SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Save a lot of typing here... great run with big upside... I just like how that snowmap doesn't cut off sharply somewhere in the sub forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, DCTeacherman said: I just like how that snowmap doesn't cut off sharply somewhere in the sub forum. All upper level support man. I'm telling you...this run was like an inch away from an upper level fluff bomb.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Great run on the Euro that's for sure! Nice to see it continuing the trend of what we'd like to see. Given how this year has been so far, that would be almost worthy at this point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Great run for sure. Really glad it's better than the 0z run, and just didn't completely leave what the 0z run was showing. Best part is, it basically rains on Boston for most of the event. Good even region wide if this were to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, Always in Zugzwang said: Great run on the Euro that's for sure! Nice to see it continuing the trend of what we'd like to see. Given how this year has been so far, that would be almost worthy at this point! The king is (hopefully) back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: All upper level support man. I'm telling you...this run was like an inch away from an upper level fluff bomb.... if you want textbook 500 level of where it needs to be for us to get snow look no further than this euro run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: The backside snow would be high ratio even if light qpf. My FAVORITE type of synoptic snow is ALWAYS on the back side of h5 being closed off. Great freekin run. Yep. I got about a foot from only .35 qpf on the backside of the feb 10 2010 storm. It's the best place to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Amped.....go to your room Vice Regent will let you know when you can come out Rotfl...those 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Great run as all have said and h5 look great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Yep. I got about a foot from only .35 qpf on the backside of the feb 10 2010 storm. It's the best place to be. these are the kinds of storms the euro gets its reputation from....i am getting excited but still very pessmisitc because it dosent snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Too early I won't get excited until Amped does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Yep. I got about a foot from only .35 qpf on the backside of the feb 10 2010 storm. It's the best place to be. Same here, though I don't actually know the liquid equivalent I got where I'm at. I got the same amount of snow that you did...and it was Hugh Jass flakes nearly all day long piling up with whiteout conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Kuchera...this might actually be better for a change. Bobs right the ratios under the h5 low would be really high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 this says it all. The kicker on the 12z is all but gone compared to 0z. that lets more ridging build out west 12z 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Kuchera...this might actually be better for a change. Bobs right the ratios under the h5 low would be really high. PSU, gotta echo what you and Bob are tooting regarding the h5 snow, with that closed presentation we’d do very well with the fluff factor. The UL dynamics on the backside would pile it up quickly for us. For those of us that had the privilege of enjoying the latter half of the the 2/10/10 event, great high ratio fluff with awesome dynamics and excellent rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 This is what I love about this hobby...historic cold and I cant muster an inch. Jan thaw comes and euro gives us cold powder. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 is this similar to that 7 inch early March high ration event we had a few years ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 This is a long duration event, which is a red flag for me. It really does have decent upside assuming the Euro has the basic idea correct. Start at this link and then flip through the hours. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/maryland/significant-weather/20180117-0600z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: This is a long duration event, which is a red flag for me. It really does have decent upside assuming the Euro has the basic idea correct. Start at this link and then flip through the hours. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/maryland/significant-weather/20180117-0600z.html It's really quite beautiful. Also reminds me of 2/10/10 because it would be raining in boston if the Euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 9 minutes ago, H2O said: this says it all. The kicker on the 12z is all but gone compared to 0z. that lets more ridging build out west 12z 0z Nice catch and very true. That’s a big factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 If you look at current guidance as whole...this is what is showing up: - Discrete northern stream bowling ball missing to the north is completely gone now. We can pretty much rule that out - All guidance sets up a light overunning event before the good stuff "could' happen in the upper levels - All guidance had trended towards at least a modest moisture tap from the gulf - All guidance is slowing down the dig and flow is very slow (this gives some confidence to ops beyond d4) - We can get snow multiple different ways instead on relying on everything hitting right at the perfect time - It's fair to say that the odds of getting at least some snow out of this are higher than a coin flip - There is a lot of upside potential if it comes together right Did I miss anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 I was at Wisp in a ski in ski out for that storm so I missed all the snow (at my house). When I got home I couldn't even get to my house. 2/10/10 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Favorite storm in the past 10 years That afternoon was purely a whiteout with puking snow in the bands. I distinctly remember the finger band that stalled over Manchester and stretched down towards Baltimore on the backside. Sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Still snowing with temps in the teens If this can pan out region wide, it sure would be a sig moral booster. With this panel here you would think this has great upside potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 14 minutes ago, Cobalt said: The king is (hopefully) back! In my best British accent—Oh snap, the King hath risen from the dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Favorite storm in the past 10 years I know it's (way?) off topic perhaps, but since it's been mentioned in context of what the Euro shows for next week's potential, here you go: This is perhaps my favorite photo that I took during the 2009-10 winter. Taken on Feb. 10, during the cold powder bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, poolz1 said: If this can pan out region wide, it sure would be a sig moral booster. With this panel here you would think this has great upside potential. That's not a great pass at 500 for us...need that about 100 miles south or else there are going to be a lot of disappointed people. Better for it to pass along the I-64 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: If you look at current guidance as whole...this is what is showing up: - Discrete northern stream bowling ball missing to the north is completely gone now. We can pretty much rule that out - All guidance sets up a light overunning event before the good stuff "could' happen in the upper levels - All guidance had trended towards at least a modest moisture tap from the gulf - All guidance is slowing down the dig and flow is very slow (this gives some confidence to ops beyond d4) - We can get snow multiple different ways instead on relying on everything hitting right at the perfect time - It's fair to say that the odds of getting at least some snow out of this are higher than a coin flip - There is a lot of upside potential if it comes together right Did I miss anything? I think that more or less sums it up well, and states what we need. Hopefully this will continue and not go *poof* on us (unless the "poof" is the sound of heavy fluffy snow falling!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Crazy stuff @Always in Zugzwang Sucks that I barely remembered most of that winter, except for some small details (yes I was young at the time, I know). Absolutely beautiful though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 IF DT starts woofing you mind as well cancel this storm. JS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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