1/8/18 Wintry Mix Event OBS and last minute forecasts.

[jaxjagman]

You know its bad when everyone roots for ice...lol

[Jed33]

Sky cover has actually decreased oddly here. I’d call it fair or mostly clear actually. No wind still temp is now 25. 

[JCVol]

2 minutes ago, Jed33 said:

Sky cover has actually decreased oddly here. I’d call it fair or mostly clear actually. No wind still temp is now 25. 

Same here in Jeff City...very clear skies with many stars visible...26 degrees which is already below the projected low temp of the night...still think WAA will take over at some point

[ShawnEastTN]

Top of Ober Gatlinburg 37 Degrees, down in Gatlinburg proper 28.  Pretty cool view of trapped low level cold.  BTW saw tonight 40" base on the ski slope there, they have been able to crank out the snow with the cold conditions.

[PowellVolz]

I think Ober is around 3,600 to 3,800




.

[Jed33]

Always amazing what elevation does around here. 40” of snow is a pretty decent base for this time of year. Much better than the last few years for sure.

[BlunderStorm]

It has dropped to 23F. The dew point has rose to 7F. The sky has progressively got cloudier yet still with little to no wind to speak of.

[JCVol]

3 minutes ago, Jed33 said:

Always amazing what elevation does around here. 40” of snow is a pretty decent base for this time of year. Much better than the last few years for sure.

100% open even Alpine Way

https://obergatlinburg.com/slope-report/

[Stovepipe]

Dropped a degree to 30 with the dewpoint still at 9. East wind 3mph. The radar has filled in significantly over the past hour or so. I’m wondering if the returns around I75 north of Cleveland are hitting the ground.

 

 

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[Jed33]

New RGEM doesn’t seem fast enough with the precip either. It  looks like the current precip on radar is further east than where it’s modeled that it should be. Amounts dropped on that run. Fine by me, don’t really think 0.3in of ice would be fun anyway! Still 0.1-0.2in for a large chunk of the eastern valley 

[Jed33]

I’ll say this, ZR or not, the radar back to the west and southwest looks really juicy. Maybe we’ll get some precip. Really is dry around here. One thing I’m wondering about is soil temps and how this is gonna play out as whatever falls on it happens, and then we go above freezing. I imagine it will get pretty foggy around the area as all the ice in the soil begins to thaw! Seen that many times. Could put a damper on the temps along about Tues and Wednesday.

[J.C.]

Radar seems to be over performing back to the west.  31F/6F  and a wetbulb of 24F.

[PowellVolz]

Would the simulation radars pick up on virga?


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[ShawnEastTN]

I seem to be sitting stubbornly at 29, Dewpoint 15 and WB at 25.  No wind at all, and under some virga.

[Kasper]

18 minutes ago, Stovepipe said:

Dropped a degree to 30 with the dewpoint still at 9. East wind 3mph. The radar has filled in significantly over the past hour or so. I’m wondering if the returns around I75 north of Cleveland are hitting the ground.

 

 

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I can tell you nothing hitting the ground north of Cleveland 

[Kentucky]

32 in corbin

[Bango]

Have a look at the temps from bean station to Churchill, 22-23s pretty 

[ShawnEastTN]

3 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Would the simulation radars pick up on virga?


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I think generally no depending on the model, from what I have seen over the years.  However that said OBS are being reported ahead of modeling, so it does seem to be moving quicker or just jucier than had been modeled.

[JCVol]

Still clear skies and now 25 degrees in Jeff City

[Kasper]

Temp went from 27 to 28 the past hour, Dewpoint up to 14! 

[TellicoWx]

couple sleet reports on mping from AL...last near Jasper.

[John1122]

Strong S wind here. Temp up to 32. I suspect my shot at frozen may bust unless wetbulbing factors in heavily. 

 

[JCVol]

Still clear in Jeff City now 24 degrees

[tnwxwatcher]

East Knoxville, currently temp 28°, dewpoint 12°, wet bulb about 22.6°

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[John1122]

Precip shield isn't very healthy in our region. Looks like Precip is quite a ways out from the eastern areas. 

[ShawnEastTN]

I'm still sitting at 29, DP 14, wetbulb 25. No wind.

[Bango]

Some of these valley temps are trending nice, starting to see some teens show up...

[tnwxwatcher]

Have went to a very clear starry sky here and just dropped another degree to 27 ° and dewpoint dropped to 11°

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[tnwxwatcher]

No wind either...

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[John1122]

It's 28 degrees at 1350 feet in my area, 32 at 1750, 36 at 2800.