JNichols Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, NWLinnCountyIA said: Yup, I've just transitioned from IP to snow, like 2 or 3 hours ahead of schedule. So is the cold front moving quicker then the models are saying? Still crossing my fingers for more snow in W. Ky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Just so nobody reading my other post takes it the wrong way... it looks like the actual front/wind shift is located about where it should be. It's just that the cold air is coming in faster once you're behind it. FWIW from meso analysis it looks like the 850 freezing line is a bit more progressive and not lagging as far behind the surface as some of the models foretasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, JNichols said: So is the cold front moving quicker then the models are saying? Still crossing my fingers for more snow in W. Ky. Maybe ever so slightly, but as Hoosier said, it's primarily that the gradient on the front itself is steeper than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 Moline down another 6 degrees and already reporting freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky333 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 SO hows extreme NW Ohio looking. I keep looking at the models and the more I look the more I want to go and break everything in my house.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Well schools in the area are closing because of the icy road threat. Front does seem to be around Baraboo area right now. I'm actually a bit surprised by the closings though. It doesn't seem that big of a threat. Currently 50 degrees here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Euro not playing ball, for whatever little that model is worth with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 1 minute ago, OHweather said: Euro not playing ball, for whatever little that model is worth with this storm OU Bobcat special. Axis of heaviest southeast OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 euro closer look 2" nw Franklin County 4" se Franklin County Then slowly increases to 7" along OH river. Rest of area to the north and west of CMH is average of 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, buckeye said: OU Bobcat special. Axis of heaviest southeast OH. Normally where you’d want to be on a storm trending NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, JayPSU said: Normally where you’d want to be on a storm trending NW. I can think of several storms that bumped nw to screw us during the actual nowcasting time, (boxing day 2012 most recently)....I can't think of any that trend southeast in the final hours. But who knows. This one is going to be interesting to watch if nothing else....at least that's more than we've had in the last couple of winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 11 minutes ago, buckeye said: OU Bobcat special. Axis of heaviest southeast OH. Yeah the only issue is I graduated in 2016! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Haha Short range WRF crushes central OH. These models man. One has 2" others 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, OHweather said: Yeah the only issue is I graduated in 2016! Maybe I'll hang out a little longer down there tomorrow when I drop off my son. ...then again the thought of being stranded and having to stay in his dorm room without an updated tetanus shot....maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 27 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Moline down another 6 degrees and already reporting freezing rain. Frz. Rain has just now started mixing with and changing over to Sleet in DVN. Nice sound off the windows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, dilly84 said: Haha Short range WRF crushes central OH. These models man. One has 2" others 12" I almost hate to ask a serious question and legitimize it...but...is that a result of it rushing the cold air faster or a stronger low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Inching westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, buckeye said: I almost hate to ask a serious question and legitimize it...but...is that a result of it rushing the cold air faster or a stronger low? The WRF-ARW has a 996 low in TN which maintains its strength to the PA border and heads east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 9 minutes ago, buckeye said: I almost hate to ask a serious question and legitimize it...but...is that a result of it rushing the cold air faster or a stronger low? Stronger low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 12 minutes ago, buckeye said: I almost hate to ask a serious question and legitimize it...but...is that a result of it rushing the cold air faster or a stronger low? Just looks stronger to me. Kinda looks similar to how the 6z NAM looked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 In the teens at Cedar Rapids but they are reporting unknown precip. Sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: In the teens at Cedar Rapids but they are reporting unknown precip. Sleet? Sleet, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Had some cotton ball flakes mixing in a little while ago, but we're back to all sleet again at 14 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Had some cotton ball flakes mixing in a little while ago, but we're back to all sleet again at 14 degrees. Sleet at 14°...nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, IWXwx said: Sleet at 14°...nice Brings back memories of a storm, (circa '94? maybe '95...january)... we had steady moderate to heavy sleet all day long, temps in the teens. Then at nightfall it turned to a brief period of heavy rain and thunderstorms followed by freezing rain and a flash freeze. The next day OSU students were skating on high st. For the record, an all day steady sleet storm yielded about 1.5" of sleet. There is no greater waste of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, buckeye said: Brings back memories of a storm, (circa '94? maybe '95...january)... we had steady moderate to heavy sleet all day long, temps in the teens. Then at nightfall it turned to a brief period of heavy rain and thunderstorms followed by freezing rain and a flash freeze. The next day OSU students were skating on high st. For the record, an all day steady sleet storm yielded about 1.5" of sleet. There is no greater waste of precip. That was Feb '94, I know as our damn garage door broke the day before and we got 1.5" of all ZR, froze both out cars down to the driveway. It started out heavy rain at 11 degrees and never went above 26 throughout the entire storm! and yes we were ice skating in the streets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 At this point it looks as though the southern low will track just a bit too far east for any decent snowfalls away from south/east OH and east of YTR, with the axis of heaviest snow something like HTS-50eBFD-SYR-BTV (8-12" potential there). However, still enough time to get this southern low a bit bulked up and tracking just a little further n/w in which case most of OH and s ON, parts of se MI could get back into heavier snow. At the moment would still favor 1-2" on top of frozen surfaces kind of a mess, then bitter cold to follow that so it won't melt. That would get pushed north and west too with a deeper more n/w low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 21 minutes ago, buckeye said: Brings back memories of a storm, (circa '94? maybe '95...january)... we had steady moderate to heavy sleet all day long, temps in the teens. Then at nightfall it turned to a brief period of heavy rain and thunderstorms followed by freezing rain and a flash freeze. The next day OSU students were skating on high st. For the record, an all day steady sleet storm yielded about 1.5" of sleet. There is no greater waste of precip. February 8th, 1994 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 1 minute ago, jbcmh81 said: February 8th, 1994 thanks I have a photographic memory but unfortunately my eyes are never aimed at a calendar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Well for the 2nd time this winter a useless thaw has ripped away a healthy snowpack to just piles. Looking like it could be an interesting morning tomorrow here in SE MI, we may salvage something yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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