to 6 inches in the I-69 area by mid afternoon. This is supported by the latest runs of HRRR, HRRRX, RAP model, SPC SREF plums, NAM12 00z run just to name a few. The wave looks really good on the water vapor image loops and that wave is heading north northeast. We have a negative tilt upper wave over MS and AL this evening and those type systems tend to track north and west of where the models show them. This system should be coming into our area just as the deeper cold air arrives. Thus most of the precipitation should be snow. There will be strong winds with this system since the cold air is just starting to come in. Thus if we really get that FGEN band of heavier snow near I-69 the heavy falling snow and strong winds will make for dangerous driving conditions. The good news is the storm moves through quickly and in all areas the snow should be done by 4 pm or so.[/quote] Josh is not getting his magnet back! Locked safely away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 25 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Temp has fallen into the mid 20s here. Waiting for some light precip to stream back in a little later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 Sleet has commenced. Actually some pretty good returns near I-57 that should move in here in the next 1-2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Harry said: GRR Update Josh is not getting his magnet back! Locked safely away! That 30 wide by 200+ mile long fgen band might just pay tribute to I-69/I-94 after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Wrf is holding on saying screw the others lol. 6-10" from cmh east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Gone are all those who love to track the storms. It's as if they all just found out about Santa isn't real... The models have been overamping in the long term for the entire winter season with out a single solution becoming a reality. What's the golden rule?? Wait for sampling before getting to invested in a particular outcome. Don't worry, the clipper will more than likely over perform. As for this one, 20 deg drop and a flip back to winter will be interesting to witness unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Radar early this morning in the lower Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathernerd Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 freezing rain in Indianapolis for the past hour with temp currently at 28. Just came up I-74 from s/e Indiana and can tell you that the roads are getting pretty dicey around here. Expecting the changeover to snow by 6am, this mornings commute in Central Indiana will be tough going to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Currently 32 with heavy freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 33 here in Eastern Jackson County. Looks like a very intense band of snow is going to set up between Jackson and Kalamazoo NE towards Lansing. Still not clear exactly where it will setup but guessing those locations based on radar trends. Also not sure just how fast the change over to snow will occur. Will be an interesting next few hours for sure. EDIT: Sleet began around 6:30 AM and 32. EDIT: Snow began around 7:10 AM and 31. So no more than a hour for a change over to occur. EDIT: Heavy snow at 7:20 am. (Very large flake size). EDIT: Near blizzard conditions at 8:00 am. 1" of snow, 27 degrees...visibility no more than 1/8 of a mile at times with gusty winds and blowing snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Freezing rain just transitioned to heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lanceja1991 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Been nothing but sleet since about 1 AM near Terre Haute, IN. Edit: Transition to all snow as of 7:55 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Almost 2" here after the switchover on the very northern edge of the snow band, it's gonna rip real good for you guys south of here! At least I won't have to look at gross frozen grass after all my snowpack melted yesterday at almost 60 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Yep.. Already over the two inch mark here as well. Roads are crap.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky333 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Has been sleeting here in Bryan Ohio since 7:40. Schools closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 10 minutes ago, Harry said: Yep.. Already over the two inch mark here as well. Roads are crap.. Still rain here but temp is rapidly falling. Should turn to freezing rain any time then snow after that. Give me back my magnet lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Gee, I hope the 6z NAM didn't spook the Ohio crew! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 8 minutes ago, vespasian70 said: Gee, I hope the 6z NAM didn't spook the Ohio crew! I guess we r in pure nowcast mode. FWIW, last nights Euro bumped up totals from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Keep hope alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreenBo Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Heavy snow has inundated the majority of SeMi. Scoring a coup here with this system. Impressive rates and the speed of the changeover caught me by surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cleveland_WX Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 The temperature just dropped 12° F in 30 mins... in the 30's now... from 51° F to 39° F while i was typing this it dropped another 1° F interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Snowing in Cincinnati. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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