Hoosier Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 We have entered windshield wiper mode with the Euro. 00z runs west, 12z runs east. Will 00z continue or break the trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 This is a tough run. Really digs south before everything kind of gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 looks like .6" ice with a couple of inches of snow now. Foot and a half Indy to Findlay. @Hoosier: I'm thinking the same thing. Euro's gonna play the game of 12z east / 00z west. It's uncanny how it does that flip flop with almost every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 One thing to watch regarding another flip flop.... The 12z op track of the low is almost an identical track to the 00z slp mean track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, buckeye said: One thing to watch regarding another flip flop.... The 12z op track of the low is almost an identical track to the 00z slp mean track. Yes, it is all in the depth of the trough, and lord knows Euro can overly dig a trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 So...as we get closer...is the seasonal trend happening again? What was west....is now southeast? Looks like NAM, GFS, GEM and now EURO are on the southeast envelope of what we have been following the last several days. UKMET is now the lone west wolf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Being 70 miles due west of Cincinnati in S-S-E Indiana, I appear to be on the razor's edge, so to speak.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Consensus seems to be converging on a STL-IND-DTX special based on today. 3 days out, and I'm still not to dissapointed where I sit as a lot still to be told in this tale. Just nice to see a big winter storm lighting up the board.Could be worse I could live in Caledonia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 the frustrating thing about this one for mby is most of the models have a track that I would draw on paper... and yet we're still slopp'n n slott'n. Low from the AL/MS border to E. TN to Central WV to White Plains NY... If you asked me if I'd rather be in Indy or CMH with a track like that I'd choose CMH every time...and yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Looking like anyone farther than 40 miles either side of the heaviest snow line is going to be on the razors edge. Definitely going to be threading the needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 5 hours ago, Ji said: This will end up tracking east not west. Don't buy the euro Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, buckeye said: the frustrating thing about this one for mby is most of the models have a track that I would draw on paper... and yet we're still slopp'n n slott'n. I still like 2004 now that the Euro is caving east. Don't give up just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Just now, jbcmh81 said: I still like 2004 now that the Euro is caving east. Don't give up just yet. I received 26" from that 2 part monster. 1 foot from post frontal precip. and the rest from a low moving up from Texas. All gone in one week..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 For Ohio...the track of the surface low is perfect for a big dog. The question becomes....how quickly will the cold air get pulled in once the cold front passes. May not know for a day or two....or even more...if the track now holds. IF there was antecedent cold air prior to the storm....much more certain of snow...and not ice/sleet/rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, jbcmh81 said: I still like 2004 now that the Euro is caving east. Don't give up just yet. I mentioned that one yesterday as one of the few NE moving lows in this region that also had a corridor of significant ice. This storm may actually be more robust at 500mb if the models are reasonably correct at the moment, but the SLP track could be pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: The dumb Detroit free press put out a headline about more snow coming to southeast MI Friday with 5-8". That irritates me to no end. Now the public will have a field day as word spreads like wildfire. I tweeted the writer of the article, I am pretty sure he doesn't know the difference between NWS and TWC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 EPS is also a pretty big shift southeast. Will the 0z be back northwest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 22 minutes ago, smoof said: Winning. Not really lol. Euro shifted well east but GFS well west. Euro is still more west than GFS. The difference at 00z was ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 22 minutes ago, jbcmh81 said: I still like 2004 now that the Euro is caving east. Don't give up just yet. Ugh 2004, I remember that storm well. The age of, can’t exactly work remote just yet and worked for a bank at Easton. I literally slid the whole way into work and Easton looked like a nuclear bomb went off and everyone perished, it was eerily quiet and dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 26 minutes ago, smoof said: Winning. Don't embolden him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 27 minutes ago, jbcmh81 said: I still like 2004 now that the Euro is caving east. Don't give up just yet. I'd gladly take that all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Shifts there will be, but if you're in central Indiana up through northwest Ohio, I would probably begin communicating the incoming threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Just now, IWXwx said: Don't embolden him. Yeah we don't need to waste time on Ji, he adds nothing and should stick to cancelling the winter of 2025. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 3 hours ago, mimillman said: Last time Chicago has 12"+ was February 2015. And February 2013 for Toronto! [/whining] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 minute ago, NTXYankee said: Ugh 2004, I remember that storm well. The age of, can’t exactly work remote just yet and worked for a bank at Easton. I literally slid the whole way into work and Easton looked like a nuclear bomb went off and everyone perished, it was eerily quiet and dark. Easton!!! That's one of the first places I think of when I think of that 2004 storm. Franklin County was the dividing county between epic icestorm and massive snow storm. I was right in between. But Easton got CLOCKED with ice being on the east side. My folk lived near there and were without power for a week. If you remember temps dropped into the singles and teens in the wake of that storm which drove the misery factor to a 10 when you figure in all the power outtages. Then add in the fact that it was a week before Christmas. Brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 YXU appears to be in a pretty good position for this one. Snow depth already enormous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 15 minutes ago, OHweather said: EPS is also a pretty big shift southeast. Will the 0z be back northwest? What's the spread like? A lot of variance or pretty clustered? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: What's the spread like? A lot of variance or pretty clustered? From what I saw heavy cluster over E.KY and WV.... only 2 stragglers that are north or west of the OH river, both of those are north of cincy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, buckeye said: Easton!!! That's one of the first places I think of when I think of that 2004 storm. Franklin County was the dividing county between epic icestorm and massive snow storm. I was right in between. But Easton got CLOCKED with ice being on the east side. My folk lived near there and were without power for a week. If you remember temps dropped into the singles and teens in the wake of that storm which drove the misery factor to a 10 when you figure in all the power outtages. Then add in the fact that it was a week before Christmas. Brutal. Actually just a couple of days. But whose counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: What's the spread like? A lot of variance or pretty clustered? Not sure how the board feels about WxBell images, so if this is bad then please remove the images...but since I'm pretty callous with my subscription... I would say that's actually decent clustering. I think it lost a number of western outliers and maybe added a couple of crappier/weak/SE outliers from the last run, but decent clustering there from central IN to the Lake Erie region as a bullseye. The bigger cluster definitely shifted SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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